Bedlam Posted March 14, 2010 Share Posted March 14, 2010 Re: Ratings for value Doesnt matter if it was their 1st home win in 4 months, football is all about confidence and the 2 games prior to that were a 2-1 away win at charlton and a 1-1 draw away to leeds and were very unlucky as leeds scored in the 92nd minute brighton home to exeter was as much a nailed on banker you will ever see, and I am not critising I am just offering an opinion. Im sure all of us here have our own systems and ratings strategies but when you have your list of games you should look through them and take out what doesnt look right, Not every selection from a system is a winner but you can eliminate the losers by taking a further look All I'm saying is once you have yourl ist just take an extra 10-15 mins to look over this and maybe take out some of thosel osers Best of luck in the future :) Rubbish! a team who haven't won at home for 4 months will never be 'a nailed on banker', & your criticism of the selection would have had much more credibility if you had made it before the match! There would be no point in running a stats based system, only to reject certain selections on 'gut instinct' that defeats the object! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 16, 2010 Author Share Posted March 16, 2010 Re: Ratings for value notts county 10pts @ 1.86...-10 total stake = 570 profit loss = +165.2 total yield = 28.98% strike rate = 35/57 = 61.4% Equaliser in the dying seconds :eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 16, 2010 Author Share Posted March 16, 2010 Re: Ratings for value for tonight all 10pts back barnsley @ 2.86 derby @ 2.86 preston @ 1.99 sheff utd @ 2.28 reading @ 1.98 soton @ 1.76 stockport @ 2.81 :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 17, 2010 Author Share Posted March 17, 2010 Re: Ratings for value barnsley @ 2.86...+18.6 derby @ 2.86...-10 preston @ 1.99...-10 sheff utd @ 2.28...+12.8 reading @ 1.98...+9.8 soton @ 1.76...-10 stockport @ 2.81...-10 total stake = 640 profit loss = +166.4 total yield = 26% strike rate = 38/64 = 59.38% very small profit on the night Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 17, 2010 Author Share Posted March 17, 2010 Re: Ratings for value going to begin a staking plan alongside the level stakes to see how it performs. it will work as so.... bank will be 1000pts, return per back will be 2% of rolling high point of bank ie first target is 20pts. if the bank drops after a day of games, the target will remain at the high point it was at previously. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 19, 2010 Author Share Posted March 19, 2010 Re: Ratings for value weekend selections Portsmouth @ 2.23...8.93pts Sunderland @ 2.26...8.77pts Blackpool @ 1.97...10.17pts Bristol city @ 4.5...4.44pts Doncaster @ 2.36...8.47pts Ipswich @ 1.85...10.81pts Sheff weds @ 2.2...9.09pts Mk dons @ 2.78...7.25pts Stockport @ 3.15...6.35pts Swindon @ 3.05...6.56pts Northampton @ 1.9...10.47pts Hearts @ 2.7...7.41pts :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 20, 2010 Author Share Posted March 20, 2010 Re: Ratings for value Portsmouth @ 2.23...+11.07pts Sunderland @ 2.26...+11.23pts Blackpool @ 1.97...-10.17pts Bristol city @ 4.5...-4.44pts Doncaster @ 2.36....-8.47pts Ipswich @ 1.85...+9.19pts Sheff weds @ 2.2...-9.09pts Mk dons @ 2.78...-7.25pts Stockport @ 3.15...-6.35pts Swindon @ 3.05...-6.56pts Northampton @ 1.9...+9.53pts Hearts @ 2.7...+12.59pts total stake = 760 profit loss = +155.8 total yield = 20.5% strike rate = 43/76 = 56.58% staking plan total stake = 98.72 profit loss = +1.28 total yield = 1.3% new bank total = 1001.28 rolling bank 2% high = 20.03 strike rate = 5/12 = 41.67% good example of how a small loss on the level stakes can easily be a profit using the staking plan :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 23, 2010 Author Share Posted March 23, 2010 Re: Ratings for value west ham @ 1.88...10.65pts blackpool @ 2.64...7.59pts bristol city @ 2.22...9.02pts qpr @ 1.84...10.89pts scunthorpe @ 1.98...10.12pts cardiff @ 2.0...10.02pts southend @ 2.38...8.42pts kidderminster @ 2.7...7.42pts mansfield @ 1.8...11.0pts cambridge @ 1.84...10.89pts rushden @ 2.58...7.76pts st johnstone @ 1.93...10.38pts :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 25, 2010 Author Share Posted March 25, 2010 Re: Ratings for value west ham @ 1.88...