black rabbit

Fantastic Lady                                                    4 05 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       38/1              -6th
Frero Banbou                                                     4 05 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
Zeeband                                                              5 15 Aim/                         1/40th of a pt ew       18/1
Pikar                                                                     5 15 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       25/1
Jango Baie                                                           2 20 Ain/                           1/40th of a pt ew      14/1             - 2nd
 

Fantastic Lady                                                    4 05 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       38/1              -6th
Frero Banbou                                                     4 05 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
Zeeband                                                              5 15 Aim/                         1/40th of a pt ew       18/1
Pikar                                                                     5 15 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       25/1
Jango Baie                                                           2 20 Ain/                           1/40th of a pt ew      14/1             - 2nd
 

Stats for the Red Rum Handicap Chase (4.40)
Todays weight 8lbs or more lower than previous run, 8 wins from 37 runs, LSP 128 points
Todays weight less than 10st 11lbs, 7 wins from 51 runs, LSP 103 points
Did not run in a class 1 or 2 race last time, 7 wins from 50 runs, LSP 101 points
This leaves 3, BYTHESAMETOKN (33/1), GUY (28/1) and IRISH BLAZE (14/1)
Did not finish in first 5 last time, 5 from 52, LSP 28 points
This leaves BYTHESAMETOKEN at 33/1 (4 places)
 
 

Ain't 515
I'll try a small ew on Park Princess  33/1 skybet 5places.

13:45 Il Etait Temps 1pt Win @11/4 Although Grey Dawning has been impressive this season and won well at Cheltenham i think there is an angle to take them on here. They are obviously the horse to beat however Il Etait Temps is where i will be siding. Grey Dawning has been known to have some jumping frailties and at odds of even money i think is very very short. Il Etait Temps was underwhelming at Cheltenham however they didnt really travel with any sort of intent and their jumping was uncharacteristically poor. If they can sharpen that back up the step up in trip could prove very effective as they stayed on strongly up the Cheltenham hill late in the day
14:55 Gerri Colombe 1pt win @9/4 As much as i love Shishkin im going to be backing elsewhere here as with the previous Nikki Henderson issues and the complexity of the horse being a major put off. I think the play here is Gerri Colombe who ran very well in the goldcup this year and we know will appreciate the ground and also the distance. These are not real doubts to Shishkin however I think Gerri Colombe could be a class above them and in this staying division they can continue to make a real mark.
16:40 Saint Roi 1pt E/W @11/2 (4 places)_nSaint Roi was mighty unlucky at Cheltenham the whole way round and can rewrite their wrongs here at Aintree. They were found short of room on multiple occasions and were found in an unideal position. This is a mighty competitive race with a few with chances. I think the best of the 2 skelton runners is Heltenham however u think both of them are a bit short in the market so ill be siding here!

AW selection
Southwell 3.40
PATH TO DUBAI 

Aint 405 
Kandoo kid  9.0 16/1 
The Edgar Wallace 8.8 36.0 
Fantastic lady 8.7 34.0 Betfair 
Incredibly hard race ....5pt Ew kandoo ...5pt wins other two Betfair 

220 ain't 
Might I  8.9 20/1 
Theatre man. 8.7 11/1 
Kateira. 8.4  8/1 
Spring Well bay. 8.0 
Icare Allen. 8.0 
Very difficult race ....kateira is fav and sets the standard so as you can see in comparison the top 2 look very good value bets. . .I'll try 5pt Ew both 😁 

Fantastic Lady                                                    4 05 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       38/1              -6th
Frero Banbou                                                     4 05 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
Zeeband                                                              5 15 Aim/                         1/40th of a pt ew       18/1
Pikar                                                                     5 15 Ain/                          1/40th of a pt ew       25/1
Jango Baie                                                           2 20 Ain/                           1/40th of a pt ew      14/1             - 2nd
 

Mayhem Mya                                                      4 40 Ain/                     1/40th of a pt ew        36/1        - 4th
Neman Lion                                                        3 30 Ain/                      1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
 
