Lingfield 2-12-08

[puntyboy]

Had a mediocre day with Lingfield last Friday so im going to have another crack of it again tomorrow. I enjoy the track so im gonna focus on this place with my posts.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Lingfield 12.30. Craggonmore Creek E/W

An extremely dodgy betting prospective with an opening amateur riders handicap over 2 miles, with plenty of jumpers in here for plenty of head scratching. The racing post favourite Wyeth looks more like a jumper to me and I doubt connections are all out really to win this. It didn’t have the pace for its only other try on the AW and I wont be backing it at RPF 3/1. Flame creek has would have a major chance on old form but his last 2 efforts of this CD have been pathetic so he’s a no- no for me also. In a race of this nature I guess im just gonna try and find the one that will go about its business as usual, is uncomplicated and might appreciate the CD. I expect these amateurs to go much too fast as usual. One that might be staying on well at the death could be Craggonmore Creek. It has had 3 attempts at 2m, and has a win and a 3^rd to its name. The jockey has won on him before and that was when he held him up. That was off 45 and he runs off 46 tomorrow after coming down a few pounds after 3 poor attempts latest. His form at lingfield from 2 races includes a 2^nd. If he takes as well to this place tomorrow as he does southwell then I give him a decent chance E/W.

(Extra notes about a few other horses I have looked at)

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />CorloughMountain – This distance is much too far for this horse IMO.

Prince of medina – Versatile in regards to distance and has a bit of good course form, but was dropped to a mile and half for its last win and not sure it really wants this stamina test.

[fintron]

Re: Lingfield 2-12-08 3.30 Lingfield The most valuable race on the card is this 0-80 handicap over a mile and a quarter worth £4,700 to the winner. Prince of Light has the ability to take this race having won pattern races several years ago, but he's been dropping down the handicap steadily of late and not managed to get his head infront so may be worth watching again. Emperor Court is only 2 lbs higher than when winning at Windsor in April but has been looking exposed of late and will be grateful for a 2 lb drop in his rating for this. He has a chance too, but a less exposed rival looks to be Hold the Gold. Eoghan O'Neill's colt won here over shorter last December but should be able to stay this far based upon the fact he was a neck second over 9.5 furlongs at Wolverhampton in October. If anything, the slight step up in trip could work in his favour here because he has been starting his races slowly and doing his best work late on. He runs off a mark of 71 tomorrow and ran a decent second to Royal Amnesty off 73 in this grade and finished third to Princely Hero last time out off 74, so looks to have been given a chance by the handicapper. Although he has been dropped 3 lbs since his last run, I don't think he is necessarily exposed, it could just be that he's been giving himself too much to do, so I think he is handicapped to win if he's in the right mood. There is obviously some ability there otherwise connections would not have entered him in a class 2 handicap two runs ago. The fact they booked a claimer for that ride only suggests they were taking a speculative punt at a higher prize that he is usually contesting, but the rivals infront of him that day - Suits Me, Nanton, Final Verse, Just Bond and Intabih etc are better than anything he faces tomorrow, and his placing (9th of 12) is best ignored. Tomorrows race is more on his level. 7/1 Bet 365