Draws System

[Guest martian]

Okay, i dont know if something similar has been tried before, but draws really piss me off, so i am gonna try and turn them to my advantage. Statistically about 27-28% of games are draws, but take out the teams at the top and the bottom of a league, and you can get good value. Here is how its gonna work : Take the percentageof the draws at home for the home team, and same for the away, multiply by the betfair price, and if either is over 100%, take the bet. If both are over, stake double points. Here are my monday picks from Prem and Div 1, will do more soon. Starting bank 100. Villa (120%) Chelsea (45%) 1 pt @3.6 Liverpool (53.3) Charlton (107%) 1 pt @4 Boro (83.4) Soton (111.7) 1 pt @ 3.35 Pompey (50%) Birmingham (140%) 1 pt @ 3.5 Wolves (113%) Bolton (63.75%) 1 pt @3.4 Burnley (111%) Watford (55%) 1 pt @ 3.5 Palace (131%) West Ham (160%) 2 pts @ 3.55 Millwall (129%) W Brom(92.1%) 1 pt @ 3.5 Reading (89%) Norwich (129%) 1 pt @ 3.55 Stoke (111%) Rotherham (105%) 2 pts @ 3.5 Total staked 12 pts. Lets see how this gets on. Please let me know any suggestions or flaws in the logic!

[Guest martian]

More draws A few more from div 2 mostly Barnsley (182) QPR (149) 2 pts @3.3 Peterborough (116) Portvale(66) 1 pt @ 3.3 Stockport (116) Oldham(182) 2 pts @ 3.3 Wycombe (99) Tranmere (149) 1 pt @ 3.3 Bristol (83) Plymouth (115) 1 pt @ 3.3 Leeds (105) Everton (112) 2 pts @ 3.35 Wigan (102) Cardiff (102) 2 pts @3.4