 
 
P/L    + 176.85 pts

1.55 south 
Split the profit seemed to run a good time over the 5f south two runs ago and wouldn't have liked the 6f chelm last time ....a return to his favoured conditions should be to his liking ....hopefully he will run better today 
Split the profit  5pt win 4.1 Betfair 

Mayhem Mya                                                      4 40 Ain/                     1/40th of a pt ew        36/1        - 4th
Neman Lion                                                        3 30 Ain/                      1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
 
 
 
P/L    + 176.85 pts

Aintree 1.45 Day two of a rain sodden Aintree Grand National meeting kicks off with the Grade 1 Mildmay Novices’ Chase run over 3M 1F. Gavin Cromwell’s Inotherwayurthinkin is one of six runners declared and he made an absolute mockery of his handicap mark at the Cheltenham Festival 29 days ago when ridden with upmost confidence by Derek O’Connor in sauntering to a eight length victory in the Kim Muir Handicap Chase and although this is a step up in grade is the highest rated in the field by 4lb. He can take this with both trip and ground conditions to suit from anther Cheltenham Festival winner in the Kim Bailey trained Chianti Classico who took the Ultima Handicap in good style. Both Iroko and Heart Wood have stamina to prove whilst the first time cheek pieced Broadway Boy also has claims.   INOTHEWAYUTHINKIN 1 point win @ 11-4 William Hill   Aintree 2.20 A maximum sized field of twenty two face the starter for this William Hill sponsored Premier Handicap Hurdle run over a trip of 2M 4F. It has a wide open look about with Dan Skelton throwing five into the race so with stable jockey Harry Skelton apparently choosing Kateira, she should be on anyone’s short list. One who catches my eye is the bottom weight Making Headway, trained by Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero. A lightly raced 3M Irish point to point winner he should relish stepping up to 2M 4F for the first time and with his two victories at Carlisle and Newbury both coming in heavy ground today’s boggy terrain will be of no concern to his connections. His fourth to Go Dante at Sandown in a similar handicap last time was decent form especially as he was staying on up the run in looking to all that a step up in trip will suit. He sports first time cheek pieces as well and looks a good each way bet.   MAKING HEADWAY 1 point each way @ 8/1 bet365 1/5th 123456   Aintree 2.55 A field of eight line up for this Grade 1 Trustatrader Top Novices’ Hurdle run over 2M 103 yards. A strong fancy is the Willie Mullins trained, J P McManus owned Mystical Power who had both Firefox and stable mate Mistergif 3 1/2L and 6L respectively behind in the Supreme Novice Hurdle at Cheltenham and there seems no real reason why either should turn the tables on the pick. I worry about the very testing ground for Fergal O’Brien’s smart mare Dysart Enos, who missed Cheltenham through injury and a bigger danger may well be Jeremy Scott’s mare Golden Ace who took the mares novice hurdle at Cheltenham four weeks ago. This looks one for Mullins and J P McManus though with Mystical Power.   MYSTICAL POWER 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill   Aintree 3.30 A small but select field of seven go to post for the 2M 4F My Pension Expert Melling Chase. The highest rated is the Nicky Henderson trained Jonbon who will be the pick but only if there are signs on day one that all is well with his stable following his nightmare Cheltenham. Henderson has run nothing of real note since and with Jonbon missing Cheltenham will hopefully come here a fresh horse. He’s stepping up to 2M 4F for the first time but was a 15L Irish point to point winner over 3M so I don’t really see that as being an excuse. He will also have to jump better than he did when last seen at Cheltenham but he is a class performer who’s won 12 of his 15 starts having been runner up in his three defeats. Ryanair one - two Protektorat and Envoi Allen will have their supporters along with last years winner Pic D’Orhy but a fit and healthy Jonbon can score and put a smile back on the master of Seven Barrows.   