Kempton 21st Nov (AW) (Late Afternoon Card)

[chris34]

6.00 Kempton On what looks a tough night at kempton this doesn’t look much easier but there is one over priced in my opinion. Earlsmedic is likely to go well having won a classier race than this during the week and penalty is taken away by apprentice but he isn’t an easy ride and maybe a tough ask for an inexperienced jockey, also on paper this should be easier but this actually looks tougher. Perfect act also won last time out and up 4lb for that effort, but he is another that isn’t the easiest to win on coming well off the pace. Where as gwilym is a different story likes to sit up with the pace tracking the leaders, winning a handicap on turf at lingfield, before going wrong at newmarket and being pulled up, was then given a bit of a cocky ride by Hayley over 6f at wolverhampton to win upped 4lb for that and looked a little bit flat last time out, but I wouldn’t discount him bouncing back here tonight from a middle draw. 0.5pt e/w gwilym 10/1 lads 6.30 Kempton Hereford boy won last time out and is potentially well handicapped even off tonights revised mark having won off 75 and now rated just 65, which is a 5lb rise for latest win which is offset by apprentice, that win looked fairly impressive and certainly shaped as if there was more to come and plum draw in stall 12 aswell! 0.5pt e/w Hereford boy 11/2 bet365 7.00 Kempton Downhill skier was prolific on aw last winter and looks to be in for another good campaign this season, having finished promisingly last time out from a bad draw, drawn slightly better tonight and Mclaughin back on board who has ridden this horse a couple of times and got on really well with him, he perhaps needs things to fall right for him but should have every chance have slipped back to last wnning mark on turf in the summer. 0.25pt e/w downhill skier 8/1 bet365

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Kempton 21st Nov (AW) (Late Afternoon Card)

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	KEMPTON - 15:30
Selection	PITTODRIE STAR (bog) (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	21/11/2009
Bookmaker/Price	totesport @ 5.50 (Back)
Reasoning	KEMPTON 17:30 Groomed To Perfection, The Kia Soul Maiden Auction Stakes (2yo, Class 5, 6f, 11 runners) EACH WAY: PITTODRIE STAR Dropped in Class after a good effort at Newmarket last month, 12TH by 8 3/4L. A M Balding and L P Keniry had a maiden win here 2 days ago, one ride today. He is well drawn at 10 out of 11 and that is good to have at this trip. Their win came by making all the running and given a good spot do it again. Balding from his last 13 runners here have 2 wins with 6 in total placed.
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