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The search for draws


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Guest trigger
Posted

If the bookies give the same odds for a home win as the away win, has anyone looked at the percentage of draws from these games ?

Guest OddsAgainst
Posted

Re: The search for draws The hypothesis here is that if the teams are evenly matched then the chance of a draw is greater I assume? I don't remember this exact scenario being discussed but many must have looked at it. IMO, this will fail to reveal an edge as the chance of a draw seems to be fairly constant across matches with teams of differing abilities until we get to the "mismatch" class of game. At the risk of being boring I will repeat myself. I do not believe that draws can be predicted with sufficient accuracy to beat the odds compilers in the long term, that is why the pools companies use them.

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