Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Share Posted December 28, 2009 Hi Word of warning ,Iam piss at football betting but iam always trying to get a foot in the door betting wise that will make a profit,iam a tryer if nothing else. System outline --------------------------- This system ive been playing about with from the beg of the season and came about late last season due to some drastic results of the teams i was taking data on. First of is to lay the top 3 teams in the stated leauges from last season,there must be 3 teams if joint on points then will take the best goals for a team if joint then will go to games v each other to gain the team that goes into the system. Example last seasons top 3 in the Eng Prem Man Utd Liverpool Chelsea now the idea is to lay these teams weekly for 1pt each If and when these teams play each other its a no lay game The Starting Bank is 100pts All lays are 1pt each This is a real live system but i must stress iam only laying to small amounts to see how this goes. Countrys and teams in their leagues to follow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Belgian Anderlecht Stand Liege Club Brugge --------------------------- Denmark FC Copenhagen Odense Brondby ----------------------- Eng Prem Man Utd Liverpool Chelsea ------------- France Bordeaux Marseille Lyon -------------------- Germany Wolfsburg Bayern Stuttgart -------------------- Serie A Inter Milan Juventus AC Milan ----------------------- more coming Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Holland Alkmaar Twente Ajax ------------------ Portuguese Super Porto Sporting Benfica ------------------- Spain Barcelona Real Madrid Sevilla ------------------ Turkish 1st Besiktas Sivasspor Trabzonspor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Lay today Eng Prem Chelsea v Fulham Lay Chelsea 1pt 1.40 Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Stuff i forgot :$ All lays are at Betfair All lays are from 2.99 will not lay at 3.00 or above . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Running update 1 lay 1L = 0.40pts- loss Bank = 99.60pts Outlay = 0.40pts Ave odds = 0.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Data streams I will keep data on each league Eng Prem = 0.40pts- loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Lays Tuesday Eng Prem Liverpool 2.66 ----------------------------- Belgian 1st Standard 2.22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted December 28, 2009 Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Have you back tested this system at all. Seems to be a pretty difficult one IMO to get any half decent profit from. One game in and already 4 points down - it's gonna take a lot to recover that AND get some profit into this... good luck though :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Hi Hampshirelan I think you have misread the thread if iam not wrong, Yes ive backtested this system by laying live from the start of the footy season but to be honest even if ive backtested this for the last 5 years and made a profit there is no cert that this system or any other system that has made a profit in the past is gonna make a profit in the future. On the points that the system has lost,you state ive lost 4pts when ive only lost 0.40pt i layed Chelsea today for 1pt at 1.40 Betfair and Chelsea won 2-1 v Fulham so my outlay if i lost was 0.40pt if i had won i would have made 1pt return - 5% basic comm at Betfair giving me a return of 0.95pt. Thanks for looking in and good luck with your betting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted December 28, 2009 Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Ah, I see Zero... humble apologies - I did get this totally wrong :$:$ I have re-read and understood a little better now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 28, 2009 Author Share Posted December 28, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay No probs mate ,good luck and have a happy New Year :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 30, 2009 Author Share Posted December 30, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Daily update 2 lays 1W/1L = 0.71pts - loss after 5% comm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 30, 2009 Author Share Posted December 30, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Running update 3 lays 1W/2L = 1.11pts- loss after 5% comm Bank = 98.89pts Outlay = 3.28pts Ave odds = 2.09 ----------------------------------- League returns Eng Prem = 2.06pts- loss Belgian = 0.95pts+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted December 30, 2009 Author Share Posted December 30, 2009 Re: Top 3 Lay Lays today Belgian 1st Anderlecht 1.45 Club Brugge 2.10 ----------------------------- Eng Prem Man Utd 1.24 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 2, 2010 Author Share Posted January 2, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Days update 3 lays 3L = 1.79pts- loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 2, 2010 Author Share Posted January 2, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Running update 6 lays 1W/5L = 2.90pts- loss after 5% comm Bank = 97.10pts Outlay = 5.07pts Ave odds = 1.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 2, 2010 Author Share Posted January 2, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay League Data Eng Prem 2.30pts- Belgian 0.60pt- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 2, 2010 Author Share Posted January 2, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Spain Prem Barcelona 1.38 Betfair Sevilla 2.72 Betfair ---------------------- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 3, 2010 Author Share Posted January 3, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Daily update 2 lays 2W = 1.90pts+ after 5% comm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 3, 2010 Author Share Posted January 3, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Running update 8 lays 3W/5L = 1.00pt - loss after 5% comm Bank 99pts Outlay = 7.17pts Ave odds = 1.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 3, 2010 Author Share Posted January 3, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay League Data Eng Prem 2.30pts - Belgian =0.60pt - Spain = 1.90pts+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 3, 2010 Author Share Posted January 3, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Lay today Spain Prem Real Madrid 1.51 Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 4, 2010 Author Share Posted January 4, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Daily update 1 lay 1W = 0.95pts+ after 5% comm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 4, 2010 Author Share Posted January 4, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Running update 9 lays 4W/5L = 0.05pt- loss after 5% comm Bank 99.95pts Outlay = 7.68pts Ave odds = 1.73 League totals Eng Prem = 2.30pts- Belgian= 0.60pts - Spain =2.85pts+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 4, 2010 Author Share Posted January 4, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Next lays Weds 6th Inter Milan Juventus AC Milan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 6, 2010 Author Share Posted January 6, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Odds Inter 1.99 Betfair Juventus 2.48 AC Milan 1.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 8, 2010 Author Share Posted January 8, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Daily update 3 lays 3L = 3.13pts - loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 8, 2010 Author Share Posted January 8, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Running update 12 lays 4W/8L = 3.18pts- loss after 5% comm Outlay = 10.81pts Ave odds = 1.89 League stats Eng Prem = 2.30pts- Belgian 0.60pt- Spain = 2.85pts+ Italy = 3.13pts- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumpit Posted January 8, 2010 Author Share Posted January 8, 2010 Re: Top 3 Lay Eng Prem 9th Jan Chelsea abandoned Man Utd 1.65 Betfair ------------------------- Spain Prem Sevilla 1.65 ------------------ Portugal Super Sporting 1.43 Benfica 1.70 -------------------- Serie A Inter Milan 1.25 -------------------- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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