Exeter 21/11/2008

[PL2008]

1:05 Exeter Winged dArgent I like his chance to be at least placed. Dropping in grade from a Grade 2 into a Class 4 today. He made a winning debut at this course and distance last month - won by 3 1/4 10tps to win 1:05 Exeter Fistral Beach Bumper winner on debut at Newton Abbott by 3 1/4L on 25Apr08. Should make a good return because his trainer P F Nicholls has a 30% strike rate with hurdlers here since 2006 (10 wins from 23). Owner C G Roach has 3 wins from 4 runs at this course the past 5 seasons - 2 from 3 hurdlers. 10tps to win 1:05 Exeter Belcantista Winless from 6 starts over hurdles in France but did finish 2nd three time and twice in 3rd. He's been raced in a Graded event and placed in 3 Listed Hurdle runs so being in this race just looks easy for him, on paper. 10tps to win 1:40 Exeter Pancake Value here cosidering trainer P J Hobbs has a 27% strike rate with chasers here the past 5 seasons (26/95). Owner Andrew L Cohen has 9 wins from 40 chase runs for a profit of 28.38lsp the past 5 seasons. 10tps to win 1:40 Exeter Lodge Lane 5 wins from 7 career starts - 3 wins from 4 over hurdles with the non-win being at the Cheltenham Festival. Trainer V R A Dartnall has 3 wins from 9 chase runs at this course so this being a chase debut is okay. Jockey Christian Williams has 7 wins from 35 chase runs here for a profit of 43.50lsp the past 5 seasons. 10tps to win 2:50 Exeter Overclear Trainer Miss A M Thorpe and jockey A P McCoy as a combo has 2 wins from 6 chasers the last 5 seasons. Overclear has been 4th for his lat 4 starts with three being raced at this course. With his average finish of 4.3 from 10 of 11 he finished the upgrade to AP makes the price appealing (8/1rpf). 10tps to win

[Falbrav]

Re: Exeter 21/11/2008 THEATRE DANCE 1.40 Exeter. Has a bit to find to be winning this, but I think that chasing will bring about improvement and so with the trip and ground looking suitable and with the principals all having their slight questions to answer, I think we can go well at a big price. 0.5 points each way