MAGA_Trump

https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-47121681

Roberto Bautista Agut to win ATP Sofia at 5.50 with bet365
My last bet this week. Considering the odds we have 4 favorites to win here: Bautista (5.5), Tsitsipas (5.5), Khachanov (5.5) and Medvedev (6.0). From all these players Bautista is the one who “theorically” has two first rounds easier than the others had.
He will face tomorrow Ebden (his victory against him is paid at 1.15). Ebden almost lost against Adrian Andreev, a local player who is 17 years old.
In his second match Bautista will face Yannick Maden/Seppi/Fucsovics (I think that he now is so much better than any of them). Fucsovics had an injury in the AO and he couldn’t compete for his country in the Davis Cup, so he can’t be in his best. Seppi played 2 matches in the Davis Cup (against Ramanathan 6-4, 6-2 and against Gunneswaran 6-1, 6-4). Both matches were played on Grass (different surface from here: hard indoor). Yannick Maden, who surprisingly won against Mannarino, can’t be a threat for RBA.
In the Semifinal he will face Khachanov/Berrettini/Copil/Lazarov/Verdasco. At first I have to say that this looks the kind of tournament were Verdasco has an early “unexpected” defeat (these are my feelings, let’s see what happens). Lazarov is a local player who is 17 years and probably will be destroyed by Verdasco if nothing “strange” happens there. Then Verdasco will face Copil (anybody can win here). The other players are Khachanov and Berrettini. The Russian played 2 matches in the Davis Cup (against Huesler 6-3, 7-5 and against Laaksonen 7-6, 6-7, 6-4). The matches were played on hard but is remarkable how Laaksonen put him in real troubles. Is important to remember that Bautista won against Khachanov 6-4, 7-5, 6-4 in the Australia Open (RBA leads the h2h 3-1 and the only 2 matches played on hard are victories for RBA). Anyway, I think Berrettini can put in some troubles to Karen, let’s see.
Im not gonna analise the possible Finalists from the other part. We have there Medvedev, Tsitsipas, Haase, Monfils,… The 2 more dangerous are Medvedev and Tsitsipas I guess (also Monfils if he finds some regularity in his game).
Finally, I want to talk about Bautista. He is in his best form. In the AO he won against Murray, Millman, Khachanov and Cilic. He won in Doha, beating there Berrettini, GG Lopez, Wawrinka, Djokovic and Berdych. I have no doubts about his implication here, he did Title here in 2016, beating Troicki in the Final.

Players like Wawrinka don’t need to gain money with match fixing, they have a lot of money. Wawrinka had a complicated match against Copil who did final in this tournament the last year and Basilashvili can win against the best players but he also can lose against low ranked players because he has an ultra-aggressive style of playing. There is a lot of match fixing in Challengers and ITF events but I can’t imagine players with a good ATP ranking fixing matches so it’s more a motivation issue like you said. Obviously, there will be some that do it but not too many (and not the 2 players you have mentioned I guess). The most typical form of match fixing in this level is that where players bet for themselves on a full match bookie and If they see that they can’t win the match they retire.

Norrie has not played since the AO 1st round where he lost against Fritz 3-0.
Norrie record on clay: 7-7
On the other side, Cachin is a local player that has won the Qualification against Trungelliti and Quinzi in straight sets.
Cachin record on clay: 165-106
 
In resume, a clay-courter player already adapted on Cordoba's clay against a Hard surface player first clay match this year.
 
Cachin +1'5 sets at 1'58 with MarathonBet Stake 2'5/10

Victory in straight sets for Cachin.
 
Today in Cordoba - Argentina I just like Giannessi against Seyboth Wild. The reasons more or less like yesterday in Norrie - Cachin game:
Seyboth Wild has played not so many matches on clay and he has never won a match in ATP category on clay.
Seyboth Wild record on clay: 11-13
On the other side, Giannessi is an italian player that has won the Qualification against a local in straight sets and his fellow Lorenzi 2-1.
Giannessi record on clay: 178-153
 
In resume, a clay-courter player already adapted on Cordoba's clay against a low ATP ranking player non used to play on clay.
 
Giannessi to win at 1'57 with Betfair Stake 2'5/10
Giannessi 2-0 at 2'35 with Unibet 0'75/10

Quite dangerous Basic vs Klizan for tomorrow the 6th. Isn't it?
Basic:
- The 1st of February playing Davis Cup in Australia. 1 day on plane plus the jet lag.
- No change of surface. Davis Cup was Hard Outdoor and this is Indoor
- Horrible performance against De Minaur in Davis Cup 6-3 7-6(0) and lost in 1st round in AO
- Basic is defending 250 points due to last year victory in this tournament
 
Klizan:
- Played the weekend on clay Davis Cup in Slovakia (not far away). So, he's changing the surface.
- Lost easy against Tsonga the 1st Round in AO
 
If I had to bet, I'll be with Basic to win a set @ 1'69 at Pinnacle

Hi and welcome @MAGA_Trump!

Norrie has not played since the AO 1st round where he lost against Fritz 3-0.
Norrie record on clay: 7-7
On the other side, Cachin is a local player that has won the Qualification against Trungelliti and Quinzi in straight sets.
Cachin record on clay: 165-106
 
In resume, a clay-courter player already adapted on Cordoba's clay against a Hard surface player first clay match this year.
 
Cachin +1'5 sets at 1'58 with MarathonBet Stake 2'5/10

Norrie has not played since the AO 1st round where he lost against Fritz 3-0.
Norrie record on clay: 7-7
On the other side, Cachin is a local player that has won the Qualification against Trungelliti and Quinzi in straight sets.
Cachin record on clay: 165-106
 
In resume, a clay-courter player already adapted on Cordoba's clay against a Hard surface player first clay match this year.
 
Cachin +1'5 sets at 1'58 with MarathonBet Stake 2'5/10