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System 2 Lay the draw


Cavendish

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A little complicated and pretty high work load but previous results have produced decent returns. I have included the games below just for example purposes today, I realised that I need to narrow the selections down to around fithteen maximum per day! System 2. Lay the Draw; Providing the odds for the draw are no bigger than 3/1. So using the selections below we back the team in Blue (selection) and lay the draw. eg; 2.2 Ross County 3.7 Raith Rovers 2.8 Scotland; we back Raith Rovers and lay the draw as the odds for the draw are under 3/1. Possible outcomes Ross County win; we lose nothing. Raith Rovers win; 1 point for lay bet and a further 1.8 Points for the win bet. Total 2.8 points profit The match is a Draw; Bad news we lose 2.7 points as the match is a draw and a further 1 point as our win bet lost to. Total lost 3.7 points. Any games which fall outside the criteria are just strait win bets eg; 3.7 BFC Siofok 4.0 MTK Hungaria 1.86 Hungary (draw odds are to high). Teams in red are team to be layed to lose only eg; 1.7 AZ Alkmaar v Roda; Holland There are certain games where Betfair are unavailable Belarus league comes to mind and of course the availability of odds on some games that they do cover; a problem to solve for the future should this thread become a success. History is no guide to the future and I will not bore you with the last twelve month results; there are losing day's/weeks sometimes the losses are on the large size but the winning day's far exceed the losing ones; well so far! I have also started this year running two more system alongside the above using the same selections. System 1. Simply laying against my selections for one point providing the odds are below 2/1 eg; 2.2 Ross County 3.7 Raith Rovers 2.8 Scotland. Ross County are below 2/1 so we just lay them. Any teams that are above 2/1 the bet becomes a simple win bet again System 3. Same as system one but also back our selection using the same example again 2.2 Ross County 3.7 Raith Rovers 2.8 Scotland. Lay Ross County and back Raith Rovers. I did mention it was all a little complicated ;) bare with for now. Though I use the heading "system" (I haven't found a better name!) I choose the selections myself as you can see i trawl all over Europe and it very time consuming but I hope I can bring something novel to the forum and above all else; profitable! I will also post my Main Bets (these are easy to follow ;)) - none today though Lokomotiv Sofia nearly made it; odds just to short. Selections September 11th 2010 2.4 Turnhout 3.5 FCV Dender EH 2.6 Belguim 2.7 Tournai 3.4 Antwerp 2.3 Belguim 4.7 Pirin Blagoevgrad 3.75 Lokomotiv Sofia 1.67 Bulgaria 1.9 Montpellier 3.5 Nancy 4.1 France 3.7 BFC Siofok 4.0 MTK Hungaria 1.86 Hungary 2.6 Excelsior 3.7 Heracles 2.5 Holland 1.7 AZ Alkmaar v Roda; Holland 2.2 Cracovia Krakow 3.5 Gornik Zabrze 3.2 Poland 2.4 FK Metalac 3.5 FK Spartak Zlatibor 2.6 Serbia 2.0 Banska Bystrica 3.4 FK Senica 2.5 Slovakia 5.2 Ã…tvidaberg 4.0 Malmo FF 1.7 Sweden Thun v FC Zurich 2.8; Switzerland Kayserispor v Fenerbahce 2.26; Turkey 2.8 Portsmouth 3.6 Ipswich 2.4 England 1.8 Peterboro v Oldham; England 2.0 Colchester 3.6 Plymouth 3.6 England 2.4 Gillingham 3.7 Shrewsbury 2.7 England 2.2 Ross County 3.7 Raith Rovers Scotland 3.3 Peterhead 4.0 Livingston 1.9 Scotland 2.0 Stranraer 4.0 Queens Park 3.0 Scotland

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Re: System 2 Lay the draw Think I got out of jail; thanks to the last four matches tonight! At one point I was looking at a 9point loss on System 2, My English and Scottish selections letting me down with only one out of seven (Stranraer) winning and they left it to the 90min! Talking of the Stranraer match; the odds of the draw dropped below 3/1 though the odds on Queens Park moved out above the 2/1 limit. No gain made overall what I gained on one result I lost on the other (hope that makes sense) I made a mistake by not including the odds for my selections against the four teams that I layed; Kayserispor 2.5 and Roda 6.5 both won, needed for System 3. The odds that I have recorded on my selections are average odds only taken from oddsportal.com; I know I could achieve far better odds but for recording these results I will use average odds, apart from my Main Bets Sorry for the way I have produced these results I have only limited knowledge on formatting I need that Muppet man for some advice on how to transfer from spread sheets! Results 2.4 Turnhout 3.5 FCV Dender EH 2.6 Belguim 1 - 5 Won 2.7 Tournai 3.4 Antwerp 2.3 Belguim 1 - 3 Won 4.7 Pirin Blagoevgrad 3.75 Lokomotiv Sofia 1.67 Bulgaria 2 - 1 Lost 1.9 Montpellier 3.5 Nancy 4.1 France 1 - 2 Lost 3.7 BFC Siofok 4.0 MTK Hungaria 1.86 Hungary 0 - 0 Draw 2.6 Excelsior 3.7 Heracles 2.5 Holland 2 - 1 Won 1.7 AZ Alkmaar v Roda; Holland 1 - 2 Won 2.2 Cracovia Krakow 3.5 Gornik Zabrze 3.2 Poland 2 - 3 Won 2.4 FK Metalac 3.5 FK Spartak Zlatibor 2.6 Serbia 0 - 1 Won 2.0 Banska Bystrica 3.4 FK Senica 2.5 Slovakia 1 - 0 Lost 5.2 Ã…tvidaberg 4.0 Malmo FF 1.7 Sweden 3 - 3 Draw Thun v FC Zurich 2.8; Switzerland 1 - 3 Lost Kayserispor v Fenerbahce 2.26; Turkey 2 - 0 Won 2.8 Portsmouth 3.6 Ipswich 2.4 England 0 - 0 Draw 1.8 Peterboro v Oldham; England 5 - 2 Lost 2.0 Colchester 3.6 Plymouth 3.6 England 1 - 1 Draw 2.4 Gillingham 3.7 Shrewsbury 2.7 England 2 - 0 Lost 2.2 Ross County 3.7 Raith Rovers Scotland 0 - 0 Draw 3.3 Peterhead 4.0 Livingston 1.9 Scotland 0 - 0 Draw 2.0 Stranraer 4.0 Queens Park 3.0 Scotland 1 - 0 Won System 2 Points gained 17.36 Points Lossed 17.50 Nett Total 0.14 Loss System 1 Points gained 11.00 Points Lossed 9.60 Nett Total 1.40 Profit System 1 Points gained 23.36 Points Lossed 13.00 Nett Total 10.60 Profit Total profit for the day 11.86 points Should have a few games this Sunday and two games I have my eye on for Champions league Benfica 4/9 v H. Tel Aviv 8/1 Benfica having a torrid time as are A C Milan 2/5 who are taken on Auxerre 10/1.

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