Machine Posted June 29, 2010 Share Posted June 29, 2010 The selections are picked totally by a program (ver 1) Most will be 1st 2nd or 3rd fav. The prog is aiming towards a 50% (ish) SR Back testing using old data showed some promise but the past can never tell you the future only give you some idea how things could work out. It should produce about 150 bets a month on average. Aim would be 75 winners @ evens + estimated longest losing run = Log(150)/-log(1-50%) = 7 optimum Bank = 7+1= 8 * pts per stake(10) = 80pts that leaves just 8 bets before going bust at any one time as stakes are increased with bank but never decreased. thats about it. Lets see if it makes it to the end of next month. Could back to the drawing board by wednesday afternoon :\ ps I am backing these to small stakes but I would'nt advise anyone else to do the same. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 29, 2010 Author Share Posted June 29, 2010 Re: A.I. horses 3.00 Brighton plus ultra 10pts win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 29, 2010 Author Share Posted June 29, 2010 Re: A.I. horses That didnt work out to well 3.00 Brighton plus ultra 10pts lost :( here are the others for the day, all B.O.G; 3.45 Ham Gritstone 5/4 Wh 6.30 Thir Tillietudlem 6/4 SJ 7.40 Stra William Butler 6/4 B365 9.00 Thir Mey Blossom 5/4 B365 9.10 Stra Kings Riches 4/1 B365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 29, 2010 Author Share Posted June 29, 2010 Re: A.I. horses 3.00 Brighton plus ultra 13/8 Wh lost 3.45 Ham Gritstone 5/4 Wh won 6.30 Thir Tillietudlem 6/4 SJ won 7.40 Stra William Butler 6/4 B365 lost 9.00 Thir Mey Blossom 5/4 B365 won BOG 15/8 9.10 Stra Kings Riches 4/1 B365 lost start bank 80 staked 60 returned 76.25 profit 16.25 new bank 96.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 29, 2010 Author Share Posted June 29, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Well got through today unscathed. See what tomorrow brings :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 30, 2010 Author Share Posted June 30, 2010 Re: A.I. horses After running a few trials Ive decided to keep stakes @ 10pts rather than divide the bank by 8 for each days stakes. (much easier) BANK 96.25 Fingers crossed for some winners, all B.O.G*10pts stake Catt 2.30 Orchard Street 15/8 pp Worc 2.40 Downward Spiral 9/2 Boyls Perth 2.50 Grand Opera 11/4 pp Catt 3.00 Local Singer 7/2 B365 Worc 3.40 Sequel 5/2 BFred Perth 4.50 Beidh Tine Anso 13/8 BFred Chep 7.10 Bermondsey Bob 7/2 Wh Chep 7.40 Lindoro 2 Wh Kemp 8.20 Clockmaker 9/4 pp That leaves 6.25 in the bank and 2 horses left to back Chep 9.10 Gulf President Kemp 9.20 Requisite These 2 will be backed If sufficient funds are won back to be able to place a 10 pt win bet on them. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 30, 2010 Author Share Posted June 30, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Orchard street wins returning 28.75 enabling gulf president and requisite to be backed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 30, 2010 Author Share Posted June 30, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Catt 2.30 Orchard Street 15/8 pp........won Worc 2.40 Downward Spiral 9/2 Boyls...lost (2nd @ 8/1) Perth 2.50 Grand Opera 11/4 pp..........lost Catt 3.00 Local Singer 7/2 B365..........won Worc 3.40 Sequel 5/2 BFred...............lost Perth 4.50 Beidh Tine Anso 13/8 BFred.NR Chep 7.10 Bermondsey Bob 7/2 Wh......won Chep 7.40 Lindoro 2 Wh.....................lost Kemp 8.20 Clockmaker 9/4 pp..............won Chep 9.10 Gulf President 11/10 pp........lost Kemp 9.20 Requisite 13/8 pp................lost current bank 147.50pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted June 30, 2010 Author Share Posted June 30, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Got through today without too many upsets. todays update staked 110pts returned 161.25 profit 51.25 new bank 147.50 overall start bank 80pts bets 16 wins 7 1 NR SR 43.75% Ave win odds 3.25 current bank 147.50pts profit 67.25pts R.O.I = 84.06% yield = 42.03% After I had put the selections up today I realised the NH races had not been filtered out for yesterday and today (human error on my part) of which all of them lost bar 1 which was a non runner, costing the bank 50pts. :@ As the program is specifically targeted at flat racing as from tomorrow all NH selections will be filtered out and only flat selections will be put up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 1, 2010 Author Share Posted July 1, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Morning 