JONBON 1 point win @ 5/2 bet365   Aintree 4.05 The day’s race over the Grand National fences is the 2M 5F Topham Handicap Chase in which we have a strong field of twenty five lining up. Last year’s winner Bill Baxter, from the in form (a double on Tuesday) stable of Warren Greatrex can run well although he’s shown very little this season, including last time when well backed on his favoured ground and is scant value at around the 9-2 mark. Harry Redknapp’s Shakem Up’arry won the Plate at Cheltenham and even with a 6lb rise can also be competitive for Ben Pauling and Ben Jones. Buckinghamshire trainer Stuart Edmunds has had his string in excellent form for a while now and his runner here Arizona Cardinal is an interesting runner. An easy winner at Leicester and Ludlow on soft ground this year (rising 14lb) this race was mooted after the victory at the latter track by his owners and he could be some each way value in a wide open contest.   ARIZONA CARDINAL 1 point each way @ 12-1 William Hill 1/5th 123456   Aintree 4.40 Nine staying novice hurdlers face the judge for this Grade 1 Sefton Novices’ Hurdle. The best form is brought to the table by Ben Pauling’s The Jukebox Man who ran a stormer in the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle at Cheltenham when runner up, having been run down on the run in, by the 33/1 outsider Stellar Story. He had the Willie Mullins pair Dancing City 7L behind in third and the favourite Reading Tommy Wrong (pulled up) behind that day and can confirm that form under Kielan Woods. The interesting runner, especially if Nicky Henderson’s runners have run well coming into the race, is the Mrs J Donnelly owned Shanagh Bob who we haven’t seen since he won a Grade 2 at Cheltenham over today’s distance back in December. He missed, like all of Henderson’s stars, the Cheltenham Festival and will come here a fresh unbeaten stayer who’s won twice on soft ground. He’s worth a saver.   THE JUKEBOX MAN 1 point win @ 7/2 Betfred SHANAGH BOB 1 point win @ 9/2 Betfred   Aintree 5.15 Day two of the Grand National concludes with a nineteen runner 2M 103 yard conditional jockeys’ and amateur riders’ handicap hurdle. Plenty can be given a chance including Olly Murphy’s Go Dante who will love the heavy ground although he will have to overcome a career high handicap mark of 134. The horse which attracts me is the Ben Pauling trained Densworth who appeared to show much improved form for a wind operation when running away with a handicap hurdle on heavy ground at Doncaster on his re-appearance. It was a race where only four hurdles were actually jumped but you couldn’t be anything but impressed by his 16L victory especially as the horse back in second, his stable mate Getaway Drumlee, ran out a easy 17L winner himself later in the month at Fontwell. Densworth ran in this race last year as a 20-1 chance when pulling up, coming back with a dirty trachea wash according to his handler in a recent Aintree preview. A 10lb rise may not be enough to stop him from running well each way in a highly competitive handicap especially as his jockey Beau Morgan takes off 5lb thus halving the additional weight. Charlie Byrnes is a trainer to be feared and his runner here Maidenstreetprince was alongside, although not going as well, as Sir Gerhard when falling two out at Cork 12 days ago and when you consider that one is rated 155 it is possible that he could be very well treated off of just 128 today. He is worth saving on.   DENSWORTH 1 point each way @ 10-1 bet365 1/5th 12345 MAIDENSTREETPRINCE 1/2 point each way @ 6-1 William HIll 1/5th 12345    

