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is this a good system?


GoodGuy

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i wanted to ask the professionals about a system that has the following attributes and whether the race pool is big enough. Totals

BetsWinsWin Strike RateWin %Return at SPPlaced (inc wins)Place Strike RateEach-Way %Return at SP
All Selections20611254.4%130.5%15273.8%118.2%
Results broken down by Year
BetsWinsWin Strike RateWin %Return at SPPlaced (inc wins)Place Strike RateEach-Way %Return at SP
2004462963.0%152.3%3882.6%138.0%
2005482245.8%110.3%2960.4%96.3%
2006442352.3%125.4%3477.3%120.8%
2007352262.9%150.3%2982.9%133.0%
2008331648.5%115.1%2266.7%103.1%
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Re: is this a good system? I'm not a professional, but my experience with devising systems suggests that you have not nearly enough data to have confidence in this one. You really need to see well over 500 events in my opinion for a backing system, even though your strike rate is quite high. The other key thing is how many filters have been applied to get the results? The fewer there are, the more likely the performance will be replicated going forward. What you're looking for is something fundamental that points to an inefficiency in the market, and if you can explain WHY it leads to a betting advantage, there's more chance of it being a truly valid system. Good luck anyway!

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