EPL teams, draws, progressive staking.

[Osesame]

For a long time the search for profit from draws has been difficult.This method is based on the whole of 2001/2 season and this season so far.It is based entirely on bookmakers odds. The object is to follow each team individually having discarded those teams that do not draw with the required frequency after the selection process has been applied,namely Man.U. Newcastle and Everton. The staking plan is 50% increase after a loss. Starting with 1pt the staking sequence is 1.5,2.25,3.4,5.1,7.6,11.4,17.1,25.6,38.4 pts after a loss. The longest losing run was 8 last season for Southampton. For the whole of last season the stakes were 103.2 returning 120.95 @ average odds.So far this season the stakes are 14pts returning 28.25 for Southampton. Bets placed 471 ..bets won 167 so far The yield for last season was 30% at average odds Throughout all the analysis the average odds have been used,the best odds available are generally 6-8% abve this.This may not seem much but for this season so far average odds give a yield of 33.5% using best odds would increase this considerably The only teams currently showing a loss are West Ham -6 pts and Leeds -3.6pts The required bets for each team in a match are added together to give the total stake on the draw. Selections for boxing day DRAWS are Birmingham 1pt@ 3.28=3.28pts b/fair....average odds 3.16=3.16pts .............. Sunderland 1pt Leeds 5.1pts ............. West Ham 5.1pts ) @3.47=29.45b/fair....average odds 3.15=26.78pts Fulham 3.4pts.....) ........... bolton 1pt total stakes 16.6pts return 32.73pts using betfair odds corrected for 5% commission return at average odds...29.94pts approx 8.5% less ..................................................... Aternatively you could start from scratch with 1pt on each selection. 6pts staked return 10.22pts b/fair odds

[Guest bcrazy]

Re: EPL teams, draws, progressive staking. A nice win with the Fulham- West Ham match but I fear you will be told that if a system cant make a profit with level stakes then it cant with any other staking. Looking good so far though with a reasonably large number of bets :D