Laying 0-0: any genius idea how to reduce liabilty?

[jasonp]

Hi, I am new here...let me share my idea with you... Correct Score 0-0: it happens rarely especially with teams with blasting attack like Real Madrid, Barcellona, Juve, Inter, Milan, Arsenal, Man Utd, Chelsea etc etc. These kind of teams rarely their games finish 0-0 irrespective if the draw, loose or win. Thus I have been looking closely this for this kind of bet. I know that there was something posted already here, so if I am repeating, sorry sorry. Well on popular betting exchange, you may 1) back 1 or more goals to happen in a game with odds always around 1.05, or 2) laying correct score 0-0 at odds always around 12 The two above are basically the same bet..The problem of Option 1 is the little profit that you get, and option 2 is the huge liability it incurres if the game finishes 0-0. Last week I have done some statistics of around 200 matches picked randomly from a score site, and basically I included all matches even there where japanese teams etc. The draw 0-0 only happened 16 times from these 200 games, so a very nice 92% strike rate. I believe that if you be more selective this may be easily go up to 95% - 98%!!! When I evaluated the 0-0 scores, most of the draws where low division teams unknown to me. When I assumed a starting stake of UK 5 and following a very basic staking plan with lay odds of 11, after 200 matches the bank would have been UK 582!!! what a nice profit!! The problem with this system is that the liabilty is so high if you be unlucky enough to hit 0-0 game even with high scoring quality teams. Just last Saturday I started this system with real money and bet on Man Utd, Arsenal, Real Madrid, Roma, Barcellona and Juventus and their games had goals so I won the bet. So please can anyone can think of any strategy to reduce the liabilty??? I have tried some ways and means, by for example lay the game draw and then back 1-1, 2-2, 3-3 (although 3-3 is very unprobable especially if such teams play against scores but still I am sharing this idea with you is becuase I think that this works and can leave huge profits especially if you bet on high scoring teams. Thanks..sorry for the long post

[Datapunter]

Re: Laying 0-0: any genius idea how to reduce liabilty? :welcome Jason And great first post :ok good thinking. Have you read my mind, was thinking about the very thing last week. How to reduce liability ? I don't think you can, or should really. It comes down to having faith in your research. And yes, you may hit the 5% loss at the beginning and immediately hit a great gap in your bank. But that is part of the game. If you research is sound go for it. - Pick a bank, money you can afford to lose remember. - Place bets to a liability of say 10% of your bank, or whatever you are comfortable with. - Descide on your strategy, for example Lay the 0-0 and let it ride. - Stick with it to the end. So if your research say's 95% strike rate at Lay odds of 11.0 you win long term. Go for it. It would be unfortunate if you start with a couple of loosers but hey, thats life. Its going to come down to having the balls too see it through. The alternative , to back at least one goal to be scored, has the same liability btw. In order to make 1 point profit at odds of 1.05 you need to stake 20 points. Thats the same as a Lay bet with a liability of 20 to make 1. One suggestion if i may. look a bit deeper into what odds you need to lay at. If i remember correctly when i looked at this i got average odds of 13.0 - 15.0