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** Congratulations to Imavillan who wins £250 in the Last Man Standing II Competition **

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Posted

2.10 I cant see Woolfall Treasure being the favourite especially on his price as he has ran some creditable races on the flat but has yet to go over hurdles in public, So i will have a crack at Persistant E/W, His 2nd in a Class 4 Event on good to soft looks good form and has 7lbs taken off by his claimer and could sneak a place, Crimson Mitre is another who could win this on his form 17 days ago in a Class 3 Novice race weighted the same but still looks strong, Ostinata cannot be ignored either as she is the only one to of won over the G&D and looks good value. Advice Persistant 1 Point E/W @ 40/1 Osinata 1 Point E/W @ 14/1 Crimson Mitre 1 Point E/W @ 7/1.

Posted

Re: Fontwell in running tips!!! Fontwell 3:10 I was going to suggest laying against Tempsford (5/2), but that's not my style, lol. So instead I've done what I always do and looked around for an outsider I fancy in this race, because it's a fairly open race in my eyes. The thing is...if Tayman (8/1) takes to the fences, it would be no surprise seeing him beat Tempsford (as he did over hurdles last year), but he's entered on a very high mark. Combine that with the fences debut and he's another who i will find difficult to back. Ryders Storm (33/1) has failed to finish in 6 of his last 9 starts. However, if he could repeat his effort from 16th July when 2 lengths behind the decent Annie Fleetwood, he will have a chance. But he is surely far too unreliable and still very high in the weights. So he's crossed off too. Dasher Reilly (14/1) would also have a chance if he could repeat his victory at Worcester two runs ago. But he is up 7lb and faces a very stiff task, so can't really fancy him either. Age has clearly caught up with Phildari (25/1) and he is impossible to back. Keltic Lord (8/1) is also 12 and despite a good run LTO, he hasn't won since July 2005. Just also seems difficult to back. That leaves us with Monzon (20/1) who has never won a race over hurdles or fences and that's from 30 attempts. Combine that with a 134 day absence and you have another unbackable prospect. Follow Your Heart (11/2) won LTO beating Keltic Lord by a length. What concerns me is he met Annie Fleetwood on better terms than Ryders Storm did, back in June and was beaten by 12 lengths more. So despite his win LTO, now back in handicap company, 3lb higher...I could honestly make more of a case for Ryders Storm I reckon. Duggan's Forge (33/1) has shown very little and is making his chase debut, so no thank you. Bay Mouse (22/1) was fortunate to win at Newton Abbott. It was a flash in the pan, as in all his others races he has been beaten by near enough 40 lengths everytime. His win came over 3m2f and that is the only time he has run that distance. So why they continue to enter him in 2m6f races is beyond me. No chance. Now, Masterpoint (25/1) has raced this distance twice recently. He has won once and was far from disgraced in the other. Okay, so he's up in the weights, but you have to give him a chance back at this distance. His jockey is also claiming 3lbs. The other with a chance at a great price is Cash On Friday (25/1) who is returning from a break, but he has run reasonably well when fresh before. He cruised to victory at Market Rasen in March, a race that also contained Neutrino (8/1). They meet with Neutrino 6lb better off, with both jockies claiming 5lb. That puts Cash On Friday back to a mark of 95, 1lb higher than when he won at Market Rasen in March. Although Neutrino may be 6lb better off, since when was that enough to overturn 33 lengths? Cash On Friday has also won over this distance before. So that's my advice. A couple of squids each way on both Masterpoint and Cash On Friday.

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