blackcrow
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Re: A League > 25 - 27 January
Wellington took an early 1-0 lead and then Newcastle had a player sent off, but Wellington could not extend the lead as they themselves had a player sent off in the second half which allowed Newcastle to equalise 34-47 (+4.60)Wellington @ 2.15 :( Wellington -1 (EH) @ 4.00 :( -
Re: FA Cup > 25th Jan - 27th Jan Brentford v Chelsea over 3.5 @ 2.28 pinnacle Brentford v Chelsea over 4.5 @ 3.65 centrebet Brentford, in League 1, have conceded in 4 of their last 5 games, and expect this Chelsea side to have no problems scoring on them as they beat Southampton 5-1 on the road in the previous round of the FA Cup as well as 5-1 at Leeds in the previous round of the League Cup. Having been beaten by Swansea in the semi finals in the League Cup, then expect them to target this cup as a chance for some silverware this year, especially if Benitez looks to sway Abramovich to extend his contract. However Brentford have scored at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 games in all competitions, so they have been finding the back of the net and with Chelsea in 6 of their last 8 games in all competitions, then both teams are likely to score here, but also like them to score more than just once Leeds v Tottenham over 3.5 @ 2.55 sportsbet Leeds v Tottenham over 4.5 @ 4.50 sportsbet Leeds have won their last two games so they have some form coming into this game and at home they have been tough as they have won 6 and drawn 1 of their last 7 home games, however, when Chelsea came here just before Christmas, they won 5-1. They face similar opposition here, as Tottenham will have Villa-Boas targeting this cup as an opportunity to reinforce the fans support for him. Spurs easily beat Coventry 3-0 at home in the previours round, and will look to repeat their 3-1 win at Elland Road when they beat Leeds two years ago in the FA Cup. Their road form is good as they have won 2-1 at Sunderland, 4-0 at Aston Villa and 3-0 at Fulham in some of their recent road games. Leeds will give it a shot with nothing to lose, and believe they will score, but Spurs should score a few more in a solid win for them Oldham v Liverpool over 3.5 @ 2.33 pinnacle Oldham v Liverpool over 4.5 @ 4.00 sportbet Oldham have lost 7 of their last 9 games in all competitions and though their form is poor, expect them to have a real go here, as they played Liverpool last year at Anfield and took the lead before losing 5-1 to them in the FA Cup. Now at home, with a good support behind them, they will have a belief that they can cause an upset here. However the problem for them is that they have allowed at least two goals in 8 of their last 8 games and with an EPL side like Liverpool coming to town, then there is a possibility of a repeat performance here. Rodgers tends to have strong sides in these domestic cups, so while they may have some of their regulars out, still expect to see a pretty strong side here, with Suarez and Gerrard on the bench. Defensively, they are still missing Enrique while Johnson will probably be saved for a couple of big games against Arsenal and Man City, so 69-148 (-42.33)
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Re: A League > 25 - 27 January
Wellington @ 2.15 centrebet Wellington -1 (EH) @ 4.00 sportsbet Wellington were beaten 7-1 by Sydney and though they were down 5-0 at half time, it was not a reflection on the game as Sydney pretty much scored with all of their chances while Wellington did not score any with a similar amount of chances. Expect them to bounce back here as they have been decent at home this year with 3 wins and 2 draws in their 8 home games. Newcastle had a good 0-0 draw away to the Central Coast in what was a local derby but going across the Tasman for this game may be a different proposition altogether. They have one draw and 4 losses in their last 5 away games, while they have lost their last 6 meetings with Wellington, and have scored in just one of these 6 games, while in Wellington, they have lost their last 8 games there, allowing at least two goals in 7 of these 8 games while not scoring in 6 of their games there. So they have struggled for form and like Wellington to make up for their loss last week with a win here 34-45 (+6.60)Melbourne Victory @ 1.85 :) Melbourne Victory -1 (EH) @ 3.20 :) Western Sydney @ 1.73 :) Western Sydney -1 (EH) @ 3.10 :( Brisbane +0.5 @ 1.69 :) Brisbane @ 3.48 :) -
Re: A League > 25 - 27 January
