WoodyTHFC Posted January 30, 2008 Share Posted January 30, 2008 One thing that can sometimes be profitable in this event is backing the correct scorelines even more confidently so than normal. This is because we already know who has the throw for each match so a player throwing first is more likely to win 8-5 than 8-6 with 1 break, 2 breaks would be 8-3 rather than 8-4. Now it does not always follow as a player can break the throw to win the game and therefore win 8-6 or whatever but I believe a strategy like this can be beneficial and will add it to my bets in the League and see how it goes if that is ok. I will have 2 pts per selection and normally based on the player I think will win each game so it is subjective. Think I will do 2 selections per night to start with so one of the three possible winning scorelines is not used. Again may look into seeing if using all three could be profitable. The draws will come into this and mean there will be some games where there will be a loss unless I really feel an draw could be on the cards. Remember player with the throw it is more likely to be (8-1,8-3,8-5) and against the throw (8-2,8-4,8-6.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted January 30, 2008 Author Share Posted January 30, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Week 1 Barneveld v Mardle 8-3 @ 11-2, 8-5 @ 6/1 Lewis v Jenkins 8-4 @ 10/1, 8-6 @ 6/1 Manley v Part 8-4 @ 7/1 8-6 @ 11/2 Taylor v Wade 8-4 @ 14/1 8-6 @ 7/1 So that is two points for every scoreline and 16 pts staked in total for week one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted January 31, 2008 Author Share Posted January 31, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 16 pts Returned 16 pts P/L 0 Yield 0% Wade was the only winner, 8-6 @ 7/1 which means all level for week 1. Of the other games there was a draw, a Barney win but 8-4 (away score) and Lewis who did win 8-5 (home score) but I was on Jenkins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 6, 2008 Author Share Posted February 6, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Week 2 John Part v Raymond van Barneveld 8-4 @ 7/1 8-6 @ 5/1 James Wade v Terry Jenkins 8-3 @ 8/1 8-5 @ 11/2 Phil Taylor v Adrian Lewis 8-3 @ 8/1 8-5 @ 11/2 Peter Manley v Wayne Mardle 8-4 @ 8/1 8-6 @ 6/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 7, 2008 Author Share Posted February 7, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 32 pts Returned 32 pts P/L 0 Yield 0% Level again with Barney winning 8-4 but Wade missing lots of doubles for 8-5 the frustrating part. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 13, 2008 Author Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Week 3 Terry Jenkins v Phil Taylor 8-4 @ 15/2 8-6 @ 5/1 Raymond van Barneveld v Peter Manley 8-3 @ 7/1 8-5 @ 11/2 Wayne Mardle v John Part 8-4 @ 6/1 8-6 @ 13/2 Adrian Lewis v James Wade 8-4 @ 6/1 8-6 @ 13/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 14, 2008 Author Share Posted February 14, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 48 pts Returned 47 pts P/L -1 Yield -0.02% Part 8-6 the only winner tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 20, 2008 Author Share Posted February 20, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Yield so far is -2% not -0.02. Wont see these games as will be at WHL. Tricky selections this week as although I see Taylor winning the other three look tough to call and there probably will be the seemingly inevitable draw. Mardle is my 'outsider' I fancy especially with the throw, his price on winning with 2 breaks (8-3) looks big @ 25/1. John Part v James Wade 8-4 @ 7/1 8-6 @ 6/1 Wayne Mardle v Adrian Lewis 8-3 @ 25/1 8-5 @ 10/1 Peter Manley v Phil Taylor 8-2 @ 8/1 8-4 @ 9/2 Terry Jenkins v Raymond van Barneveld 8-4 @ 13/2 8-6 @ 6/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 22, 2008 Author Share Posted February 22, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 All the results last night worked in the sense the away players won 8-4 (Wade), 8-6 (Lewis) and the home players 8-3 (Manley) and 8-5 (Jenkins.) However I got just the one , 8-4 Wade so: Staked 64 pts Returned 63 pts P/L -1 Yield -1.56% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 27, 2008 Author Share Posted February 27, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Adrian Lewis v Peter Manley 8-4 @ 12/1 8-6 @ 15/2 Phil Taylor v Wayne Mardle 8-3 @ 8/1 8-5 @ 6/1 James Wade v Raymond van Barneveld 8-3 @ 12/1 8-5 @ 13/2 John Part v Terry Jenkins 8-4 @ 9/1 8-6 @ 13/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted February 28, 2008 Author Share Posted February 28, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 80 pts Returned 63 pts P/L -17 Yield -21.25% First week I drew a blank. Just the last two matches went to the system but went for Wade not Barney and did not think Jenkins would be as emphatic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 29, 2008 Share Posted February 29, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 .... obviously a lot of thought gone into this Woody, I quite like your idea in principle, but at the end of the day it is still down to just how well each player is throwing the darts. If both are throwing equally well, then your plan has a good chance of coming together.