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blackcrow

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  1. Re: Europa League > Thurs 4th April Benfica -1.5 @ 2.36 pinnacle Newcastle with other things on their mind than this game as they linger near the relegation zone and have a big game on the weekend at home against Fulham where they are desperate to win and move away from the bottom three. They have been beaten in their last 4 away games in the EPL and were hammered by Man City 4-0 last weekend, so doubt that they will present a challenge to a Benfica side that is on top of the Portuguese league with a relatively easy game in the league against 4th last Olhanense. They have beaten much better sides than Newcastle such as Bordeaux 1-0 and Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 at home and like them to win this by a couple of goals Chelsea -1.5 @ 2.75 pinnacle After beating Man Utd in the FA Cup, manager Benitez has another chance to win back the fans with a good win here to take into the second leg, as a long road trip into Russia without a good lead will be very tough for them to overcome. Expect them to have a very strong side, with Hazard and Mata in particular in very good form, and with a home game against Sunderland on Sunday, they can field a weakened side in that game, and play a strong side against RK. Rubin Kazan are a good defensive side and will look to keep out Chelsea for as long as possible, but Stamford Bridge is not an easy place to sit back and defend for the whole game, and doubt that they will be able to withstand the quality that the Blues have in their side Tottenham -1.5 @ 2.17 pinnacle Spurs will once again rely on Bale and so far no team has been able to stop him as he continues to have a big influence in games. They beat Inter Milan 3-0 and Lyon 2-1 at home in the Europa League and can see them setting themselves up for a good win to take into the second leg. Basel lost 1-0 at Zenit St Petersburg and 2-1 at Videoton while drawing 1-1 at Dnipro and 0-0 at Racing Genk, but this game represents an even greater challenge for them, and doubt that they can keep out this Spurs side, especially if Bale has the freedom to move around the pitch unchecked

  2. Re: Paris Saint-Germain v FC Barcelona > Tue 2nd April

    PSG are tight at the back' date=' the stats from the group stages and the fact that they have only conceded 20 in 30 matches in Ligue 1 is probably the reason the bookies are warm on the unders. Ancelotti knows the story in Europe and he will be lining them up with keeping Messi under control as his prime objective seeing as Pedro is suspended. Barca would be happy to take a 0-0 back to the Camp Nou, I can see this one being a boring encounter myself. Unders at 2.00 for me.[/quote'] Like the unders too. PSG will not be open to allow Messi and co and stroll through so they will be looking to stay in this tie without conceding more than a goal here. Barcelona are short on a few players which evens this game up, and they will be looking to finish them off at home in the second leg when they hope to get these players back. Doubt that they will go out too hard but will look to ensure that they are in a very good position for the second leg.
  3. Re: FC Bayern München v Juventus > Tue 2nd April

    Im thinking of a tight game and the reports are that Conte is thinking of playing only one attacker with Marchisio behind. I think Juve can close this game and I may go for under 2.5 goals at 2.00 and 0-0 result in halftime at 3.00
    Agree with you here. Heard the same thing and with Bayern coming off a big win over the weekend, the fear for Juve is that if they cop two goals or more than this tie is over for them, so expect them to flood the midfield. Both defences are hard to score against in their respective domestic leagues, so the under looks good here
  4. Re: A League > 28 - 31 March

    Brisbane v Sydney FC over 3.5 @ 2.70 :ok Brisbane v Sydney FC over 4.5 @ 4.65 :(
    Newcastle v Western Sydney over 2.5 @ 2.04 pinnacle Both teams with plenty to play for coming into this last round. Newcastle need a win to secure a top 6 spot while Western Sydney need at least a draw to take top spot. Newcastle get heskey backl and he should cause problems for this WS defence, who are without Beauchamp, while La Rocca who would normally cover for him is suspended. WS have won their last 6 games on the road and are favoured to win again, but it looks like their may be goals in this as neither defence has been keeping clean sheets on a consistent basis, and with plenty to play for, then like this to be an open game with goals in it 50-69 (+3.70)
  5. Re: A League > 28 - 31 March Brisbane v Sydney FC over 3.5 @ 2.70 centrebet Brisbane v Sydney FC over 4.5 @ 4.65 centrebet Brisbane have scored at least two goals in 4 of their last 6 home games but have also conceded in 4 of these 6 home games. Sydney have allowed at least two goals in 9 of their last 11 away games while scoring in 10 of these 11 games, and 5 of them seeing them score twice. Brisbane are 5th and Sydney are 6th with both looking for the win to ensure they get into the top 6. Neither have a dependable defence and both rely on their attack. Each side has the quality to see a few goals scored here 49-68 (+3.00)