Melbourne Victory @ 1.85 pinnacle Melbourne Victory -1 (EH) @ 3.20 sportsbet The Victory coming off a good win in Perth where they did not play their best but did enough to beat the Glory. Now they are at home to their biggest rivals, the two biggest clubs in the league, and expected sell out crowd. They have won 5 and drawn 3 of their 9 home games, scoring in each of them, and at least two goals in 5 of these games, though they have just two clean sheets in them. Sydney go to Melbourne with confidence in their 7-1 thumping of Wellington, and while the scoreline indicated a big difference in the sides, it easily could have been 4-4 at half time and not 4-0 as Wellington missed some sitters while they allowed Del Piero in particular, too much time and space in the box, to score some very good goals. Doubt Melbourne allow him too much room here and expect him to be marked closely, while the front two of Thompson and Rojas should find plenty of space to exploit what is a pretty average defence that has allowed at least two goals in 6 of their 8 away games this season. Melbourne went to Sydney in November and despite being down 2-0, came back to score 3 goals in the last 15 minutes to win the game. Like them to be too good here against Sydney as they have not shown any sort of consistency this season Western Sydney @ 1.73 sportsbet Western Sydney -1 (EH) @ 3.10 sportsbet Western Sydney have won 6 and drawn 1 of their last 8 games as they have started to score more goals. They have scored at least twice in 5 of these last 8 games, while they have managed 3 clean sheets. At home, they have won 3 of their last 4 games, and should have gotten something out of their 2-0 loss to league leaders the Central Coast. Melbourne Heart have won 3 of their last 4 games but each of these wins were at home, but they have one drawn and 6 losses in their last 7 away games, as they have allowed at least two goals in 5 of these games, while they have not scored in 4 of them. They face a pretty good defence which does not give much away and believe they will find it hard to score here, while the Wanderers are playing well enough to win this. They beat the Heart earlier in the season at home (2-1), and like them to do so again here Brisbane +0.5 @ 1.69 pinnacle Brisbane @ 3.48 pinnacle Both teams are out of form with Perth having lost 3 of their last 4 games while Brisbane have lost their last three games. Perth though have some injury concerns and are likely to be missing 3 of their defenders for this game, and though Brisbane have Steffanuto in defence out, as well as Berisha up front, they have enough attacking talent to exploit this. Liked the way that Brisbane played in the first half against Western Sydney, and they could have been up more than there 1-0 lead at half time, and against a Perth side struggling to put it together, then they can win this with the same level of effort they showed against WS. 29-44 (+0.65)Central Coast @ 1.73 :) Central Coast -1 (EH) @ 3.25 :) -
Re: A League > 25 - 27 January Central Coast @ 1.73 pinnacle Central Coast -1 (EH) @ 3.25 sportsbet Central Coast have 5 clean sheets in their last 8 games as well as their last 3 home games while Adelaide have not scored in their last two away games, while they have lost 3 and drawn 1 of their last 4 away games. Adelaide look like they are slipping while CC are maintaining their form, and defensively, they are better set up than Adelaide. They have beaten Adelaide in 6 of their last 7 meetings, and see them winning again, as McBreen should do well against this defence that has allowed at least two goals in 3 of their last 4 away games, while Adelaide are missing some punch up front with Djite out 27-44 (-2.33)
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Re: Capital One Cup > 22nd Jan - 23rd Jan
Well done to Swansea as they were too smart for Chelsea. 69-150 (-44.33)Swansea - Chelsea over 3.5 @ 2.60 :eyes Swansea - Chelsea over 4.5 @ 4.65 :eyes -
Re: Arsenal v West Ham > Wed 23rd January
Must have been something in the tea at half time - probably hit the jagerbombs to score 4 goals in 10 minutes 69-148 (-42.33)Arsenal -1.5 @ 2.38 :) Arsenal -2 (EH) @ 4.20 :) -
Re: Capital One Cup > 22nd Jan - 23rd Jan Swansea - Chelsea over 3.5 @ 2.60 sportsbet Swansea - Chelsea over 4.5 @ 4.65 sportsbet Swansea surprisingly lead 2-0 from the first leg and it is a given that Chelsea will attack from the start to overcome this deficit. Benitez knows that he will suffer a massive backlash if he does not get through so expect him to put an attack-minded lineup to start off with and look to get an early goal to give themselves some hope but also put even more pressure on Swansea. Swansea's home form has been very good as they have scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 11 home games in all competitions, as they have lost just once in these games, while Chelsea has been better on the road than at home, winning their last 6 games on the road in the EPL and cups, and scoring at least two goals in 5 of these 6 away games. Swansea have just two clean sheets in these 11 games while Chelsea have just two clean sheets in these 6 away games, so likely that both will concede, but there should be plenty of open spaces for both teams to take advantage of, as Chelsea in particular go looking for goals while Swansea are quite good at hitting teams on the counter attack
