A South Betting System

[Guest InTheSouth]

Anton Sollution Gambling Method :unsure Hello to everyone who is out there spending some time reading this lines. (I hope he has an entertainment purpose and not a desperate one!) I would like to introduce myself as a south american gambler. Maybe you know us: as you may deduce for our international debts and our internal crisis, you can’t trust too much in our predictions, but you can be sure that the people in our country, not the politician, but the people from the neighborhood has learned how to keep their (little, too little) money save… I am trying to present a system very eclectic, that recovers many interesting gambling traditions and experiencies. The system will start today, and the principles of it are the following: (I hope you can descifrate my english, because I am thinking in Spanish, but writing in your language) 1)        Each Betting Day I am going to make three bets, in which I think I can have and advantage in my estimations against the Booker’s ones. (too much ilussion??!) 2)        In these bets, I will calculate the Bookie’s probabilities and I will add to them a 7 or 8 % according to my estimations. 3)        I am going to bet on each game applying the Kelly’s Criteria, using a Fund which is 11.11 % of my total account funds. TotAccFunds = 112.5 points KelCritFunds = 12.5 points. 4)        I think the negative point of the KelCrit are the first bets, because you can lose too much on them. In order to solve this I am gonna establish a table of final percentages: For Kelly’s C. for 0 to 5 % = 80 %; for 5-10 = 70 %; for +10 = 60%. This will be this way the three first betting days. It will increase progressively. This is what I call Anton Sollution :hat Let’s do it for the first time (it would hurt too much? – Maybe not!) Betting Day N 1 – 02/06/2004 Bet 01 – Argentina – Brazil = >2.5 goals (Goal Line) Odds 1.95 --- Profit Indicator = 1.053 --- Payout Share = 94.9% Bookie’s Prob = 48.66% My estimation = +7% = 57.66% Kelly’s Criteria = 13.1 % --- Anton Sollution (60%) Final Stage = 0.98 points Bet 02 – Ecuador – Colombia = Half Time – Final time = Draw         Odds 5.00 --- P. I. = 1.24 --- P. O. S. = 80.6%         Bookie’s Prob = 16.12 My estimation = +7% = 23.12% K. C. = 3.9 % --- Anton Sollution (80%)         Final Stage = 0.39 points The Next One is coming soon. Good Luck to everyone, except to LadBrokes. InTheSouth :gimme

[Guest ONEDUNME]

Good luck Welcome and good luck mate. Although you make Sallani Rossi sound like a BBC presener, I'm sure we'll try to understand your tips and all profit. Good luck:ok