lampard08+P Posted October 1, 2008 Share Posted October 1, 2008 HEY EVERYONE, Im new here just wanted your opinion on the strategy that i came up with basically i have only tested this theoretically on EPL this season (august till now) what i actually do is bet 10 units a game (10 pounds dollars or whatever) for a total of 100 units a week only on EPL games i put 2 units on pick the score 1-1 which are at least 6.50 odds even 7.00 sometimes but say 6.50 as minimum i put the other 8 units on total goals >2.5 which on average work around to be ( 2.00) some time you'll get 1.75 for >2.5 but not that often basically i worked it to average 2.00 so if its a 1-1 draw you make 13 units (+11 units profit) if the score is over 2.5 goals then you make +16 units (+8 units profit) if the score is 1-0,2-0 or 0-0 you lose 10 units i did this over the whole premier league season so far worked out: week 1 of EPL= +47 units profit week 2 = +11 week 3 = +39 week 4 = +83 week 5 = +11 week 6 = -10 total investment = 590 ( man u 1 game in hand) total saying i withdrawtoday = 771 units total profit = 181 units best weekend = +83 units weekk 4 worst weekend = -10 week 6 now there are exceptions such as games you no that are going to be under 2.5 ( e.g stoke vs chelsea /liverpool) so best to avoid such games like avilla vs liverpool, liverpool didnt have gerrard and torres so no real attacking presence so you wouldnt take the >2.5 bet. im working on the 07/08 season to see how it would pan out, but i would only stick to EPL because i'm not too familiar with other leagues ANYBODY HAVE CONSTRUCTIVE CRITICISM OF MY STRATEGY? thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted October 1, 2008 Share Posted October 1, 2008 Re: Epl Strategy Draw & >2.5 Remember that you lose 2 units if the game ends >2.5 goals and you lose 8 units if game ends 1-1. As far as I can see you only calculate the profit but forget that you have 2 bets and only one of them wins. So if its a 1-1 draw you make 13 units minus the 10 units you've taked in total that equals +3 units profit. If the score is over 2.5 goals then you make 16 units minus the 10 units you've taked in total that equals +6 units profit. I hope I've understood you method correct and I hope my math is correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lampard08+P Posted October 1, 2008 Author Share Posted October 1, 2008 Re: Epl Strategy Draw & >2.5 whoops silly mistake i recalculated it week 1= +25 week 2= -7 week 3= +19 week 4= +57 week 5= -7 week 6= -20 total profit = 67+ alot off work for 6 weeks maybe its not worth it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted October 1, 2008 Share Posted October 1, 2008 Re: Epl Strategy Draw & >2.5 lampard - lets hope theres no tipping service about to be advertised, as was the case with the other two members with the same IP address ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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