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Irish flat research - Trainer stats


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In order to crack many of the Irish maidens, and also some of the hotter races, I think knowing about each of the trainer's stat's in different fields can be extremely beneficial. A vast number of the Irish races are won by a small number of trainers, so at least to start with, I am going to focus on the top dogs. I plan to do the same for the UK flat scene, but need to spend some time researching it. Jim Bolger Summary

  • Back 2 y olds at The Curragh
  • Avoid 2 y olds at Tipperary
  • Back 3 y olds at Tipperary
  • Back all Wexford runners
  • Back older horses at Fairyhouse
  • Back horses racing over 1m 5f
  • Take note of all runners in April
  • Avoid all 2/3 y olds in June/July - NOTE, Back 4 y olds in July
  • Note 2 y olds in August
  • Avoid 4 y o + in Group races.
Course Information Curragh: Overall: 13% (+£38.24) 2 Y O: 15% (+£57.81) Note other age groups actually result in a LOSS at the Curragh, so focus on 2 year olds. Sligo: Overall: 25% (+£3.50) 2 Y O: 40% (+£6.50) Again, other age groups result in a loss. Small sample size due to small number of runners. Tipperary Overall: 13% (+£3.04) 2 Y O: 2% (-£43.27) 3 Y O: 30% (+£49.86) Wexford Overall: 27% (+£17.15) No 2 y o runners, profitable 3 y o and 4 y o + fields. Note: Has a good record with his 4 y o + runners at: Fairyhouse: 43% (+£19.00) Listowel, Tralee and Wexford ... small sample though (1/2 runners) Distance Information 22% strike rate at distances over 1m 5f (£28.50) 25% strike rate with 4yo + at distances over 1m 5f (£33.75) MONTH INFORMATION
  • Rarely has many runners in March, until last year.
  • April has produced profits for 3 of the last 4 years. Not many 2 y o runners (2/4 last year). Great profits for 3 year olds.
  • June and July has produced some pretty large losses - no profit in any of last 4 years. Bad 2 y o record.
  • August - Good month for his 2 year olds.
  • September and October - bad record all round
  • 4 y o + well worth following in July.

RACE INFORMATION 15% strike rate in G1,2,3's (+£12.00). Increases to 20% s/r (£19.23) with 2 y o's and 3 y o's. Avoid 4 y o + in Group races.Maiden races produce a large loss in general. JOCKEY INFORMATION D E Mullins has a good record on Bolger's 3 y olds. -------------------------------------------------------------------

Aiden O Brien

COURSE INFORMATION Curragh: Overall: 15% (-£125.33)

Dermot Weld

COURSE INFORMATION Galway Overall: 26% (+£15.74) 2 Y O: 52% (+£13.41) Sligo Overall: 30% (+£10.45) Does well with 2 year olds at Listowel (25%) and Tipperary (19%) Avoid runners at Curragh DISTANCE INFORMATION Unprofitable with 2 y olds over 5 and 6 furlongs. Profitable with 2 y olds that step up to 7f and 1 mile Profitable with older horses running over 1m 5f + MONTH INFORMATION 2 y olds tend to be worth following around July. RACE INFORMATION Dreadful record with 3 y o Maidens, 3 y o handicappers and 4 y o handicappers. ------------------------------------------------------

Kevin Prendergaast

COURSE INFORMATION Cork Overall: 19% (+£16.78) Profitable across all age groups. Listowel Overall: 36% (+£18.98) 3 Y O: 37% (+£18.75) Tipperary Overall: 25% (+£14.62) 3 Y O: 18% (+£11.10) Does well with: 2 y olds at Killarney, Curragh 3 y olds at Listowel, Tipperary Does badly with: All Dundalk runners ! MONTH INFORMATION Follow all runners in April, especially 3 y olds - good profits. RACE INFORMATION Very bad record in handicaps Slightly profitable in 3 y o Maidens JOCKEY INFORMATION CP Geoghagen good on 2 y olds. --------------------------------------

Ger Lyons

COURSE INFORMATION Fairyhouse Overall: 15% (+£15.38) 3 Y O: 23% (+£18.00) Gowran Overall: 11% (+£21.50) 3 Y O: 12% (+£22.50) Does well with: 2 y old's at Dundalk, Navan 3 y old's at Fairyhouse, Gowran Does badly with: All horses at Leopardstown, Curragh DISTANCE INFORMATION Does badly with 2 y olds over 7f/1 mile MONTH INFORMATION Starts fast with his 3 y olds - March/April/MayNote - Strong performance by 2 y olds last year - LSP blindly backing all runners. RACE INFORMATION Good record in claiming races, although small sample. Will finish the summaries etc tomorrow.

All age groups yield a loss. Killarney Overall: 53% (+£29.08) Leopardstown Overall: 17% (-£99.93) Loss made across all age groups. DISTANCE INFORMATION Does well with 3 y o's going 9f or further (+£53.91) RACE INFORMATION 3 y o Maidens - 27% s/r (+£26.49) JOCKEY INFORMATION S Hunter is currently 4/4 for O Brien. ---------------------------------------------------------------

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Re: Irish flat research - Trainer stats Will update this post with more trainers as and when I research them .... will be throughout the season though. If anyone else wishes to add to this, please feel free. :ok Jim Bolger

  • Back 2 y olds at The Curragh
  • Avoid 2 y olds at Tipperary
  • Back 3 y olds at Tipperary
  • Back all Wexford runners
  • Back older horses at Fairyhouse
  • Back horses racing over 1m 5f
  • Take note of all runners in April
  • Avoid all 2/3 y olds in June/July - NOTE, Back 4 y olds in July
  • Note 2 y olds in August
  • Avoid 4 y o + in Group races.
Aiden O Brien
  • Great overall record at Killarney
  • Does well with 3 y o's going 9f or further (+£53.91)
  • 3 y o Maidens - 27% s/r (+£26.49)
  • Poor record at Curragh and Leopardstown

Dermot Weld

  • Follow at Galway
  • Does well with 2 year olds at Listowel (25%) and Tipperary (19%)
  • Avoid runners at Curragh
  • Profitable with 2 y olds that step up to 7f and 1 mile
  • Profitable with older horses running over 1m 5f +
  • 2 y olds tend to be worth following around July.
  • Dreadful record with 3 y o Maidens, 3 y o handicappers and 4 y o handicappers.
Kevin Prendergaast
  • 2 y olds at Killarney, Curragh
  • 3 y olds at Listowel, Tipperary
  • All Dundalk runners !
  • Follow all runners in April, especially 3 y olds - good profits.
  • Very bad record in handicaps
  • CP Geoghagen good on 2 y olds

Ger Lyons

  • 2 y old's at Dundalk, Navan
  • 3 y old's at Fairyhouse, Gowran
  • All horses at Leopardstown, Curragh
  • Does badly with 2 y olds over 7f/1 mile
  • Starts fast with his 3 y olds - March/April/MayNote - Strong performance by 2 y olds last year - LSP blindly backing all runners.

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