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Top Flight Trouble "Big Mak" Style


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:welcome This will be the thread which I will co-ordinate my rejuvenated effort to contribute to this wonderful community that has given so much to us all. I feel I have disrespected it of late as my knowledge has grown and my results improved (I would say as a direct result of this forums existence) yet I have failed to give back in the way that most do. I have found it difficult in the past to find the time to write up and organise my selections for public consumption (Although there are those here who seem to make the time and I applaud your efforts). As well as time I have never felt as confident as now in letting people know my opinion from a betting perspective as even though people are responsible for their own actions, if a selection of mine loses and it is a public selection someone could be affected (Up until about 6-12 months ago I was terribly uncomfortable giving my friends any tips/opinions for similar reasons). So now with my confidence growing and my results really backing me up I feel it is time to set the wheels in motion. I intend to produce a SINGLE "best" selection for each round of the most popular top flight leagues ONLY. Presumably this would be my highest staked bet however occasionally that may not be the case due to odds, the most common form of this would be "anytime goalscorer" bets which I have enjoyed some success in. All bets in this thread will contain explanation for the wager and the thread will contain many statistics that will enable all to gauge how I rate the strength of a proposed bet as well as results for previous ones. While wagers will be compiled here they will also be posted in the relevant thread so please direct comments on them there. If I feel as time goes by that I have the ability to contribute a greater volume of selections I am all but happy to do so. By all means follow along see how my good/bad :tongue2 my results are and make your own judgment on whether to wager your hard earned. One final thing i always encourage people to bet within themselves my bets will NEVER exceed 2% of my total betting bank and my average bets are somewhere between 1-1.5% at no point do I encourage all in bets even with my absolute strongest selections. Wow that was longer than I expected. Enjoy the read and also thank you to those here at PL that put in so much effort in the spirit of good will so that we can all beat the bookies. May we all succeed so that there is plenty of funds to be social on the weekends (or any day really. Carl :unsure). . :beer.

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Re: Top Flight Trouble "Big Mak" Style France Ligue 1 - (18/10/08) 2927.gifCaen v Grenoble6994.gif These two teams have had great starts to the season with everyone giving massive wraps to Caen for their go forward attitude and so far they have been justly rewarded for their positive attacking play. However recently Grenoble has gone the other way a little particularly noted the match against Nantes (Some of us still don't know what happened) where they were all over the match with multiple genuine chances on goal however managed to concede to what was a rare chance on goal for Nantes. However with a goal disallowed (offside) and the Nantes stopper in top touch some count them unlucky. I am sure that everyone feels this will be an open game with Caen very confident pushing forward (Perhaps vulnerable on the counter particularly with the return of starting striker Moriera: G:2, A:1). I feel like on their day Grenoble here could make Caen pay on the counter, however with a touch of inconsistency creeping in and a poor result against Nantes despite their domination I feel like they will need a lot to get a result here (2 goals may be necessary to get any result). Caen In 4 home games this season Caen hold a 3-0-1 record scoring 2 or more in 3/4 (Including a very impressive 2-0 win over St Etienne). I feel like the 0-1 loss to PSG can be written off as a once off and in mid table position every home game is important to win to keep in a comfortable league position and crucial in maintaining pressure on those above (including Grenoble). Grenoble As I said earlier if not for the Nantes game I may be backing Grenoble here however with home form dropping it is hard to see them maintain a high enough level motivation to take something from this match. With only 1 win in last 4 matches overall (That win coming away to PSG I tend to ignore results teams have against PSG, one of the more inconsistent teams I have seen) you just get the feeling they wont have enough. Betting The predicted open nature of the match tempted me into a "Both teams to score" bet however Caen have recoded some quality clean sheets I simply cannot ignore. Caen win. 7 units Caen (-0.5) @ 1.91 (Bet365) Top Price: 1.97 (Exchanges)

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