7 races for today, all 10pts win B.O.G all prices available at time of posting. Haydock 2.00 Ting Ting 11/10 BFred Yarmouth 2.40 Artic Rose evens pp Redcar 6.10 Abbondanza evens pp Newbury 7.05 Florestans Match 5/2 pp Newbury 8.10 Sarasota Sunshine 6/5 BFred Newbury 8.40 Mascarene 2/1 sj Epsom 9.00 Jutland 6/4 wh 70pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 1, 2010 Author Share Posted July 1, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Abbondanza should read 10/11 not evens the selection was available @ evens when the selections were made @ 10.45 but by the time I got round to posting had gone. :$ This should make it a non selection but as Ive already posted it it will stand @ 10/11. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 1, 2010 Author Share Posted July 1, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Haydock 2.00 Ting Ting 11/10 BFred.............. lost Yarmouth 2.40 Artic Rose evens pp................ lost Redcar 6.10 Abbondanza 10/11 pp................. lost Newbury 7.05 Florestans Match 5/2 pp........... lost Newbury 8.10 Sarasota Sunshine 6/5 BFred..... won Newbury 8.40 Mascarene 2/1 sj..................... lost Epsom 9.00 Jutland 6/4 wh........................... won start bank 147.50 staked 70 current bank 124.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 1, 2010 Author Share Posted July 1, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Bit of a 'Quixall Crosset' day today todays update staked 70pts returned 47 loss 23 new bank 124.50 overall start bank 80pts bets 23 wins 9 1 NR SR 39.13% Ave win odds 3.05 current bank 124.50pts profit 44.50pts R.O.I = 55.62% yield = 19.34% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 2, 2010 Author Share Posted July 2, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Lets hope for a better day than yesterday,saying that there was a couple of close races which would have put us break even on the day,but thats bye the bye. 9 races today 10pts win all B.O.G Current bank 124.50 War 2.10 Danehill Sunset 2/1 sj San 2.20 Rocket Rob 9/4 lads War 2.40 Kissing Clara 11/10 b365 San 3.25 Introvert 5/2 vc San 4.35 Verdant 11/8 sj Hay 7.10 Squires Gate 3/1 lads Hay 7.45 Dolly Parton 11/8 pp Bev 8.20 Bajan Pride 7/4 vc Bev 8.50 Artic Feeling 11/10 vc min 4 wins needed :hope 90pts staked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 2, 2010 Author Share Posted July 2, 2010 Re: A.I. horses OOPs typo should read Bev 6.20 bajan pride bev 6.50 artic feeling Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 2, 2010 Author Share Posted July 2, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Some very close calls again today but thats the nature of racing, a much needed rally late on saved it from being a total disaster. War 2.10 Danehill Sunset 2/1 sj......lost San 2.20 Rocket Rob 9/4 lads.........lost War 2.40 Kissing Clara 11/10 b365...lost San 3.25 Introvert 5/2 VC..............lost San 4.35 Verdant 11/8 sj...............won Bev 6.20 Bajan Pride 7/4 VC...........won Bev 6.50 Artic Feeling 11/10 VC......lost Hay 7.10 Squires Gate 3/1 lads.......lost Hay 7.45 Dolly Parton 11/8 pp........won todays update staked 90pts returned 75 loss 15 new bank 109.50 overall start bank 80pts bets 32 wins 12 1 NR SR 37.5% Ave win odds 2.91 current bank 109.50pts profit 29.50pts R.O.I = 36.87% yield = 9.21% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 3, 2010 Author Share Posted July 3, 2010 Re: A.I. horses 10 bets for today, hope the close calls go in my favour today :hope All 10pts win B.O.G bev 14.10 spartic 9/2 sj bev 14.45 good morning dubai 10/3 sj sand 15.10 twice over 2/1 wh leic 15.35 rasselas 11/4 b365 sand 16.15 manighar ev lads bev 16.25 cabal 11/8 wh hay 16.35 genki 15/8 tote bev 17.35 sharpe eclipse 6/4 bfred nott 19.40 silvanus 9/4 b365 car 21.25 flying doctor 7/4 wh current bank 9.05 10 bets pending 4 winners should break even on day :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 3, 2010 Author Share Posted July 3, 2010 Re: A.I. horses bev 14.10 spartic 9/2 sj............................won 11/2 bog bev 14.45 good morning dubai 10/3 sj..........lost sand 15.10 twice over 2/1 wh......................won r4 15p £ leic 15.35 rasselas 11/4 b365.....................lost sand 16.15 manighar ev lads........................lost bev 16.25 cabal 11/8 wh...........................lost hay 16.35 genki 15/8 Tote.........................won bev 17.35 sharpe eclipse 6/4 bfred..............lost nott 19.40 silvanus 9/4 b365.......................lost car 21.25 flying doctor 7/4 wh....................lost will