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Close Games


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Hi people, this is my first time posting a system in this thread and I hope it will be good. :hope For the past few weeks, I have been looking at trends and doing some back-testing on various leagues for the past 5 seasons (including this one). I realized that for games that are close, the favourite team in Serie A and Primera tends to win more often than expected. Therefore, in summary, I'm looking at: 1) Games in Italian Serie A and Spanish Primera League only 2) Odds (from Bet365)* between the Home team and Away team is less than or equal to 1 *This is for consistency, since the odds from Bet365 were used during back-testing. As for the staking plan, I have not come up with a good strategy so it will be the same stakes for every match. For simplicity, it will be 1 point per match. Finally, this would be a paper trail system. Any suggestions or constructive feedback would be welcome. Let's hope this works. Selections for this week: 1) Bologna vs Bari - Bologna @ 2.60 2) Livorno vs Napoli - Napoli @ 2.50 3) Palermo vs Fiorentina - Palermo @ 2.40 4) Siena vs Cagliari - Cagliari @ 2.60 5) Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Inter Milan @ 2.50 6) Espanyol vs Mallorca - Espanyol @ 2.37 7) Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander - Sporting Gijon @ 2.25 8) Getafe vs Atletico Madrid - Getafe @ 2.50 All odds are from Bet365. There might be better odds out there, but since this is only a paper trail system, it probably isn't that important.

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Re: Close Games Good start so far, beginners' luck I guess. We shall see. Results for this week: 1) Bologna vs Bari - Bologna @ 2.60 - WIN 2) Livorno vs Napoli - Napoli @ 2.50 - WIN 3) Palermo vs Fiorentina - Palermo @ 2.40 - WIN 4) Siena vs Cagliari - Cagliari @ 2.60 - LOSE 5) Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Inter Milan @ 2.50 - WIN 6) Espanyol vs Mallorca - Espanyol @ 2.37 - LOSE 7) Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander - Sporting Gijon @ 2.25 - LOSE 8) Getafe vs Atletico Madrid - Getafe @ 2.50 - WIN Staked: 8 pts Returns: 12.5 pts Profit: 4.5 pts --- Overall Total Staked: 8 pts Total Returns: 12.5 pts Total Profit: 4.5 pts Yield: 56.3% Strike Rate: 62.5% (5 out of 8)

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