The anti +0.25 thread

[Jase82]

On to my 2nd theory that I want to try out until the end of the season. Something I've noticed recently is that when the Asian line for and away side is set @ + 0.25, and the odds are between 1.60 - 1.78'ish for that same side, the home side often either win or draw. I think this is because where there is an expectation that the away side is more than capable of at least picking up a point, the resulting selection often appears to swing the other way, in a game usually between two sides that are evenly matched on paper. Reason for looking at this is that I had expected several sides to pick up at least a draw away from home in the FA Cup. Ipswich away at Southampton. Doncaster away at Derby. Sunderland away at Portsmouth. Burnley away at Reading. All home sides won. You could argue that there were a couple of late goals in these fixtures, but the main point is that the away side did not fare anywhere near as well as I had expected them to. I've seen this happen a lot this season where the odds are around the 1.60 - 1.78 mark for a + 0.25. This is the perfect opportunity to see if there is anything in it. This will just be a paper trail until the end of the season to see if it brings up anything worth getting serious with. I will only be doing this for the English Leagues. EPL - BSP. To clarify, where the Asian line for the away side is set @ + 0.25, and the odds are between 1.60 - 1.78, I will take the opposing handicap for the home side. Only if the odds on the home side are set at about 2.10 +. Hopefully, this makes sense!

[Jase82]

Re: The anti +0.25 thread Barnsley - 0.25 @ 2.26 V Liecester. Peterborough - 0.25 @ 2.23 V Preston North End. Plymouth Argyle - 0.25 @ 2.21 V Derby County. Dagenham & Redbridge - 0.25 @ 2.22 V Notts County. Accrington Stanley - 0.25 @ 2.23 V Aldershot.