sor t out later as haave been at haydock all day and off to bed ... laters Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 4, 2010 Author Share Posted July 4, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Bit of a hangover today so :$ Nice to see a profitable day yesterday Im not too impressed with the SR but then again there have been quite a few placed and with a bit of luck could have won so not too downbeat,at least its still in profit which is the main thing. yesterdays update staked 100pts returned 120.75 profit 20.75 new bank 130.25 overall start bank 80pts bets 42 wins 15 1 NR SR 35.71% Ave win odds 3.14 current bank 130.25pts profit 50.25pts R.O.I = 62.81% yield = 11.96% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 4, 2010 Author Share Posted July 4, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Had to go out so late on putting todays up only 2 today so cant cause too much damage ayr 14.10 diamond geezer 9/4 b365 ayr 17.10 angelo poliziano 2 sj staked 20 all odds B.O.G Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 4, 2010 Author Share Posted July 4, 2010 Re: A.I. horses todays results ayr 14.10 diamond geezer 9/4 b365..... won r4 25p ayr 17.10 angelo poliziano 2 sj............ lost (a bad start and your history over 5f) current bank 137.13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 4, 2010 Author Share Posted July 4, 2010 Re: A.I. horses todays update staked 20pts returned 26.88 profit 6.88 new bank 137.13 overall start bank 80pts bets 44 wins 16 1 NR SR 35.71% Ave win odds 3.11 current bank 137.13pts profit 57.13pts R.O.I = 71.41% yield = 12.98% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted July 4, 2010 Share Posted July 4, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Decent start MN, keep it going:ok *Just a thought, shouldnt you put this in the ATR systems section? Its not really a Glory Hunt and you might get more feedback in the Racing section? Up to you, I can move it if you want or not as you wish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 4, 2010 Author Share Posted July 4, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Hi BH I put it in this section as its more of a work in progress at the moment. If it lasts the month out I can re-calculate the optimum stakes etc for the year from the live picks rather than from the estimation of what I want it to achieve If you think its more appropriate in the ATR systems section then it ok by me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 5, 2010 Author Share Posted July 5, 2010 Re: A.I. horses another quiet day today with just the 2 bets bath 15.30 forty thirty 6/4 pp ripon 19.20 sea flower 5/4 sj 20pts staked both B.O.G :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 6, 2010 Author Share Posted July 6, 2010 Re: A.I. horses not a good day but minimal damage from the 2 runners,was at ripon and watched sea flower lose very close call. bath 15.30 forty thirty 6/4 pp...lost ripon 19.20 sea flower 5/4 sj....lost todays update staked 20pts returned 0 loss -20 new bank 117.13 overall start bank 80pts bets 46 wins 16 1 NR SR 34.78% Ave win odds 3.11 current bank 117.13pts profit 37.13pts R.O.I = 46.41% yield = 8.07% still hanging on in profit so not too bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 6, 2010 Author Share Posted July 6, 2010 Re: A.I. horses just the 1 today wolv 17.45 handsome jack 15/8 10pts staked BOG Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 6, 2010 Author Share Posted July 6, 2010 Re: A.I. horses a winner today wolv 17.45 handsome jack 15/8... won todays update staked 10pts returned 28.75 profit 8.75 new bank 125.88 overall start bank 80pts bets 47 wins 17 1 NR SR 36.17% Ave win odds 3.09 current bank 125.88pts profit 57.35pts R.O.I = 46.41% yield = 12.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted July 7, 2010 Author Share Posted July 7, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Running well late this morning had to take comp back to manufacturers settings due to virus of some sort (lad on torrent site again no doubt).Good job I back up important stuff on pen drives. 7 bets for today catt 14.15 johnny hancocks 7/4 wh ling 15.00 midnight feast 11/8 lads ling 15.30 valencha 5/4 b365 newm 15.45 bowmaster 11/4 wh kemp 18.50 tale untold 5/4 lads kemp 19.50 ultimate quest 13/8 sj kemp 20.50 seafarer 7/2 wh 70pts staked B.O.G :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted July 7, 2010 Share Posted July 7, 2010 Re: A.I. horses Good luck, pretty good start :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.