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Re: Arsenal v West Ham > Wed 23rd January Arsenal -1.5 @ 2.38 pinnacle Arsenal -2 (EH) @ 4.20 sportsbet Arsenal will look to make up for their loss to Chelsea on the weekend and make it only 4 points difference with their North London rival Tottenham for 4th spot if they manage to win here. They will be strenghthened with the return of Podolski and the Ox, which should help Walcott out in scoring goals, while in defence they should be able to handle whatever West Ham throw their way as they have the height to withstand the expected aerial assault that Allardyce favours. Arsenal have not had problems with West Ham in the past winning 8 of their last 10 meetings in all competitions, and did beat them 3-1 at Upton Park earlier in the season. West Ham have scored just 5 goals on the road all season and have not scored in their last 4 away games, as well as being shut out in their last 4 games at Arsenal, as they lost 3-0 at Sunderland two weeks ago, and also suffered 3-1 defeat at Tottenham and a 3-0 loss at Swansea. Arsenal are another ball playing side and like them to be too much for a one dimensional West Ham side 67-148 (-46.91)
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Re: Southampton v Everton > Mon 21st January
67-148 (-46.91)Everton @ 2.05 :eyes -
Re: Southampton v Everton > Mon 21st January Everton @ 2.05 sportsbet Southampton on a decent run of form as they have 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5 EPL games but then they go and sack their coach, so not too sure how the players will be able to adjust to the new coach's way of doing things. The fans will be pretty loud and vocal against the directors and that is likely to have some effect on the players. Everton also in good form as they have won 4 and drawn 2 of their last 7 EPL games, and they managed a rare clean sheet against Swansea last week. They have won their last two away games at Newcastle and West Ham, winning both games 2-1 and can see a similar result here. They beat Southamton 3-1 at home earlier in the season and seem to have too many better players across the park for Soton, who have played well up until now, but the drama off the field is likely to hamper their preparations and hence, their performance on the field 67-147 (-45.91)
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Re: NFL: Conference Round picks
Playoff Record: 6-14 (-4.95)San Francisco -6.5 @ 2.34 :@ San Francisco -13.5 @ 4.30 :@ SF wins by 4 points but Akers hits the upright with a FG that would have won the first pick and then they fumble at the 1 yard line that would have won the second pick Baltimore +7.5 @ 1.96 :) Baltimore +1.5 @ 4.55 :) -
Re: NFL 2012 Antepost Betting
:clapI always like to try out a new sport betting-wise and this season I hope to take more than a on-off interest in NFL. I won't post a great deal of picks but want to watch more games and have a bit of interest in the Super Bowl winner market. I'm going to stake a lot smaller than my usual bets as I suppose I don't know enough to involve the sport in my usual betting methods. The couple that have caught my eye are Baltimore and San Francisco. I don't understand why Baltimore are a big price (20/1). They narrowly lost the AFC Championship final to a team who are only as big as 13/2 so surely the Ravens offer value? They may have to come across New England again but all teams may have to deal with them or Green Bay. The 49ers had a great regular season record and got to the NFC Championship final so I think they could be a good little bet at 14/1. They came close to the Super Bowl match last year so surely have a good chance of going further this time around? I don't know a great deal about the teams other than the basic stuff I've read but just looking at lat seasons results makes me think these prices are ok. Any views from the more clued up NFL fans? -
Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United > Sun 20th January
67-147 (-45.91)Tottenham @ 2.90 :( -
Re: Chelsea v Arsenal > Sun 20th January
67-146 (-44.91)Under 2.5 @ 2.33 :( -
Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United > Sun 20th January Tottenham @ 2.90 pinnacle Spurs have been one of the form sides as they have won 7 of their last 10 EPL games with two draws as well while at home they have won 4 and drawn the other of their last 5 games there. The key for them is their central midfield, as Parker, Dembele and Dempsey can swing this game in their favour, much like Liverpool did last week to Man Utd in the last 30 minutes of the game. Parker's workrate and poise, Dembele's size and power and Dempsey's energy can minimise Carrick's, Cleverly's and Kagawa's impact here, and if Spurs dominate the midfield, then they will create chances via Lennon and Bale out wide, as these two players should get some good service. Vidic and Ferdinand get expposed when they face the smaller and mroe agile forwards, and this is where Defoe can be a nuisance. Where Spurs need to be careful is their two full backs, as Walker and Naughton lack some experience, which Valencia and Young, on their day, can exploit. Believe Dawson and Vertonghen have showed enough that they can stop van Persie here, and he is sure to get a very cold reception given his previous spell with Arsenal. Man Utd have just one clean sheet in their last 7 road games, so they have managed to win because of their attack that has managed to score a few goals for them, but they face a renewed Spurs side here. After suffering many, and some agonisingly close defeats, they finally won at Old Trafford earlier in the season and like them to take great encouragement from this and make it a double here
