Royal Ascot Thurs 18th June

[mowgli77]

Ascot 2.30 There are 2 short priced horses in this race and although they look like classy sorts they have to be opposed due to the prices. Monsieur Chevalier is likely to start fav (fav's have won last 2 years) and has done nothing wrong but there are other unexposed and progressive types here and I can't have it at the odds. The American horse is an unknown quantity but clearly respected after the demolition jobs the other 2 have done this week. The last 3 winners of this race have only had 1 previous run and then came straight here after winning their maiden races and one that fits that bill that interests me is Nosedive from the Haggas yard with Ryan Moore on board. Won its maiden in decent enough style, will clearly come on for that and is a nice price. Last years winning trainer sends out Kingdom Of Light and that is a massive price considering the horses filling the next 3 places from the race it won have all followed up with wins of their own, all boosting that formline. It should go on the ground and Paul Mulrennan rides again. The final one I like at a bigger price is Here Now and Why from Kevin Ryans yard. Neil Callan is on board and has ridden this 3 times so far, it was running on for its debut and then won two 5f races really easily when going off as odds on fav both times. Was always earmarked as a Royal Ascot horse and looks a value ew shot. These are my 3 bigger priced fancies against the 2 shorties. Suggested Bets: 2.5pts EW Here Now And Why 25-1 Bet365 BOG 2.5pts EW Nosedive 16-1 Stan James 2.5pts EW Kingdom Of Light 20-1 Bet365 BOG

[mowgli77]

Re: Mowgli77 Specialist Thread (FLAT) Ascot 3.05 I like the look of Leocorno but don't like the price when it has only won two lesser races and could be anything. Moore takes the ride for the first time. I also like the look of Take The Hint but I'm put off by that price too in a race where most of the contenders look progressive. I like the look of July Jasmine, it won its maiden race and then finished 6 lengths behind Midday in an Oaks trial at Lingfield but lost its balance at that course. It ran on well enough at the end of the race and interesting to see they avoided the Oaks after that. Might be seen to better effect on a track without such undulations and that form is solid with Midday only being beaten a head by the very good Sariska in the Oaks. Mick Kinane is a great booking, great judge of pace in a race and has alreay shown his class on Sea The Stars twice this season. The other one I like the look of at better odds is Flame Of Gibraltar, raced twice over 10f and won last time out at Lingfield on ground that was probably too firm. Any rain will be a plus for this horse and it looks like it will benefit from the step up to 1m4f. The race it won was nothing special but the manner in which it won caught the eye. Suggested Bets: 5pts EW July Jasmine 7/1 PaddyPower 1/4 odds 1st 3 5pts EW Flame Of Gibraltar 14/1 Bet365 BOG 1/4 odds 1st 3