Jump to content

DeeRobster

New Members
  • Posts

    9
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from gbettle in Racing Chat - Tuesday 18th May   
    Yea, pity about swell being a non-runner as I felt it had a good chance.
     
    I like Omany Amber, ran it through another spreadsheet I use for race type and field size using RPR and TS statistics.
    Interesting over a sample of 116 races of this type and size, spot form rank #3 has the highest win strike rate at 24.14%. Omany Amber and Deep Impression are joint ranked #3 with an RPR of 84, but I don't think Deep Impression has a chance here based n other stats I use. So Omany Amber is my choice.
    Another interesting figure is Swallodale which is ranked RPR #2, on my spreadsheet this shows at the highest profit figure for E/W. Currently at 12/1.

  2. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from gbettle in Final Voyage 10/1   
    Final Voyage is looking very tasty at 10/1. I have ran my stats and this horse is standing out to me.
    My speed rating 79.6 (#1)
    My Course suitability rating (#1)
    My Jokey rating 2.7 (#2)
    My trainer rating 3.4 (#2)
    LTO 75.8 (#2)
    My forecasted speed rating today 78 (#1)
    Silent Film poses the biggest threat to Final Voyage, however, the stats for FV are strong and at 10/1 this is the selection I'm going with.
     
    Final Voyage 10/1 1.5pts Each-Way (Total 3pts)
    1610 Wolverhampton
  3. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from Wildgarden in Final Voyage 10/1   
    Final Voyage is looking very tasty at 10/1. I have ran my stats and this horse is standing out to me.
    My speed rating 79.6 (#1)
    My Course suitability rating (#1)
    My Jokey rating 2.7 (#2)
    My trainer rating 3.4 (#2)
    LTO 75.8 (#2)
    My forecasted speed rating today 78 (#1)
    Silent Film poses the biggest threat to Final Voyage, however, the stats for FV are strong and at 10/1 this is the selection I'm going with.
     
    Final Voyage 10/1 1.5pts Each-Way (Total 3pts)
    1610 Wolverhampton
  4. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Tuesday 18th May   
    Yea, pity about swell being a non-runner as I felt it had a good chance.
     
    I like Omany Amber, ran it through another spreadsheet I use for race type and field size using RPR and TS statistics.
    Interesting over a sample of 116 races of this type and size, spot form rank #3 has the highest win strike rate at 24.14%. Omany Amber and Deep Impression are joint ranked #3 with an RPR of 84, but I don't think Deep Impression has a chance here based n other stats I use. So Omany Amber is my choice.
    Another interesting figure is Swallodale which is ranked RPR #2, on my spreadsheet this shows at the highest profit figure for E/W. Currently at 12/1.

  5. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from fd1972uk in Racing Chat - Tuesday 18th May   
    Yea, pity about swell being a non-runner as I felt it had a good chance.
     
    I like Omany Amber, ran it through another spreadsheet I use for race type and field size using RPR and TS statistics.
    Interesting over a sample of 116 races of this type and size, spot form rank #3 has the highest win strike rate at 24.14%. Omany Amber and Deep Impression are joint ranked #3 with an RPR of 84, but I don't think Deep Impression has a chance here based n other stats I use. So Omany Amber is my choice.
    Another interesting figure is Swallodale which is ranked RPR #2, on my spreadsheet this shows at the highest profit figure for E/W. Currently at 12/1.

  6. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from MCLARKE in Hunter Chase - 7.55 Huntingdon   
    Typically, the RPR #1 wins this race 45% of the time and places 54% of the time as per the spreadsheet.
    Interestingly, top speed #3 is the biggest profit margin on each way terms and on my own speed ratings that falls with Tully's Touch.
    I ran this race through my speadsheets and LTO I have Dolphin Square at 117 and Tully's Touch at 91.4, though the speed forecast for today based on my stats is 40 for Dolphin Square and 38.4 for Tully's Touch, this looks rather close to me for todays race. If Tully's Touch was a wider price I would have taken it E/W, but the price ain't right for me on E/W terms.
    I think Tully is more progressive and my forecast is very cloe between these two, and because I'm not being offered good e/w terms, I have taken Tully to win.

  7. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Final Voyage 10/1   
    Final Voyage is looking very tasty at 10/1. I have ran my stats and this horse is standing out to me.
    My speed rating 79.6 (#1)
    My Course suitability rating (#1)
    My Jokey rating 2.7 (#2)
    My trainer rating 3.4 (#2)
    LTO 75.8 (#2)
    My forecasted speed rating today 78 (#1)
    Silent Film poses the biggest threat to Final Voyage, however, the stats for FV are strong and at 10/1 this is the selection I'm going with.
     
    Final Voyage 10/1 1.5pts Each-Way (Total 3pts)
    1610 Wolverhampton
  8. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Hunter Chase - 7.55 Huntingdon   
    Typically, the RPR #1 wins this race 45% of the time and places 54% of the time as per the spreadsheet.
    Interestingly, top speed #3 is the biggest profit margin on each way terms and on my own speed ratings that falls with Tully's Touch.
    I ran this race through my speadsheets and LTO I have Dolphin Square at 117 and Tully's Touch at 91.4, though the speed forecast for today based on my stats is 40 for Dolphin Square and 38.4 for Tully's Touch, this looks rather close to me for todays race. If Tully's Touch was a wider price I would have taken it E/W, but the price ain't right for me on E/W terms.
    I think Tully is more progressive and my forecast is very cloe between these two, and because I'm not being offered good e/w terms, I have taken Tully to win.

  9. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from Zico10 in Final Voyage 10/1   
    Final Voyage is looking very tasty at 10/1. I have ran my stats and this horse is standing out to me.
    My speed rating 79.6 (#1)
    My Course suitability rating (#1)
    My Jokey rating 2.7 (#2)
    My trainer rating 3.4 (#2)
    LTO 75.8 (#2)
    My forecasted speed rating today 78 (#1)
    Silent Film poses the biggest threat to Final Voyage, however, the stats for FV are strong and at 10/1 this is the selection I'm going with.
     
    Final Voyage 10/1 1.5pts Each-Way (Total 3pts)
    1610 Wolverhampton
  10. Like
    DeeRobster got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Tuesday 18th May   
    I'm liking a lot of horses today, these are just some...
     
    Each-Way's
    Swell Song 16/1 - 12:30 Brighton - 1.5pt ew (3pts)
    Omany Amber 8/1 - 14:55 Nottingham - 1.5pts ew (3pts)
    Moment Of Peace 33/1 - 15:55 Brighton - 1.5pts ew (3pts)
    De Vegas Kid 6/1 - 15:20 Brighton - 1.5pts ew (3pts)
    Final Voyage 10/1 - 16:10 Wolverhampton - 1.5pt ew (3pts)
     
    Win Only
    Iconic Muddle 15/8  -  17:55 Huntingdon - 2pt win
    Stoney Mountain 3/1 - 19:25 Huntingdon - 2pt win
    Grange Ranger 4/1 - 18:05 Hexham - 2pt win
    Thegoaheadman 7/4 - 18:45 Limerick - 2pt win
    Table Mountain 11/4 - 17:25 Huntingdon - 2pt win
    Tullys Touch 15/8 - 19:55 Huntingdon - 2pt win
     
×
×
  • Create New...