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Re: Chelsea v Arsenal > Sun 20th January Under 2.5 @ 2.33 pinnacle After copping two goals in the second half to Southampton, knowing Benitez, then expect him to have his defence much more focused so as not to allow Arsenal to get through and score. With Terry likely to be back this should see Luiz pushing into the midfield and will be looking to nullify Cazorla there. With Ivanovic, Cole and Cahill, they look a much more solid group at t he back, and will need to be negate Walcott and Podolski. Arsenal's midfield are without Arteta so Wilshere and Diaby will look to then keep Lampard and Mata contained as both have been in good form. Chelsea have been very good on the road but at home, they have stuttered and maybe their own crowd, and the dislike they have for Benitez, is having a negative effect on their playing ability. Arsenal have been decent on the road of late, with two wins and three draws in their last five away games, but besides a 5-2 win at Reading, the other games have been low scoring and gone under. Both sides are pretty even and maybe Chelsea shades this but hard to take them with their current home form. Believe both sides cancel each other out here and doubt that there are many goals in this game 67-145 (-43.91)
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Re: NFL: Conference Round picks San Francisco -6.5 @ 2.34 sportsbet San Francisco -13.5 @ 4.30 sportsbet Atlanta is built much like the Green Bay Packers: a very good QB with an average run game and a decent defence in stopping the pass and run. San Francisco showed last week that they have a very good defence to stop the pass and run, while QB Kaepernick really stepped up, and expect him and Gore to be too much for the Falcons here. SF went to Green Bay and won by 8 points; they won by 10 points in New Orleans and won by 7 points in New England, and each of these sides all have top QBs that they managed to contain. See the 49ers winning this one, and with their run game, hard to see Atlanta stopping that Baltimore +7.5 @ 1.96 pinnacle Baltimore +1.5 @ 4.55 sportsbet New England will look to Brady to once again lead this team to victory but they face a tough Baltimore defence that keeps grinding away and getting the results. They went to Denver last week, and were expected to be easily defeated and yet they came away with an overtime win, despite special teams giving up two TDs on kick off and punt returns. To go tot Denver and manage this win was a huge achievement and they are playing for their inspirational leader Lewis who looks to sign off this last season with a SB win. Flacco showed that he has some poise in his game while Rice will continue to pound the lines. Brady edges the QB position while Rice is the better RB, and the respective defences are pretty even, so not much between the two sides. It was like that earlier in the season when Baltimore won 31-30 at home and can see this being another tight game. Baltimore playing with a never-say-die attitude that is keeping them in the games and like this to be the edge that gives them the win here Playoff Record: 4-12 (-7.46)
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Re: A League > 18 - 20 January
27-44 (-2.33)Western Sydney @ 3.66 :) -
Re: A League > 18 - 20 January
Western Sydney @ 3.66 pinnacle Things are not just right at Brisbane and when one of their better players (Paartulu) leaves the club, then you know they are having some problems. They have lost their last 2 games and won just 4 of their last 12 games as they have oly two clean sheets in these 12 games, and have scored more than 1 goal on just 3 occasions - unlike the two previous years. Western Sydney are the form side with 5 wins and a draw in their last 7 games as they have scored at least two goals in 4 of these 7 games while they have not conceded in 3 of these games and allowed one goal in 3 other games. They have already beaten Brisbane twice this season, and look the goods once again as Brisbane are struggling to achieve the form they had before 26-44 (-4.99)Central Coast -1.5 @ 2.68 :( Melbourne Victory @ 3.20 :D -
Re: West Ham v Queens Park Rangers > Sat 19th January
67-145 (-43.91)Over 2.5 @ 1.98 :( -
Re: Newcastle United v Reading > Sat 19th January
67-144 (-42.91)Under 2.5 @ 2.16 :( -
Re: Manchester City v Fulham > Sat 19th January
67-143 (-41.91)Man City -2 (EH) @ 2.75 :( Man City -3 (EH) @ 5.00 :( -
Re: Liverpool v Norwich > Sat 19th January
If they were all only this easy 67-141 (-39.91)Liverpool -1 (EH) @ 1.91 :D Liverpool -2 (EH) @ 3.30 :D
FA Cup > 25th Jan - 27th Jan
in Championship Predictions
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Re: FA Cup > 25th Jan - 27th Jan
72-151 (-39.72)