Craig bluenose

Zilch today.
Running total+11.98

Ripon             5.05    Wreck It Ryley                   6/1ew    4pl
Kilbeggan      5.20    Second Subaltern            10/1ew    4pl
Newmarket    5.15    Rossmore Nation            18/1ew    5pl
Chelmsford    7.30    Jumira Bridge                    7/1ew    
£3.00 ew lucky15
potential returns £1,752.17

Though I do recall a time when one or other firm would vary the offering from shop to shop based on the competition nearby.

Good luck👍

Chel 1.30 Captain Tom Cat 13/2 
Chel 2.05 Lady Adare 11/1 
New 1.50 Surely Not 14/1 
New 2.25 Orazio 9/1 
Bet 3 : 10p lucky 15 with 888 
Running total -£2.52 
Double up today
Profit today £16 
Running total+£13.48

Ok todays pics

1.50 Newmarket 
hi royal 9/2
2.25 Newmarket 
new kingdom 10/3
3.00 Newmarket 
bucephalus 13/2
5.20 Newmarket 
lihou 9/1
10p e/w bet365 

Hi there,
Betfred do pay BOG on their L15's and you get 3 x the odds if you get just one winner.  This account is well worth having IMO.  I also have a Skybet account.  I tend to use this if I can't get an extra place offer through Betfred; though I would always prefer Betfred because I get BOG with my bets and don't get this with Skybet.
For reasons only known to Bet365 they have excluded me from BOG. Thus the only time I use them now is when they are offering the best odds as opposed to the other firms and I feel I won't get better odds anywhere else.
I hope this helps.

Day 26
Redcar      4.10    Leading Company    10/1ew    ------lost
Windsor    4.20    Carp Kid                   14/1ew    4pl---lost
Redcar      4.40    Merseyside               20/1ew    4pl---lost
Windsor    5.55    Zuraig                       22/1ew    ------lost
Day 26 loss £3.00
Overall £94.85 - £3.00 = £91.85 profit
======================================================================
Summary of lucky 15 bets so far -              initial profit    £80.00
                                              further profit after day 26    £91.85
other profits along the way including mclarkes biggie   £994.75
                                                                 overall profit £1,166.60

Overall not a bad little exercise with a decent profit after the stated 26 days.
I will continue to enter selections when possible but will discontinue days and profit/loss.
I will continue to monitor profit/loss in the background to see if this continues to show profit overall.
Good punting to all fellow punters. 

Nice little profit yesterday let’s have a bit more today 💰

betfred pay 3x odds 1 winner others may but u would need to check, as for yankees i have an aversion to picking a winner and not getting anything for it 😄ooops looks like someone has answered on my behalf about the 3x odds

b/fwd -5.80
L15
3.00 Red Belhaven 3/1
3.55 Kel Atlantic Dancer 9/2
5.45 Tram Jump The Shark 10/3
8.00 Km Assessment 5/2
1 x 0.20 L15 = 3.00 poss ret 155.80
-------------------------------------------------------------
Two winners returned 5.97 points so 2.97 profit on the day.  The carry forward is now -2.83

BET 365. I've done away with the each way for the time being, until I've done further research

Like i have already said you will drop an almighty clanger sooner or later with that itchy finger because the thing is you can't get the bonus anyway if you cash out, i might be stating the obvious here but to get all 4 up in a lucky 15 the last leg has to run.

I retired many years ago with gains on the stock market, much easier to make money but not as much fun !
Also, if it wasn't for you banging the drum about L15s I would never have had a bet on them so many thanks for that.
As you say you are never too old to learn !

4.20 windsor
oh Herbert’s reign
4.55 windsor
strategia
5.25 Windsor 
warhol
5.55 Windsor 
beautiful crown
 

Ok here we go for another week of profit 💰💰good luck all 👍

I would never had the pleasure of a bonus yet but a lot of good pay outs for three winners or good cash outs @Zilzalian 😂👍

If you are doing some more analysis is it possible for you to take into account the following:
As I understand it statisticians collate all the results of all horses that run in every race and somehow the SP prices of horses are supposed to reflect their true chances of success out of all the horses running throughout the year/season/period under review.
If I'm not mistaken your winning selections were two favoutites and two 3rd favourites.
What I am wondering is if you can obtain stats for the first 3 in the markets in open races which start at a minimum price of 7/2.
I suspect that the first 3 in the market perform better than just say adding in together ALL 5/1, 8/1 and 10/1 plus SP selections and then declaring that is their true probability of winning.