  6. Re: A League > 23 - 24 March

    Melbourne Victory v Perth under 2.5 @ 2.02 :eyes West Sydney v Sydney under 2.5 @ 2.24 :)
    Brisbane -1 (EH) @ 2.30 sportsbet Brisbane need to win thos to get back into the top 6 and their form has been good, and though they were at not at their best in the 1-0 loss at the Central Coast, they have been playing well at home to suggest that they will be too good for the Heart who have a terrible away record, having drawn one and lost 10 of their last 11 away games. They have failed to score in 7 of these games, while they have conceded at least two goals in 7 of these 11 away games. They are without Colosimo in defence, and look very youthful against a Brisbane side that has several very good attacking players. Melbourne may have won both games this season, but both were at home while their road form is poor, and can't see them doing much here Adelaide v Central Coast under 2.5 @ 2.04 pinnacle Adelaide have tightened up their defence and are not as open in general play as they used to be, and as such, their last 3 games have gone under, as have their last 3 home games. Central Coast too have gone under in their last 3 games, as well as in 3 of their last 5 away games, as their away form does not match their home form. CC have drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 away games, and hard to see them winning this one given they have several players out on international duty. Adelaide too are missing players and neither side look like edging this, so would not be surprised that they both share the points here, though it does look like a low scoring game 48-67 (+2.96)
  7. Re: A League > 23 - 24 March

    Melbourne Victory v Perth under 2.5 @ 2.02 :eyes West Sydney v Sydney under 2.5 @ 2.24 :)
    Brisbane -1 (EH) @ 2.30 sportsbet Brisbane need to win thos to get back into the top 6 and their form has been good, and though they were at not at their best in the 1-0 loss at the Central Coast, they have been playing well at home to suggest that they will be too good for the Heart who have a terrible away record, having drawn one and lost 10 of their last 11 away games. They have failed to score in 7 of these games, while they have conceded at least two goals in 7 of these 11 away games. They are without Colosimo in defence, and look very youthful against a Brisbane side that has several very good attacking players. Melbourne may have won both games this season, but both were at home while their road form is poor, and can't see them doing much here Adelaide v Central Coast under 2.5 @ 2.04 pinnacle Adelaide have tightened up their defence and are not as open in general play as they used to be, and as such, their last 3 games have gone under, as have their last 3 home games. Central Coast too have gone under in their last 3 games, as well as in 3 of their last 5 away games, as their away form does not match their home form. CC have drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 away games, and hard to see them winning this one given they have several players out on international duty. Adelaide too are missing players and neither side look like edging this, so would not be surprised that they both share the points here, though it does look like a low scoring game 48-67 (+2.96)
  8. Re: A League > 23 - 24 March Melbourne Victory v Perth under 2.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle With successive 1-1 draws away to Brisbane and Sydney, then the Victory can do no better than finishing 3 or 4 so they will be looking to stay healthy for the upcoming finals. They go into this game without two of their main attacking weapons in Thompson and Rojas, so they lack some quality up front. Perth have an outside chance of getting to the semi finals but a win here will be tough given that they are also without their main striker Smeltz, and they have not been doing enough to get the wins on the road as they had 5 straight losses before their win in Wellington last week. With the absence of key attacking players, not too confident in goals in this game, especially in their two previous games this season, the Victory won both of them 1-0, with both sides having these players playing for them then. West Sydney v Sydney under 2.5 @ 2.24 pinnacle West Sydney can wrap up the title with a win here but they have some injury concerns going into this game, and a win is going to be much tougher than expected. They have defender Polenz out, with Mooy and Ono also looking likely to be out while Hersi down the wing is suspended. Though they have some depth they do lack the quality of these players and can see this being a hard fought game between these two city rivals. In winning 10 straight games, they have 4 cleans sheets and allowed 1 goal in 5 other games, with Adelaide only scoring twice against them,s otheir defence is pretty solid and does not give much away. Sydney look to continue their good recent form but on the road they have drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 7 away games. Their own defence played well last week, where they managed to contain a very good Victory side to a 1-1 draw and they beat Central Coast 2-0 prior to that, so they have been good defensively. Both away teams have won the fixtures this year, with West Sydney winning 2-0 and Sydney 1-0, so like the look of another low scoring game here 47-66 (+2.72)

