Best Bet Of The Day - Sat 3/1/09

[WoodyTHFC]

San 2.40 Dee Ee Williams 2pt win BANKER of the month. See earlier post in my thread or ante post thread. Essentially this is a nice horse who is rated extremely highly by his trainer, his formlines look strong, chelt. win with loads of form boosts, similarly his asc. win looks good especially given the presence of the talented shoreacres. He lost lto but very narrowly to an unexposed sort from King who I beleive has improved a lot since being beaten by mahonia at exe. and didnt run to form that day. The slightly in out pace that day at asc. probably didnt help a horse who is seen to better effect with a more out and out gallop either. He should get something more like that today with the two outsiders both showing the desire to make all previously, as has mahonia and the stiff finish late on should be right up his street. Bold bid expected.

[PL2008]

Re: Best Bet Of The Day - Sat 3/1/09 15:15 Lord Henry (IRE)

Lord Henry (IRE) (BBOTD) 15:15 Kempton Among top three to be best on 'Good' going. Twist Magic won 3 of 4 on good over hurdles. Takeroc won 1 and placed 2nd from 3 runs on good over hurdles. 11711FF1232 is the form on 'Good' going by Lord Henry. Priced in double figures and I think if he's at his to finish he can get in the top two. 3 pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG5

Result from that race: 4th in Desert Orchid Chase (Sponsored By Stan James) Grade 2 Comments in running: Chased winner until 7th, lost place next, 6th when mistake 9th, stayed on again from 2 out, not threaten leaders ANALYSIS: Lord Henry helped to share the pace but lost his place quickly when the tempo increased. He looked like dropping away tamelybut connections will be heartened by the way he rallied and kept on strongly once hitting the home straight. Hobbs and O'Brien both have a strike rate in the 20s% here over hurdles. Hobbs has 10 wins from 39 - 26% for a profit of 32.39 at LSP. O'Brien has 4 wins from 15 - 27% for a profit of 9.85 at LSP. The combo here has 4 wins from 15 - 26.7% for a win % return at SP of 165.7%. 4 wins from 8 in months of December. 3 wins from 9 at 2m to 2m1f. 2 wins from 6 - 4 placed in Handicap Hurdles. 3pts ew @ 12-1 Bet365 BOG