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Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports


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I want to try this system, was for soccer only but i did for all sports. I use poisson goals to calculate % (1-x-2) (u-o), but i see the poisson goes for under picks too often... Did anyone tried this before ? (poisson distribution) After i have read FOOTBALL-CASHBUILDER, i was watching home-favs, away-favs to calculate %, so i can pick the treble. I will paste my % for FOOTBALL-CASHBUILDER criteria. Home Teams: CSKA Moscow - Kazan 1.48 3.71 5.95 44%-30%-26% Zenit - D. Moscow 1.58 3.48 5.18 42%-30%-28% Terek - Yaroslavl 1.59 3.67 4.66 52%-29%-19% Sivasspor - Konyaspor 1.54 3.60 5.59 50%-28%-22% Kayserispor - Antalyas. 1.48 3.73 6.18 42%-31%-27% Rizespor - Sakaryaspor 1.58 3.48 5.13 41%-34%-25% Altay - Samsunspor 1.45 3.75 6.20 55%-25%-20% BATE - Vitebsk 1.34 4.40 6.58 31%-33%-36% Posusje - Sarajevo 1.54 3.62 4.82 36%-31%-33% Odense – Vejle 1.39 4.12 7.49 52%-29%-19% Veria - Kastoria 1.59 3.40 5.04 38%-34%-28% Atromitos - Ionikos 1.51 3.42 6.10 43%-32%-24% Lugano - Concordia 1.34 4.27 7.26 67%-21%-12% Winterthur - Nyonnais 1.57 3.56 5.03 45%-32%-23% Sampdoria - Lecce 1.59 3.36 6.14 36%-38%-26% Udinese - Reggina 1.37 4.16 8.54 68%-22%-11% Vaslui - G. Buzau 1.39 3.99 7.07 47%-34%-19% Young Boys - Luzern 1.37 4.28 7.31 54%-27%-20% Olhanense - Oliveirense 1.56 3.48 5.30 45%-31%-24% Bremen - KΓΆln 1.44 4.00 6.84 43%-28%-29% Dnepr – Zarya 1.38 3.86 7.40 50%-29%-21% Hradec Kralove - Fulnek 1.50 3.63 5.85 45%-31%-24% CFR Cluj - Arges Pitesti 1.42 3.84 6.66 33%-33%-33% Olympiakos - PAOK 1.49 3.62 6.22 38%-37%-25% Hajduk Split - Rijeka 1.50 3.58 5.72 54%-28%-19% Boca Juniors – Velez 1.50 3.61 6.01 46%-30%-24% Atletico-PR - Vitoria 1.51 3.60 5.80 52%-32%-17% Gremio - Coritiba 1.50 3.63 5.98 45%-32%-23% Away Teams: Savit M. - Dinamo Minsk 6.59 4.38 1.34 12%-27%-61% Cibalia - D. Zagreb 6.59 3.79 1.42 15%-23%-62% Artmedia - Slovan 5.77 3.60 1.50 13%-22%-66% Huelva - Barcelona 8.30 4.57 1.34 7%-17%-76% So taking max(%), the treble should have: Lugano, Udinesse, Barcelona [EDIT]

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