Subzero Posted January 2, 2009 Share Posted January 2, 2009 Hello all, I have noticed that in some European Leagues around 50% of the matches is still a draw at halftime. I have created a progressive staking plan based on minimum odds of 1.80. The matches i bet have odds of 2.00 on average, i have never seen odds lower as 1.85 so this should be ok. The idea is to bet all the matches in a league, until all teams have a draw at halftime(or any significant winnings before every team has a draw at halftime show up, in that case i will quit earlier)So in reality, you bet on teams not on matches. This format shows the staking plan: Step Stake Odds Win Lose 1 0.5 1.80 0.40 -0.5 2 1 1.80 0.30 -1.5 3 2 1.80 0.10 -3.5 4 4.5 1.80 0.10 -8 5 11 1.80 0.80 -19 As you can see i will bet a team for a maximum of 5 consecutive matches, if they don't have a draw at halftime then i will accept my losses for that team. But if a team has a draw at halftime in any of these 5 steps a profit is guaranteed. I will bet om leagues with a minimum 45% draws at halftime. In general, these are the low-scoring leagues in Southern Europe but also the English Premier League(48%). With the premiership already running, i will post here the matches from the Portuguese Superliga(46%) to start with. Bank starts with a virtual 100 points. Home Step Stake Away Step Stake Total Stake Odds Result Won/Lost Academica 1 0.5 Leixoes 1 0.5 1 2.00 0-0 Won 1.00 Rio Ave 1 0.5 Guimaraes 1 0.5 1 2.00 2-2 Won 1.00 Setubal 1 0.5 Sporting 1 0.5 1 2.15 0-2 Lost Amadora 1 0.5 Naval 1 0.5 1 2.10 1-0 Lost Maritimo 1 0.5 Ferreira 1 0.5 1 2.10 1-1 Won 1.10 Nacional 1 0.5 Porto 1 0.5 1 2.10 1-0 Lost Trofense 1 0.5 Benfica 1 0.5 1 2.30 1-0 Lost Braga 1 0.5 Belenenses 1 0.5 1 2.25 I will update the odds as soon as the bets are placed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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