bbotd - fri 21st may

[fintron]

3.10 chepstow OUR PICCADILLY - 3rd behind two progressive sorts at newmarket lto and sharper for run. As low as 6s with bet 365 but 14s with vc. 14/1 vc bet, 1 pt win.

[palaceman]

Re: bbotd - fri 21st may 4:10 Chepstow. Mabuya. LAY (2.38 Stan James) The selection was seemingly desperately unlucky on his reappearance, getting caught in an impossible box, and running on when he got extricated. That sort of thing always gets spotted by newspaper tipsters who then mark it down for a nap next time, regardless of the opposition. Hence 6 naps this morning. However, I'm not sure it's that simple. There are just 6 horses in this race, but you can't rule out any of them. The selection has made a bit of a habit of being unlucky, and you wonder if part of this is self-induced. Despite lots of places, he has actually only won the once. That was last June, when he was carrying 7 lbs less than today and running in a handicap two grades lower. In fact, even his reappearance race when he had the bad luck was a class lower than this, so I would think he is going to need to show some improvement. He might do, but with 5 good competitors in this race, and with the selection being so low in price due to all the naps, I think this is a value lay.