  9. Re: A League > 15 - 17 March

    Adelaide @ 1.94 :( Adelaide -1 (EH) @ 3.40 :(
    Western Sydney @ 2.09 pinnacle Opportunity for Western Sydney to record a 10th consecutive win which will be the longest winning streak in the history of this competiton. They have won their last 5 games on the road, and have scored at least two goals in 4 of them. The Heart lost 2-0 at home to Adelaide on Monday and they looked out of it. WS have the benefit of an extra days rest, and with such a high work rate, like them to be too good here, as doubt the Heart can stay with them Sydney FC v Melbourne Victory over 3.5 @ 2.33 pinnacle Sydney got its first clean sheet in a long time but doubt that continues as they look to continue their rise up the ladder and face one of the more attack minded teams in the league. They have won their last 6 games at home, scoring at least twice in their last 5 home games but have conceded in 4 of their last 5 home games. The Victory have scored and conceded in 8 of their last 12 games, as well as 7 of their 11 away games, and looks likely another high scoring game like they have in the other two games this season which saw Sydney lose 3-2 at home to them, and the Victory won 3-1 at home. With both teams playing well at the moment, like the look of goals in this one. 46-65 (+2.63)
  10. Re: A League > 15 - 17 March Adelaide @ 1.94 pinnacle Adelaide -1 (EH) @ 3.40 sportsbet Very good by Adelaide away to the Melbourne Heart on Monday night and look to them to continue that form as they meet a Newcastle side that lacks quality without Heskey to lead the line. They look light in key areas, while Adelaide big guns showed against the Heart that they are looking to peak for the finals. If they continue that form, expect them to be too strong here, as they have the forwards like Vidosic and Carrusca to do some damage here 46-63 (+4.63)

  11. Re: A League > 8 - 11 March

    Sydney v Central Coast under 2.5 @ 2.25 :D Brisbane v Melbourne Victory under 2.5 @ 2.38 :D
    Western Sydney -1.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle Western Sydney -2 (EH) @ 3.75 sportsbet Western Sydney have won their last 8 games and now look to tie the record in the league for 9 straight wins in a row. They have a 2 point lead at the top of the table and with Central Coast losing yesterday, they can extend their lead to 5 points with a win here. Such has been their focus this season that doubt that they slip up here. They have won 6 of these 8 games by one goal, as well as winning 6 of their last 7 home games, and once again 5 of these 7 home games have been won by a goal. Believe they are due for a big win here as they face a Wellington side that got a rare win at home last week, but on the road, they have been awful. They have lost their last 6 away games, losing 2-0 in Brisbane, 5-0 at the Central Coast, 7-1 in Sydney, 2-0 to the Melbourne Victory, 2-1 Brisbane once again and 3-1 in Perth. They have been leaking goals as well as struggling to score, and see this as a game where WS will look to have one hand on the title with 3 games to play after this one 46-61 (+6.63)
  12. Re: A League > 8 - 11 March

