Teo_

Bet 9 (from last night)

Bet 11
Nantes v Nice: under 6.5 @ 1.01 (in-play, 9th minute, 0-1)
Stake: 11.50

Life is one long learning curve.......the sooner we can straighten it out, the better.

Stats alone wouldn't do it. Sometimes you need the feeling about something...............and it has to be real, not manufactured.

Attempt 4: let's get it cracking!
Bet 1
Al Ahly Cairo v Al Mokawloon: under 6.5 @ 1.01 (in-play, 18th minute, 1-0)
Stake: 10.00

Attempt 4: let's get it cracking!
Bet 1
Al Ahly Cairo v Al Mokawloon: under 6.5 @ 1.01 (in-play, 18th minute, 1-0)
Stake: 10.00

Bet 6
Bournemouth v Newcastle: under 6.5 @ 1.01 (in-play, 50th minute, 1-1)
Stake: 11.87

Attempt 2: let's get going!
Starting bankroll: $10.08 (8 cents left from the 2nd attempt)
Bet 1
Bali Utd Pusam v Persib Bandung: over 0.5 @ 1.08 (in-play, 16th minute)
Stake: 10.08

Thank you, Aldric! Will certainly do, starting tomorrow, most likely.

Following last few days' close calls that Aldric and Skittle emphasized (thank you, gents!), I took a step back and analyzed the thought process behind the riskier bets. While not exactly terrible, there are a few things that I need to correct, like a certain degree of overconfidence and the tendency to rush things.
Over the last few days I started feeling a bit disappointed upon checking 2-3 games and finding no betting opportunity, so I'd analyze again, looking for new angles and kind of convincing myself that a certain possible bet wasn't as risky as I had initially thought it to be. No major consequences so far, but my luck is bound to run out if I keep pushing it. This is also the mindset that preceded some past failures, so I should be all too familiar with how one poor decision can render several good (or moderately good) ones irrelevant.
Obviously, there's no magic pill to keep my attitude in line; if I come up with a daily betting limit (in terms of number of bets or profit), I'll be feeling very frustrated when I notice a good opportunity that I can't take advantage of; this will fuel my risk appetite down the line, so not good. Anyway, that would be like trying to stop smoking by staying away from anyone who smokes or places that are bound to trigger cravings: you're not really addressing the addiction, but hoping it will simply subside if you avoid triggers for long enough... which it doesn't. Sure, it's different for everyone; that's how I function.
The best way to go about it, for me at least, will be to constantly remind myself of the deadline I started this challenge with: the end of the year. As we're still in January, I have plenty of time to hit it, especially considering the numbers: taking Betfair's fee into account, I need 637 bets at 1.01 to increase the current balance, 34.48, to above 12.5K (12,545.31 to be precise). Sound like a lot, but, if I were to place 3 bets per day, I'd need 212-213 days to complete the challenge. Around 7 months. Pretty reasonable, to say the least.
Now, that's the theory. Sounds easy enough, but implementing it may prove challenging, especially after a few fruitful days. I may need to take some days off betting every now and then, to tone down the eagerness to place one more bet... and one more... and one more, the last one, I promise! Guess most punters know what I'm talking about here.
With this in mind: 637 bets @ 1.01 left. Piece of cake, walk in the park ?

Thank you, Aldric! Will certainly do, starting tomorrow, most likely.

Would have been fine if it was your usual goals bet.
Have another shot ?

Well, that was fast ?
Attempt 2, already over. Back to the drawing board.

Well, that was fast ?
Attempt 2, already over. Back to the drawing board.

Appreciate the advice, but, to be honest, I don't have much knowledge on any leagues. I mainly bet on stats and some info on missing players, whenever I can find it, so it doesn't look like concentrating on certain leagues could make much of a difference in my case.
It would surely be a good idea to improve my knowledge on the main leagues, at least, but this will take time and some getting used to following football news, so, for the time being, I will have to stick to stats and hope I dodge most bullets.

Aaaand done! 92nd minute goal, so much for the first attempt ?
I will take a few days to assess and be back with the second try. I'm thinking of concentrating on over 0.5s and 1.5s for a while, then laying underdogs in-play, once I've reached the bankroll to do so, but I will give it some more thought and come up with a plan.

I agree, the risks I'm taking have increased lately. I will need to take it easier.

