Laying Strugglers At Home

[Lechero79]

So whilst I was driving about working this week, I thought of a system I'd like to trial. This will be strictly a paper trial at this moment, I have done no backtesting whatsoever. What I plan to do is lay teams at home who have less than 1 point per game average. The opponents must have greater than 1.25 points per game average, pretty simple really. For example you can lay Nottingham Forest at home to Sheffield United for a pretty low price on Tuesday, Forest have won 1 game only for ages, and only 2 at home/10 this season. All matches will have a liability of £50. This midweeks suggestions:- Lay Nottingham Forest v Sheffield United. Lay Woking v Rushden & Diamonds. Prices to be posted tomorrow.

[tomahawk1984]

Re: Laying Strugglers At Home

So whilst I was driving about working this week, I thought of a system I'd like to trial. This will be strictly a paper trial at this moment, I have done no backtesting whatsoever. What I plan to do is lay teams at home who have less than 1 point per game average. The opponents must have greater than 1.25 points per game average, pretty simple really. For example you can lay Nottingham Forest at home to Sheffield United for a pretty low price on Tuesday, Forest have won 1 game only for ages, and only 2 at home/10 this season. All matches will have a liability of £50. This midweeks suggestions:- Lay Nottingham Forest v Sheffield United. Lay Woking v Rushden & Diamonds. Prices to be posted tomorrow.

Alright mate. Good luck with the new system. Would it be worth using points per home game and points per away game? I have some spreadsheets with that kind of stuff on if you want to have a look.