Kempton (AW) 24/01

[Lars]

One bet for me I think. No idea if I'll have time to strike it tomorrow so it might be an SP job tonight, which cost me a few quid today with Gargano being backed in heavily :\ 4:35 Kempton. Perlachy's "forecasted" price seems to have been based on his last run in a 5f dash at Wolverhampton. However, has never really done well recently running at that distance and I believe that 6f is it's specialist distance. Has mainly run at Wolverhampton recently, the 5f race LTO he was up against types rated 85 and performed with a bit of credit, so it would be unfair to hold that against him. Before that finished 3rd behind the very nice Anne of Kiev and the forever consistent Colorus, again in a 5f race but was running on. A week before raced over CD and finished 2.5l behind the winner, who is now rated 82. Today effectively races of 63 with Kelly Harrison on board claiming 3lbs. Last win over 6f came off 64 and that was from a wide draw. Jockey hasn't won yet this year but has had her fair share of close calls on big priced horses so shouldn't be too much of a concern. Perlachy won here before and out of poor draws. Isn't too badly drawn here today and is against types more within it's range. Definitely has a chance to make the frame. EW @ SP

[Tedthewolf]

Re: Kempton (AW) 24/01 I'll not be around tomorrow but will have a small e/w bet on CROIX ROUGE hopefully a decent double figure price. This horse has won at this distance on the AW in Spain and is on a very low mark here now to do a bit of damage and a better run last so hope he can go on from that. Trainers horse tend to drift in the betting but he gets good priced winners.