-10.65pts blackpool @ 2.64...+12.44pts bristol city @ 2.22...+11.01pts qpr @ 1.84...-10.89pts scunthorpe @ 1.98...+9.91pts cardiff @ 2.0...-10.02pts southend @ 2.38...+11.61pts kidderminster @ 2.7...-7.42pts mansfield @ 1.8...-11.0pts cambridge @ 1.84...+9.14pts rushden @ 2.58...-7.76pts st johnstone @ 1.93...-10.38pts total stake = 880 profit loss = +146.4 total yield = 16.64% strike rate = 48/88 = 54.55% staking plan total stake = 212.88 profit loss = -12.73 total yield = -5.98% new bank total = 987.27 rolling bank 2% high = 20.03 strike rate = 10/24 = 41.67% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 26, 2010 Author Share Posted March 26, 2010 Re: Ratings for value West ham...8.86pts @ 2.26 Derby...7.31pts @ 2.74 Peterborough...6.95pts @ 2.89 Reading...7.1pts @ 2.82 Brentford...10.02pts @ 2.0 Bristol Rovers...10.95pts @ 1.83 Bournemouth...10.65pts @ 1.88 Morecambe...9.45pts @ 2.12 Notts County...10.77pts @ 1.86 Forest Green...7.82pts @ 2.56 Falkirk...6.36pts @ 3.15 :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 27, 2010 Author Share Posted March 27, 2010 Re: Ratings for value West ham...-8.86pts Derby...+12.72pts Peterborough...-6.95pts Reading...-7.1pts Brentford...+10.01pts Bristol Rovers...+9.08pts Bournemouth...+9.38pts Morecambe...+10.63pts Notts County...+9.31pts Forest Green...+12.21pts Falkirk...-6.36pts +44.07 profit on the day :cash:beer:beer total stake = 990 profit loss = +196.3 total yield = 19.83% strike rate = 55/99 = 55.56% staking plan total stake = 309.12 profit loss = +31.34 total yield = 10.14% new bank total = 1031.34 rolling bank 2% high = 20.63 strike rate = 21/35 = 60% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 Re: Ratings for value :clap good set of results mate, may have to start watching this one!! :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 27, 2010 Author Share Posted March 27, 2010 Re: Ratings for value good for the day mate, long may it continue :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 30, 2010 Author Share Posted March 30, 2010 Re: Ratings for value Kettering...6.35pts @ 3.25 Kidderminster...8.06pts @ 2.56 Stevenage...10.42 @ 1.98 :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted March 30, 2010 Author Share Posted March 30, 2010 Re: Ratings for value Kettering...-6.35pts Kidderminster...+12.57pts Stevenage...+10.21pts total stake = 1020 profit loss = +211.7 total yield = 20.75% strike rate = 57/102 = 55.88% staking plan total stake = 333.95 profit loss = +47.77 total yield = 14.3% new bank total = 1047.77 rolling bank 2% high = 20.96 strike rate = 23/38 = 60.53% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted April 1, 2010 Author Share Posted April 1, 2010 Re: Ratings for value man utd...7.49pts @ 2.8 birmingham...4.46pts @ 4.7 fulham...9.79pts @ 2.14 scunthorpe...7.43pts @ 2.82 bristol city...6.99pts @ 3.0 coventry...9.61pts @ 2.18 preston...10.59pts @ 1.98 l'orient...9.36pts @ 2.23 oldham...9.61pts @ 2.18 southend...9.36pts @ 2.23 stockport...6.65pts @ 3.15 bournemouth...10.75pts @ 1.95 dag and red...10.92pts @ 1.92 st mirren...7.03pts @ 2.98 :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinny Posted April 3, 2010 Share Posted April 3, 2010 Re: Ratings for value on these with you dannkez,good luck m8:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted April 3, 2010 Author Share Posted April 3, 2010 Re: Ratings for value cheers twinny but it would seem the results were not on our side today, i think the 6 games left factor is startin to creep in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinny Posted April 4, 2010 Share Posted April 4, 2010 Re: Ratings for value no probs mate,good luck today:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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