Tell me why this won't work.

[DimPaul]

Hi, newbie DimPaul here. :loon So I have been betting on football for a couple of weeks and made a decent profit (too lazy to post details) using the... ummm... method ("system" sounds too advanced) I am about to describe. Being dim and lazy, I am posting this in order to sucker some number cruncher here into telling me why it will not make me a profit in the long run. Feel free to give me any amount of heat for being dim and lazy and bad with numbers, as long as you tell me something useful at the same time. Here goes. Only bet on strong teams home against weak teams (strength determined by their positions in the leagues and nothing else (for reasons of laziness)). Only make worse bets than 1.50 at my current bookie (too lazy to shop around), with 1.25-1.44 preferred. Bet one fifth of the bank on each match, with the objective of making a profit of one fifth of the bank each week (or something like that, can't be bothered to work out the details). Why is this stupid and insane? Anyone? DimPaul :\

[DC]

Re: Tell me why this won't work. Hi DimPaul and welcome to the board (or bored in your case). Why don't you post up some picks and results for a bit and maybe you can see for yourself if it's a stupid, insane idea? Or will you be too lazy to even attempt this? Danny