Falbrav Posted March 7, 2008 Share Posted March 7, 2008 Off to Dunstall Park again then, and let's see if we can win a few quid on the shorter priced runners. Join in if you so wish, with a bit of trading... Afternoon. Workings for this evening's racing then, as follows....... 7.20 Wolverhampton. BRIDGE OF FERMOY (3.3) Our price 14/5 (3.8) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 3.5 or under. *Traders be aware that he has a few ways of running, so don't be surprised if racing prominent, or even leading* 7.50 Wolverhampton. ARTHUR'S DREAM (3.1) Our price 2/1 (3.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay. 8.50 Wolverhampton. WANNABE FREE (1.95) Our price 7/5 (2.4) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.1 or under. *Traders be aware that he has a tendency to race prominent, or at times lead in his races* The trio of races all priced up with non runners taken into account, up until 16:50pm. That's what we have to work on for this evening then. Just the three to work around, so that spells no play for strategists, and just a bit of trading on offer. I'll be chilling out this evening, so will not be playing, but good luck if you take part, and hope you get your prices and good results. Speak in the morning.. Marc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Falbrav Posted March 7, 2008 Author Share Posted March 7, 2008 Re: Bookmaking The Short Ones At Wolverhampton (7th) This Evening... The rules if you fancy taking part....Unfortunately no strategy play this evening though, with only the three to work around... The Strategy. You can use a 4 or 5 horse strategy, it's entirely up to the individual. I personally use a 5 horse strategy and I play as follows........... I will pluck a figure from the air to demonstrate as it does not really matter and you can scale up or down to suit your own finances. If you have a total bank of say £3000. Then I would suggest you divide that by 4 which would give you 4 separate banks of £750. So with 4 banks of 750, you put 3 banks aside and only use 1 bank of £750. Your target for the day would be 25% max! ( most got for 10-15% when starting bank building) and to go with the average we'll demonstrate to a 20% target of your bank and so you would have £750 to win £150. Your lays for the day are determined by our prices and when ever one actually hits as a lay price. So if we say it's a lay at 2.5 or under, then that's what you do. So £750 to win £150 and your liability for the first lay that comes along would be 20% of your £750 bank if playing a 5 runner strategy, or obviously 25% of your bank if playing a 4 runner strategy. For this example we'll go with a 5 runner strategy, but it's all the same, just on different scales. So £750 divided by 5 (as that's how runners you're potentially going to play) = £150 and so you have £150 to win £150. If the first value lay comes along, you then lay to win as much of the £150 as you can with the £150 liability. So if it's 2.5, you lay to win £100 or lose the £150. If te lay gets beat, you obviously win £100 and so only need £50 to hit now. Your total daily bank will now be £850 and you will now need only £50 to hit. You have 4 runners potentially to go and so you divide £850 by 4 which gives you £212.50 liability on the next value lay. So when that lay comes along, you have £212.50 to win £50 and if that lay price is say 2.0, you lay to win £50 or lose £50. If this lay happens to win, then you obviously lose £50 and so now your total bank is £800. So with now 3 lays left, you need £100 to hit your target and have £800. So with 3 potential runners left, you divide £800 by 3 and then that's your liability for the next lays race. And so it's obvious how this goes on until you hit, or can't go any further. If you're behind on the day then you ONLY ever play RECOUP your losses on the next lay, but ALWAYS keep to the format of play, by dividing liability by the number of potential lays left. If you break even on your 4th of 5 potential lays. Then CALL IT A DAY as it's far too risky to go to the last lay with no room for error if the worst happens. So that's the basics of the strategy. Trading out.................... Trading out is a big part of our strategy/target play as if we lay at 2.5 and then it drifts to our price or above (Our prices are quoted in the mail determine prices to play at) then we back back for a free lay. You will only win a tiny amount or break even, and this lay now becomes a trade and will NOT be part of the strategy. It becomes just a free bet and nothing to do with the strategy. If the free bet is successful then obviously you take the winnings, which won't be a lot and take them off of your target which your aiming for and then proceed with the strategy. So all it is is that you always take a guaranteed profit or free bet and play the strategy around it. That's how we play the strategy and any questions then please ask. Regards. Marc. P.s Traders obviously either see what lay prices are avaliable at the time the emails sent, then lay them and try to back back at our own prices during the day or in running,. or they trade in their own individual way to suit their own preferences. Independent players will just use the write ups and prices and do what they feels best. They usually let me know how they get on and so we get an indication of how their days went. Obviously you can pick the best way to play to suit yourself, but the prices are there and so entirely up to your good self. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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