    Newcastle v Perth over 2.5 @ 2.20 :D
    Sydney v Central Coast under 2.5 @ 2.25 pinnacle Sydney have scored and conceded in each of their last 9 games including their last 4 at home which they have won. However they face a tough task with Central Coast looking to get back on top of the ladder (temporarily) and sure to be looking to bounce back after their loss to Western Sydney at home last week, as well as losing the number one spot on the table. They have won just once on the road in their last 6 games, with 4 of these games going under, as they have just one clean sheet in these games. It looks like a game with goals in it but it will be interesting to see how Central Coast approach this game. They have played three games in a week, last week, so there may be some fatigue there as they will not have be used to that, as well as the return game in the Asian Champions League to follow this game, and there may be a player or two rested for that. These two teams usually play it close, and despite being at opposite ends of the ladder, Sydney's recent form suggests that they will push them all the way. They have won 3 of their last 6 meetings at home against the Central Coast, with 5 of these games being low scoring, and given the respective teams form coming into this game, it could be another tough and close game. Like the look of another low scoring game here Brisbane v Melbourne Victory under 2.5 @ 2.38 pinnacle Brisbane are 6th and have the last spot in the top 6 semi finals with three other clubs looking to knock them off, so they will be looking to build on their last three games, which they have won 2 and drawn the other, but have managed not to concede in any of these games. The Victory are 3rd and an outside chance of 2nd spot so they will be looking to continue their form, as they looked much better last week with Thompson back. However their road form has been poor, with one win and 3 losses in their last 4 on the road, as they look to improve their game on the road in the run in to the semi finals. These two teams tend to play high scoring games but they had a 1-1 draw in Melbourne and with the Victory's coach going back again to his former club, he will look to ensure there is not a repeat of the 5-0 loss in October last year when his side were starting to implement his game. Now with nearly a full season under their belt, they should be much more competitive and this looks like an even game with little between both sides. As such, believe that they will negate the other and keep this to a low scoring game 44-61 (+4.00)
  13. Re: A League > 8 - 11 March Newcastle v Perth over 2.5 @ 2.20 pinnacle Newcastle are without Regan in defence and young Chapman takes his spot but believe he will have a tough time trying to keep Smeltz in check. Also with Dodd coming back he should supply plenty of pace and service from the flanks for Smeltz. Up front they look light without Heskey but they have still manage to score goals at home, and with Bridge, like their chances of scoring on this Perth defence that has conceded in their last 5 away games. Perth have beaten Newcastle 3-0 and 3-2 at home this season and are looking for a sweep and have shown that they can get through this Newcastle defence, but their own defence has also been found wanting. Like both teams to score and with both teams needing a win to claim a top 6 spot with 4 games to go, then like the chances of both teams finding a third goal in this game 43-61 (+2.80)

  14. Re: Juventus v Celtic > Wed 6th March Under 2.5 @ 2.08 pinnacle Juventus lead 3-0 after the first leg, and even though they were not at their best, and Celtic had their chances, doubt that the hoops can do a Liverpool, and come back from three goals down. They are much stronger at home, and tend to play better there, but on the road, they did lose 2-1 at Barcelona and Benfica, while they won 3-2 at Spartak Moscow. But they face a side well known for putting on very good defensive displays, and having kept 6 cleans sheets in their last 8 games in the Serie A, as well as beating Chelsea 3-0, beating Nordsjaelland 4-0 and drawing 1-1 with Shaktar Donetsk in their three group games in the CL, then hard to see Celtic getting much oout of this game. Juventus can afford to lose 2-0 and still progress, but hard to see Celtic troubling them, and expect a low scoring game with Juventus content to sit back and soak up the pressure

  15. Re: Paris Saint-Germain v Valencia > Wed 6th March Under 2.5 @ 2.06 pinnacle PSG lead 2-1 after the first leg, and with two away goals, no need for them to go for goals in this game. They can sit back and defend and allow Valencia to come at them. They can even afford to lose 1-0 and still go through, and with Ibrahimovic out, expect them to play with a more defensive line up. They have shown that they can defend, as they have allowed just one goal in their last 7 home games in Lique 1. Valencia will come at them as they need to score twice, but at the same time they should be worried about getting hit on the counter. While their away form in the Primera Liga has been very good, with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 away games there, these wins have come against Celta Vigo, Deportivo, Granada and Osasuna, with all four teams towards the bottom of the league. PSG wil be a much tougher opponent, and as Valencia did lose 4-0 at 4th placed Malaga and 1-0 at 7th placed Real Betis, then expect them to hold them out, and keep this to a low scoring game