Bet 83
Bayern Munich v FC Koln: under 5.5 @ 1.01 (in-play, 65th minute, 0-1)
Stake: 35.78

Following last few days' close calls that Aldric and Skittle emphasized (thank you, gents!), I took a step back and analyzed the thought process behind the riskier bets. While not exactly terrible, there are a few things that I need to correct, like a certain degree of overconfidence and the tendency to rush things.
Over the last few days I started feeling a bit disappointed upon checking 2-3 games and finding no betting opportunity, so I'd analyze again, looking for new angles and kind of convincing myself that a certain possible bet wasn't as risky as I had initially thought it to be. No major consequences so far, but my luck is bound to run out if I keep pushing it. This is also the mindset that preceded some past failures, so I should be all too familiar with how one poor decision can render several good (or moderately good) ones irrelevant.
Obviously, there's no magic pill to keep my attitude in line; if I come up with a daily betting limit (in terms of number of bets or profit), I'll be feeling very frustrated when I notice a good opportunity that I can't take advantage of; this will fuel my risk appetite down the line, so not good. Anyway, that would be like trying to stop smoking by staying away from anyone who smokes or places that are bound to trigger cravings: you're not really addressing the addiction, but hoping it will simply subside if you avoid triggers for long enough... which it doesn't. Sure, it's different for everyone; that's how I function.
The best way to go about it, for me at least, will be to constantly remind myself of the deadline I started this challenge with: the end of the year. As we're still in January, I have plenty of time to hit it, especially considering the numbers: taking Betfair's fee into account, I need 637 bets at 1.01 to increase the current balance, 34.48, to above 12.5K (12,545.31 to be precise). Sound like a lot, but, if I were to place 3 bets per day, I'd need 212-213 days to complete the challenge. Around 7 months. Pretty reasonable, to say the least.
Now, that's the theory. Sounds easy enough, but implementing it may prove challenging, especially after a few fruitful days. I may need to take some days off betting every now and then, to tone down the eagerness to place one more bet... and one more... and one more, the last one, I promise! Guess most punters know what I'm talking about here.
With this in mind: 637 bets @ 1.01 left. Piece of cake, walk in the park ?

Following last few days' close calls that Aldric and Skittle emphasized (thank you, gents!), I took a step back and analyzed the thought process behind the riskier bets. While not exactly terrible, there are a few things that I need to correct, like a certain degree of overconfidence and the tendency to rush things.
Over the last few days I started feeling a bit disappointed upon checking 2-3 games and finding no betting opportunity, so I'd analyze again, looking for new angles and kind of convincing myself that a certain possible bet wasn't as risky as I had initially thought it to be. No major consequences so far, but my luck is bound to run out if I keep pushing it. This is also the mindset that preceded some past failures, so I should be all too familiar with how one poor decision can render several good (or moderately good) ones irrelevant.
Obviously, there's no magic pill to keep my attitude in line; if I come up with a daily betting limit (in terms of number of bets or profit), I'll be feeling very frustrated when I notice a good opportunity that I can't take advantage of; this will fuel my risk appetite down the line, so not good. Anyway, that would be like trying to stop smoking by staying away from anyone who smokes or places that are bound to trigger cravings: you're not really addressing the addiction, but hoping it will simply subside if you avoid triggers for long enough... which it doesn't. Sure, it's different for everyone; that's how I function.
The best way to go about it, for me at least, will be to constantly remind myself of the deadline I started this challenge with: the end of the year. As we're still in January, I have plenty of time to hit it, especially considering the numbers: taking Betfair's fee into account, I need 637 bets at 1.01 to increase the current balance, 34.48, to above 12.5K (12,545.31 to be precise). Sound like a lot, but, if I were to place 3 bets per day, I'd need 212-213 days to complete the challenge. Around 7 months. Pretty reasonable, to say the least.
Now, that's the theory. Sounds easy enough, but implementing it may prove challenging, especially after a few fruitful days. I may need to take some days off betting every now and then, to tone down the eagerness to place one more bet... and one more... and one more, the last one, I promise! Guess most punters know what I'm talking about here.
With this in mind: 637 bets @ 1.01 left. Piece of cake, walk in the park ?

That's a bit too risky for me. Forty minutes left in a game where the other team just needs two goals to scupper the bet. ?

Bet 78
Chindia Targoviste v Arges Pitesti: Lay Arges Pitesti (in-play, 50th minute, 1-0)
Risk: 31.90 (1.1 backer's stake @ 30.00)

Pheeeew! Good thing I wasn't watching the game.
Thanks, btw! The last few minutes were the most intense this week.
The 2nd life I used today, after the game in Indonesia. If today's luck ever evens out, I can expect a pot of flowers falling on my head. While I'm inside.
?

Hopefully no more goal after that crazy 3 goals in 4 minutes! 
??

?
Used up a life there! ?