Just 4% profit after 66 games in my research about under - over in basketball

[sjuesju]

I am starting a quick research about few different strategies about betting on under or over at basketball games. I will use WNBA because it is only one major championship where matches are on right now. Few words about those different strategies: the first one I have used before in NBA last regular season. I follow the under – over stats for every team and when the match is going to be played I just take a look to numbers. For example Washington and Atlanta will play tonight – Washington has 50-50 until now and Atlanta has 30-70 under – over percentage. So, I will bet over here. The other way of betting is similar, but a bit more difficult. The principal is the same, but the way of collecting the data is different. For every team I make different sectors divided by the border given by the bookie for under or over. Then I checked the previous matches for this particular team for that particular border and compare the percentage between both teams on that border and bet for under or over with greater percentage. The third way I will check to the rest of the season is far more difficult. I read in the forum about using Gauss’ least squares approximate principal for betting. It was about football, but I think it’s best to put it into practice with under – over betting. So I chose to use it here. For data I will use the last ten matches for every team – so 20 games. The same method will be used for my fourth hypothesis, but the difference again will be of the way I collected data. Here I will use the last 10 mutual games between the teams. I will check another two ways of making tips, but they are far less effective I think. I will check them only because it is easy to collect data. I will check the last 10 matches for every team and I will calculate the average scores so it will be mine point to guess will the match be under or over. Finally, the same method will be made, but with data collected from the last 10 mutual games between the teams. http://betsurf.org/wordpress/2009/07/research-about-basketball-under-over-betting/

[sjuesju]

Re: My research about under - over in basketball A note here. I will start researching when I find a match where both teams have played at least 10 games. There is no matches like that today.