Too true, I did shoot myself in the foot by winning but I didn't mind !
I didn't realise that there was a 15% boost for getting 4 winners, this is obviously another benefit
I'll do a bit of analysis to try and calculate the additional edge of these bets

Lucky 15's 31's 63's
Lets clarify a few things about Lucky 15's 31's 63's, @MCLARKE will tell you lots of “data” related reasons why you should technically avoid them, he will also put in warnings like “bookies benefit bet,” and how long or how many lifetimes you will need to live before getting one up etc and they are valid points although he just shot himself in the foot with those arguments but they are actually valid but nothing is ever that simple.
Now here's the thing, you do not need 4 winners or even 3 or 2 for that matter all you need is 1 x 8/1 winner to make a profit due to the double the odds (bet365 for this article) That is why I personally disregard EW on these bets unless the prices are literally huge i.e. all four selections are 16/1 or greater (an obvious exception would be say for example you have a 33/1 14/1 10/1 10/1). An argument could be made for just doing an EW acca in addition to your L15 bet just in case all 4 place.
 
So that is the basis for your lucky 15, every winner thereafter is more profit so a double is perfectly reasonable (see attached Screenshot) 2 x 8/1 shots is 100/1 for example, 3 x 8/1 shots is 1000/1 and 4 x 8/1 shots is 10,000/1.
 
Personally I don't do a Lucky 15's daily but sometimes I do more than one so it evens out at around one per day so bear in mind because I do 40p L15's (20p EW on the rarer occasion) at £6 a piece they cost me around £2,000 quid a year (£500 for a 10p L15) and that is how much I would lose if I never had a winner. So I need to return £2000 quid per year before I start to make a profit. My year starts end of flat to end of flat (November – November) I surpassed £2000 returns by the end of December (pretty much proofed on this site if anyone cares to check) so every return I get now is pure profit so that means that my selections can now be any price. I no longer have to meet the 8/1 threshold for my minimum required return I can now include the odd fav in my Lucky 15 if I have a strong fancy.
 
WARNING.
I do not or rarely back/copy other peoples bets. Originally on this thread there were just 4 of us so it was a bit of fun as we each picked a geegee each day, however I soon realised that there are dangers involved, the danger being the bookies aint stupid and if they are paying out to multiple players with the same selections on the same bet type they would soon twig and react accordingly PL is a public forum and you can bet your arse they can/do read these threads and it concerns me that people could lose their accounts.

@harry_rag Interesting points Harry personally i would still do them but that is because i would still make money without the bonus's. Now here's the thing as regards me, i do my own speed figures and that's my day job, doing those speed figures produces a list of horses, the figures are  most accurate when applied to the pattern, listed to G1 which leaves many that i wouldn't ordinarily use but it takes about 25-30 hours a week to produce speed figures and so i utilise the leftovers for want of a better expression at lower levels ie lucky 15's especially in the winter aw flat mainly, however i know that at that level they are very inconsistent because either the trainers are manipulating the handicap or the very nature of that horse pool is inconsistency so they are not worthy of any decent stake so i lump them together in lucky 15's to small stakes i don't really expect to win much but it keeps me ticking over throughout winter until the flat gets going. Now that's me. So what about others? Well you have many punters who just like to have a bet but cant be bothered to put the work in or simply don't have the time, if you are one of those types of punters you will have no chance backing in singles simply because you just don't know enough to make a profit long term. So lets say for tv races you don't/wouldn't want to advise people to chuck even a tenner on each race so what better way of enjoying a bet/the sport than a small stakes Lucky 15 or even 2 (if there are enough races which they usually are) you and i have been in enough bookie shops to know they are full of people that know nothing and whoop whoop when they get the odd winner but we also know they have lost good money long term. There are similar types on this forum and that is not to denigrate them in anyway because at least they are looking for information and joining in the comps, the equaliser is a good example, most of the others exist but don't get involved in the debates. I think i have said before im old now so i like to pass on advice and tips that might benefit those sorts of punters just like i learned so much from talking to the "old boys" when i was younger. Ask @MCLARKE to be honest and say how he felt when Corach Rambler jumped the last on Saturday, that should answer all the questions of why do a Lucky15? Its not all about the money is it?

Current record
Out £54, in £1,021.76, profit £967.76
 
I'll try for the luck of the Irish today
 
 
BET365 EW

Ok Michael time for the fight back 😂😂

I'll try an Irish one today -
Day 25
Tramore    2.50    Port Rashid               14/1ew    4pl
Tramore    3.25    Unheralded               14/1ew    4pl
Tramore    5.10    Itsalonglongroad      18/1ew    5pl
Curragh    5.25    Knockmore Prince    14/1ew    6pl
£3.00 ew lucky15
potential returns £8,253.68