Chester - Saturday 12th September

[mowgli77]

Chester 3.15 Traffic Guard was impressive stepping up to this trip but had not won for two years previous to that and is being priced up on the strength of one run. Blue Bajan has better form over the jumps and is 0-8 in class 1 races on the flat, way too short in the betting today. I don’t fancy Cheshire Prince despite course form, 0-3 in class 1 company and 1-5 in class 2 races, well beaten in much poorer races than this. Hatton Flight was disappointing last time out and did not race when unseating rider time before that but Buick gets on well with the horse, raced at the rear last time out when it needs to be in touch with the leaders, too early to write it off. Indian Days is 0-8 in class 1 races, has been beaten in group races recently but is also 0-4 over 1m4f, unfancied today. Urban Poet has potential but was awful last time out, drops back in trip but not sure it went on good ground last time out, was beaten a long way from home and lot to prove now. Snoqualmie Girl had a good piece of form at 2 when behind Rainbow View in a Gp2 at Doncaster; disappointing since but slight improvement stepped up 2f last time out. Might need more cut and possible non-runner. The horse I feel is really underpriced is Blue Bajan, it should be at least double those odds in my opinion. The one I am going to back is Hatton Flight, it certainly knows how to get its head in front, had 3 in a row recently and racked up a 4 timer in lesser company before that. 6 wins from 12 races over this trip, 50% success rate and 16-1 looks value to me. Suggested Bet: 5pts EW Hatton Flight 16-1 William Hill 1/4 odds 1st 2

[chris34]

Re: Chester - Saturday 12th September 3.15 Chester Traffic guard romped home behind 2 classy sorts in a listed event last time out when tried at this trip for the first time and prior to that ran a good 4th behind jukebox jury in a group3 event and could well be on an upward curve does have to give weight all round which could be a stiff ask. 1pt win traffic guard 2/1 bet365 4.30 Chester Le toreador looks a huge price for a horse who hasn’t finished out of the places too many times and has looked threatening again, is dropped a 1lb for latest 3rd prior to that ran a good 2nd round this course and could well go one better today with cheekpieces fitted for the first time. 0.5pt e/w le toreador 13/2 paddypower 5.40 Chester Vita mia likes to be a front runner, and last won round here 3starts ago off a 5lb lower mark but has since been given an awful ride being held up and also tried over longer trips, back to a suitable trip today and Catherine gannon back on board who won on him last time round here could go well 1pt win vita mia 4/1 bet365