2.20 Aintree     Kargese looked the winner all day long until outstayed up the hill at Cheltenham and with a question mark over Sir Gino and the stables form . looks a good bet  . Could even put a saver on the SF if the real Sir Gino turns up .
5.15 Aintree   Honky Tonk Highway is the bet , unfortunately the Skeltons have been shouting it from the roof tops for months , so a price collapse is likely .

2.55 Aintree - AHOY SENOR 12/1 bet365 eway ( 3 places )  2nd , ran an absolute cracker 👍
Horse loves it around here winning over both hurdle & chase fences , hasn't been in any kind of form this season but I'm a " horses for courses " kind of a person & trainer L.Russell has sent 20 horses here last 10 years with 5 winners & 9 being places with a Win LSP of + £93.00 & a Placed LSP of + £63.98 .

3.30 Aintree
Bob Olinger 2pt Win.
Not a lot to choose between the selection and Impaire Et Passe, but Bob Olinger has the age and experience to make the difference.

Mayhem Mya                                                      4 40 Ain/                     1/40th of a pt ew        36/1        - 4th
Neman Lion                                                        3 30 Ain/                      1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
 
 
 
P/L    + 176.85 pts

Mayhem Mya                                                      4 40 Ain/                     1/40th of a pt ew        36/1        - 4th
Neman Lion                                                        3 30 Ain/                      1/40th of a pt ew       20/1
 
 
 
P/L    + 176.85 pts

I'm already on pregabalin which when mixed with beer gives a decent high !

440 ain't 
Saint roi. 8.9 5/1 
Path doroux. 8.9 7/1
Unexpected party 8.7.
Heltenham   8.5 
5pt wins top 2

Aintree 1.45 Five line up for this Grade 1 Manifesto Novices’ Chase run over 2M 4F with the first and second from the Turners Novices’ Chase at Cheltenham back to renew rivalry. Dan Skelton’s Grey Dawning out stayed Paul Nicholls’s Ginny’s Destiny to the tune of 2L at the line and can confirm that form although it may be close between the pair. Willie Mullins saddles his Arkle third Il Etait Temps who is stepping up in trip today. It’s hard to fancy either Blow Your Wad and Colonel Harry who are safely held by Ginny’s Destiny so the selection here is Skelton’s exciting grey Grey Dawning who can confirm Cheltenham form and start the meeting off well for the Skelton camp who are keen to keep ahead of his old boss Paul NIcholls and Willie Mullins in the jumps trainers championship.   GREY DAWNING 2 points win @ Evens bet365   Aintree 2.20 Just six have declared for the Grade 1 2M 1F Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle including Nicky Henderson’s highly promising Sir Gino. Obviously we don’t know for certain what sort of form the stable are in as they’ve only had a handful of runners since Cheltenham and none of them where of much interest. If the stable was in top form Sir Gino would be a very strong fancy and he’s still has to be the pick here although it would of been nice to know for sure what form the Seven Barrows team are in. Willie Mullins saddles Kargese who was runner up in the Triumph Hurdle whilst Paul Nicholls runs his exciting unbeaten ex French gelding Kalif Du Berlais. He looks a proper horse having impressed twice at Kempton and may be the one to chase Sir Gino home.   SIR GINO 2 points win @ 10/11 Coral   Aintree 2.55 The 3m 1F Grade 1 Aintree Bowl Chase has attracted a field of seven. Cheltenham Gold Cup runner up Gerri Colombe is the form horse as he had Bravemansgame (5th) and Gentlemansgame (pulled up) behind that day and looks sure to run well at a track that he won at last season as a novice and may have most to fear from Nicky Henderson’s Shishkin. A good run from Sir Gino in the previous race would obviously be a major boost for him and likewise a poor run would see Shishkin’s odds lengthen. He won this last year from the re-appearing Ahoy Senor, who doesn’t look the same horse this year, and on his best form he’s a big player here. Corbetts Cross impressed at Cheltenham but this will be much tougher and the selection is Gordon Elliott’s Gerri Colombe who brings the best recent form to the table.   GERRI COLOMBE 1 point win @ 13/8 William Hill   Aintree 3.30 The Grade 1 2M 4F William Hill Aintree Hurdle sees eight runners line up with the top two rated both coming from Ireland. Henry De Bromhead’s Bob Olinger who’s looked back to his best this season, winning Grade 2 contests over 2M 4F at Navan and Cheltenham prior to a creditable 5 1/2L second in the Irish Champion Hurdle to State Man. He looks sure to run well but may struggle to fight off the Willie Mullins trained Impaire Et Passe who like Bob Olinger missed Cheltenham. A smart novice last season winning the Ballymore at Cheltenham and has placed behind Teahupoo and State Man this season. Today’s trip and ground look ideal and he can out stay Bob Olinger. Champion Hurdle third Luccia may have been flattered last time whilst Coral Cup winner Langer Dan has plenty more on his plate here.   