Punchestown - 24/4/08

[WoodyTHFC]

2.30 Kalahari King 4/1 pp 4 places 7.5 pts e.w Murphy likes his festival winners and as long as exertions of sats race arent too much and that is a possible concern, then every chance at a new distance which imo encourages. First time over hurdles was tried at this trip and didnt quite get it but since then often just looked a touch one paced for 2m, with some strong efforts such as on sat, chelt, behind rippling ring but never really had a finishing kick which is possibly expected being a 1m 7f flat horse. 3.05 A New Story 8/1 spo 7.5 pts e.w A great spectacle this race and taking a chance to break up the Bolger monopoly with A New Story. The veteran possibly could do with a touch more cut but it has put up lots of consistent placed efforts, not always wins but a series of places in races like the cross country race at chelt when a fair way back at one point and the ign, stays all day long and if in contention towards the finish then every chance. 3.40 Perce Rock 7/2 pp 15 pts Race often throws up future stars and tough race to call I thought, even Maralan the complete outsider shouldnt be completely overlooked, however Perce Rock just gets the call. It was impressive first time up over fences, having been a good bumper horse and hurdler, lost its way with two falls (second it was beaten when fell over a trip too far) but put up two nice wins since, looks ideal trip today (for others it doesnt as some are crying out for further) and goes on variety of grounds. 4.15 Dev 13/2 var 7.5 pts e.w Impressed with this one at ain, came second but considering he set a blistering pace that saw many be unable to catch him or those with the pace fall away late, he did very well to be second and closing at the end, could need further possibly in time on that evidence but either way it was a good run, continuing upward curve after good win at san (goes right handed too), handicapper may not have dealt with thim yet. already advised a couple of days ago. 4.50 Aitmatov 12/1 var 7.5 pts e.w Mileni alerted me to this one having also got some of the nice double figure price. There is a chance it could go for fri. 2m race but it appears from support and 48 dec that it will go for the 3m race. If Blazing Bailey remains in the race that will be hard to beat and will have a bit on that on the day but Aitmatov looks to have good e.w claims at least. Early on in the season it was most impressive and progressive at various trips, then it lost its way in the aig and despite a decent second after that and a respectable sixth in WH it could not quite recover early season form and that could well be linked to the form of meade. Meade was going through a shocking time especially around aig time (closed down after this performance.) However now he is absolutely flying and having winners all over the place. 3m is a bit of an unknown and he didnt quite see it out fully at chelt. but at the same time 2m is probably a bit too sharp and of the two options this one is more preferable. Opposition not as strong apart from BB, Kazal would struggle if too quick, promisng novices such as Cooldine and Venalmar have to do it in better company and may struggle after such a tough season. Aitmatov even with a slight trip doubt has solid e.w claims imo and if it goes for race, price surely will drop? Blazing Bailey 4/1 7.5 pts e.w Frequently put this one up and put up a good performance lto when winning at aint. Blinkers worked well that day, so slight question mark if they can work second time, will this be one run too mnay and also as to what it will be like right handed as it rarely runs that way. However has a clear chance on solid form, mixed it with the nest, chelt. run behind kazal was a bit below its best imo and it lacked Thornton in the sadle more than I thought at the time, on drying ground form can be overturned with Kazal and many others have question marks stepping out of novice compant after a hard season and trip concerns.

[mileni4uk]

Re: Punchestown - 24/4/08

already advised a couple of days ago. 4.50 Aitmatov 12/1 var 7.5 pts e.w Mileni alerted me to this one having also got some of the nice double figure price. There is a chance it could go for fri. 2m race but it appears from support and 48 dec that it will go for the 3m race. If Blazing Bailey remains in the race that will be hard to beat and will have a bit on that on the day but Aitmatov looks to have good e.w claims at least. Early on in the season it was most impressive and progressive at various trips, then it lost its way in the aig and despite a decent second after that and a respectable sixth in WH it could not quite recover early season form and that could well be linked to the form of meade. Meade was going through a shocking time especially around aig time (closed down after this performance.) However now he is absolutely flying and having winners all over the place. 3m is a bit of an unknown and he didnt quite see it out fully at chelt. but at the same time 2m is probably a bit too sharp and of the two options this one is more preferable. Opposition not as strong apart from BB, Kazal would struggle if too quick, promisng novices such as Cooldine and Venalmar have to do it in better company and may struggle after such a tough season. Aitmatov even with a slight trip doubt has solid e.w claims imo and if it goes for race, price surely will drop?

6/1 SP and placed :cheers Good job I'd say :ok