  16. Re: A League > 27 February - 3 March

    Adelaide - Brisbane under 2.5 @ 1.97 :ok Western Sydney @ 3.54 :ok Perth v Sydney FC over 2.5 @ 1.82 :ok Perth v Sydney FC over 3.5 @ 3.03 :@ Scored all 3 goals in the first half and could not add another in the second half
    Melbourne Heart @ 3.13 pinnacle Wellington are in disarray as they have lost 3 of their last 4 games and just one win in their last 5 home games. Melbourne Heart have been good at home but have drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 away games, but with the problems in Wellington, and also they are fighting for a top 6 spot, believe this is a good situation for them to get a rare away win Melbourne Victory -1 (EH) @ 2.60 sportsbet Victory get back for Thompson for this game which makes them more potent up front while Newcastle look like they are going to rest Heskey and Bridges, which takes away their potency when going forward. With not much of an outlet up front, then hard to see Newcastle causing the Victory too many problems, but with now Rojas and Thompson attacking from each flank, can see the Newcastle defence getting stretched and believe they will find holes in the defence that they will exploit. Victory beat them them 3-2 at home just after Christmas, after leading 2-0, but without their two front men, and also they have released goal scoring midfielder Griffiths to play in China, then the Victory look likely to win this one well 42-60 (+2.20)
  17. Re: A League > 27 February - 3 March Adelaide - Brisbane under 2.5 @ 1.97 pinnacle With their new coach Valkanis showing a preference to steel rather than flair in the side, than Adelaide are not going to be as open as they were at the start of the season. They grinded out a 1-0 win in their last home win over the Victory and then went on the road where they have been ordinary, losing 2-1 in Sydney and drawing 2-2 in Wellington. Expect their defence to be much tighter at home, as they face a Brisbane side that has won 2-0 at home to Wellington and then drew 0-0 in Newcastle last week. They have not conceded in their last two games, and as such, will be hard to score against here, with 3 of their last 4 away games going under. Brisbane won 1-0 in their last meeting which was in Adelaide and looks like another low scoring game here Western Sydney @ 3.54 pinnacle Top of the table clash where Central Coast have dropped just two points at home this season and as such have been difficult to beat, and in their last three home games, they have scored 14 goals. Western Sydney have won their last 7 games and their last 4 away games where they have scored at least two goals in each of these last 4 away games. Both teams play a similar style of game, with two very solid defences that give little away while their midfield has some very good players who like to work the ball. CC probably have the edge up front, but WS have a touch of class with Ono, and like him to give them the win here. In their last game against CC, WS had several key players which significantly weakened them and allowed CC to win 2-0, but with a full strength line up, and CC backing up after a mid-week Asian Champions League game where they drew 0-0 at home, may be their undoing Perth v Sydney FC over 2.5 @ 1.82 pinnacle Perth v Sydney FC over 3.5 @ 3.03 sportsbet Having beaten league leaders Central Coast 2-1 at home and pushed second placed Western Sydney all the way in the 1-0 away loss last week, Perth will go into this game with the confidence that they have been missing for most of the season. Sydney have struck some form with 4 wins and a draw in their last 7 games, which have tended to be high scoring game, as they have scored and conceded in each of their last 8 games, scoring at least twice in 6 of them, and allowing at least two goals in 4 of them. On the road, they have scored at least two goals in 5 of their 11 away games and allowed at least two goals in 9 of these 11 away games. Each of their last 4 away games has seen four goals scored in them, which includes a 2-2 draw in Perth in January. With both teams looking to get a top 6 spot, then expect an open game with neither defence in form, but their attacks have been scoring goals, in what is likely to be a high scoring game 39-59 (-1.13)

  18. Re: Queens Park Rangers v Manchester United > Sat 23rd February QPR v Man Utd under 2.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle After a 3-0 loss at home to Liverpool, QPR have had three successive 0-0 draws at home against the likes of Norwich, Man City and Tottenham, so Harry will be looking to set up once again to get a point against a top team. Man Utd had a 1-0 win at Fulham, drew 1-1 draw at Tottenham and drew 1-1 at Swansea in 3 of their last 4 away games (to go with a 4-0 win in Wigan) so they have not been dominating teams on the road as they tend to at home. Man Utd will be feeling pretty comfortable with a 12 point lead at the top and in the past, Ferguson has been known to rotate the squad when they have been up against a lower placed side. They have Norwich at home next week followed by the big one with Real Madrid, so with Rooney already out, would not be surprised a few more players are given a rest. Man Utd may edge this, but they will be made to work for this, and given that they have not conceded in their last 2 EPL games, their defence is starting to look more solid, and will be hard for QPR to breach them, given that they have also not scored in their last 4 home games. Like the look of a low scoring game here

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