IMPAIRE ET PASSE 1 point win @ 15/8 bet365   Aintree 4.05 A bumper field of twenty two will line up for the first race of the meeting over the Grand National fences the Randox Foxhunters’ Open Hunters’ Chase over 2M 5F. Cheltenham Foxhunters runner up Its On The Line will love the testing ground but didn’t really travel that well at Cheltenham and they may go a bit faster here so I’ll pass over him. Ante post gamble Spyglass Hill looks too short now despite winning one of the bigger hunter chases of the early part of the season at Haydock in the Walrus Hunters Chase. Hannah Roach’s Time Leader ran a blinder at 50-1 at Cheltenham finishing 5 1/2L behind Its On The Line and is also a player with the drop in trip a positive but the value may well be last years runner up Bennys King who’s looked in great form this season including when bolting up at Leicester last time when making all under today’s jockey Sean O’Connor for trainer Dan Skelton on ground that he’ll love.   BENNYS KING 1 point each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345   Aintree 4.40 Fifteen face the starter for the 2M Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase and has a very competitive look about it. The Grand Annual winner from Cheltenham, Unexpected Party, trained by Dan Skelton re-appears off of a 8lb higher mark with the third Path D’Oroux, sixth Saint Roi and eighth Triple Trade all taking him on again. One horse who catches my eye towards the bottom of the field is the Paul Nicholls trained Sans Bruit, an ex French performer who has plenty of smart form on heavy ground so should love the conditions. He’s had just the three runs for Nicholls, twice down the field in competitive handicap hurdles and a fine 3/4L second at Chepstow to an improver in Prince Quali. He’s 2lb out of the handicap here but as he actually goes up 3lb for that latest run in future handicaps is a pound well in here and has the assistance of Bryony Frost (presuming that Harry Cobden can’t do the weight of 10-2). In a wide open race the six year old mudlark could be the value play each way with additional places.   SANS BRUIT 1 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 1234 Coral   Aintree 5.15 The final race on day one of the Grand National meeting is the 2M 1F Goffs Nickel Coin Mares’ National Hunt Flat Race with several promising mares here. Willie Mullins saddles Baby Kate who’s not been seen since November when winning a listed bumper at Cheltenham and has to be on the short list. Dan Skelton will be desperate to secure more prize money at the meeting as he attempts to keep clear of the chasing Paul Nicholls and Willie Mullins and saddles Honky Tonk Highway who’s unbeaten in a 3M maiden point to point and a listed bumper at Sandown when making his rules debut which takes some doing. There are many other potentially nice mares in the race but it’s the Skelton’s Honky Tonk Highway the one for me.   HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 1234  

Still in the trial stage but here is thes top bet at today's turf meeting at Thirsk.
3.15 BURJ MALINKA - best speed figure obtained on good to firm going but also has the best speed rating in the race achieved on soft going (April last year). Top weight but last won off a rating of 62 compared to today's rating of 61. Current odds 7/2 favourite. Only slight question mark is that the race on soft going was over 5f rather than 6f.
 
 
 

Many Thanks for your hard work running these comps @MCLARKE it's  very much appreciated by us all.

As in previous years we will be running a tipsters competition for Aintree Thursday 11th to Saturday 13th April.
 
Rules:
1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £100 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £40 and the third place wins £20, all prizes via your PayPal account There will be a £10 prize each day for the highest profit for that day No edits allowed in selection posts Losses incurred for losers. Replacement selections for NRs can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter every day or every race (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leader-board posted each evening A minimum of 14 bets is required to qualify for the total prizes Only bets on that day's thread will be included, bets posted elsewhere will not be included  
All welcome, good luck
A separate thread will be created the evening before each day for selections to be posted in.

kimifive now in the last at wolverhampton, 8.30 - 33/1 !