Southwell 21st Oct (AW)

[chris34]

2.10 Southwell Many of these have course form which is not perfect from my angle trying to find the value but Il have a go: Burgundy Ice- No course form but dangerous to ignore only winning by a short head at kempton 1st and 2nd pulled well clear of rest and both clearly capable of more Xpress maite- Rarely runs a bad race round here 21 runs 5 wins and many placed efforts latest was a second in class 3 (class 4 today) now 3lb lower since that run and last run was a 7th at wolverhampton last won round here off 85 now just 82 Mcconell- In good heart last run was far from disgrace at kempton running under handicap rise and penalty runs just under handicap rise today and previous was a fantastic win round here. Silent hero- Now 8lb higher than last win round here but 2 recent 3rds gives him a shout Ultimate- Won maiden round here but shown little in handicap on turf yet Hilbre court- won round here off a 3lb lower mark but not in best of form and a serious concern in this field Swiss art- was 4th behind mcconell on latest show is 6lb better off and is now 3lb higher than last win. Conclusion- Fascinating handicap with so much course form but Burgundy ice could be a real live danger if taking to the surface after winning so easily on kempton aw and American pedigree suggest wouldn’t be a problem. Xpress maite is well handicapped not ideal stall but still a threat, mcconnell could be capable of better showing a lot of improvement lately especially around this circuit! 1pt win burgundy ice 0.25pt e/w xpress maite 0.25pt e/w mcconnell 3.40 Southwell Another fascinating handicap and just going on course form again! Inbleby arch won round here at weekend but will need a career best to land this and is renowned for following up on wins. Diriculous has solid course form but is just a little too high in handicap these days. Nightjar gets top weight here and rightly so after finishing a solid 4th last time out round here at the weekend in a hot handicap back down in trip and looks well worth a shot after losing the race about 2f out runs off same mark today and is only 2lb higher than last CD win. Invincible lad won over 5f over course stepped up to 6f today and up 7lb in handicap which looks fair after winning well and also this looks slightly easier than last race 0.5pt e/w nightjar 11/2 pp 0.25pt e/w invincible lad 11/2 pp

[Spooner]

Re: Southwell 21st Oct (AW) 14:10 - Lifes Challenge @ 15/2 Skybet E-W I said I wouldn't play at this track again but couldn't help having a look and will have one selection here, Mark Johnston's horse is least exposed of the field. She was very impressive when winning on debut, into handicap company NTO stepping upto 1m 2f where perhaps she failed to fully get the trip, however back down to a mile and assuming this one will be ridding prominent, I am hoping she'll get a softish lead turning into the home bend and kick on from the front.