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 5, 2008 Author Share Posted March 5, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Thanks we will see how it goes this week where I wont see it as will be at WHL. Week 6. Wayne Mardle v James Wade 8-4 @ 5/1 8-6 @ 11/2 Adrian Lewis v John Part 8-3 @ 9/1 8-5 @ 5/1 Terry Jenkins v Peter Manley 8-3 @ 8/1 8-5 @ 5/1 Raymond van Barneveld v Phil Taylor 8-4 @ 15/2 8-6 @ 11/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 6, 2008 Author Share Posted March 6, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 96 pts Returned 63 pts P/L -33 Yield -34.38% Nothing tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 12, 2008 Author Share Posted March 12, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Wayne Mardle v Terry Jenkins 8-4 @ 15/2 8-6 @ 5/1 James Wade v Peter Manley 8-3 @ 7/1 8-5 @ 11/2 Raymond van Barneveld v Adrian Lewis 8-3 @ 7/1 8-5 @ 5/1 Phil Taylor v John Part 8-3 @ 13/2 8-5 @ 5/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 13, 2008 Author Share Posted March 13, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 112 pts Returned 87 pts P/L -25 Yield -22.32% Up for the night with Wade and Taylor results working. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 19, 2008 Author Share Posted March 19, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Terry Jenkins v Adrian Lewis 8-3 @ 12/1 8-5 @ 13/2 Wayne Mardle v Raymond van Barneveld 8-4 @ 9/2 8-6 @ 5/1 John Part v Peter Manley 8-3 @ 10/1 8-5 @ 6/1 James Wade v Phil Taylor 8-4 @ 6/1 8-6 @ 5/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 20, 2008 Author Share Posted March 20, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 128 pts Returned 111 pts P/L -17 Yield -13.28% In profit for the week with Part and Taylor both winning with the correct scores. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 26, 2008 Author Share Posted March 26, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Raymond van Barneveld v John Part 8-3 @ 8/1 8-5 @ 5/1 Terry Jenkins v James Wade 8-4 @ 6/1 8-6 @ 5/1 Adrian Lewis v Phil Taylor 8-2 @ 7/1 8-4 @ 9/2 Wayne Mardle v Peter Manley 8-3 @ 14/1 8-5 @ 15/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 27, 2008 Author Share Posted March 27, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Note order change. Taylor v Jenkins 8-3 @ 13/2 8-5 @ 9/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted March 27, 2008 Author Share Posted March 27, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 I have realised I have made a slight error the last couple of weeks from week 7 and 8. In week 7, Wade won 8-5 @ 11/2 and Taylor 8-3 @ 13/2 which meant from the 16 pts staked that week, 28 pts returned not 24 pts as I indicated. Also the next week, Part won 8-5 @ 6/1 and Taylor 8-4 @ 6/1 which meant from the 16 pts staked that week, 28 pts returned not 24 pts. So that combined with tonights results, Wade 8-4 @ 6/1 and Mardle 8-5 @ 15/2 means that: Staked 144 pts Returned 150 pts P/L +6 Yield +4.17% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 2, 2008 Author Share Posted April 2, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Adrian Lewis v Phil Taylor 8-2 @ 7/1 8-4 @ 9/2 Peter Manley v Raymond van Barneveld 8-2 @ 17/2 8-4 @ 9/2 John Part v Wayne Mardle 8-3 @ 16/1 8-5 @ 11/2 James Wade v Adrian Lewis 8-3 @ 8/1 8-5 @ 5/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 3, 2008 Author Share Posted April 3, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 160 pts Returned 150 pts P/L -10 Yield -6.25%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 10, 2008 Author Share Posted April 10, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 James Wade v Wayne Mardle 8-3 @ 13/2 8-5 @ 9/2 John Part v Adrian Lewis 8-3 @ 14/1 8-5 @ 7/1 Peter Manley v Terry Jenkins 8-4 @ 7/1 8-6 @ 5/1 Phil Taylor v Raymond van Barneveld 8-3 @ 7/1 8-5 @ 5/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 11, 2008 Author Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 176 pts Returned 161 pts P/L -15 Yield -8.85%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 16, 2008 Author Share Posted April 16, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Terry Jenkins v Wayne Mardle 8-4 @ 12/1 8-6 @ 7/1 Peter Manley v James Wade 8-4 @ 9/2 8-6 @ 13/2 Adrian Lewis v Raymond van Barneveld 8-4 @ 7/1 8-6 @ 11/2 John Part v Phil Taylor 8-4 @ 9/2 8-6 @ 6/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 18, 2008 Author Share Posted April 18, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Staked 192 pts Returned 192 pts P/L 0 Yield 0%. Dead level after two wins last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 24, 2008 Author Share Posted April 24, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Peter Manley v Adrian Lewis 8-3 @ 14/1 8-5 @ 8/1 Wayne Mardle v Phil Taylor 8-2 @ 5/1 8-4 @ 9/2 Raymond van Barneveld v James Wade 8-4 @ 9/1 8-6 @ 11/2 Terry Jenkins v John Part 8-4 @ 9/1 8-6 @ 6/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyd Posted April 24, 2008 Share Posted April 24, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Only just seen this thread, good luck with it Woody! I've been having a few correct score bets during the darts but not tried to work out a system. Am i correct in thinking that the players on the left are the ones that throw first? Thanks in advance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted April 24, 2008 Author Share Posted April 24, 2008 Re: Premier League Darts System 2008 Only just seen this thread' date=' good luck with it Woody! I've been having a few correct score bets during the darts but not tried to work out a system. Am i correct in thinking that the players on the left are the ones that throw first? Thanks in advance.[/quote'] Yes the players on the left are the ones that throw first and that is the key really, in other tournaments we do not know who has the darts, so trying to predict the correct score becomes much more of a guessing game. At least here the chances of the home player (with the darts) winning 8-1, 8-3 and 8-5 and the away player (without the darts) 8-2, 8-4 and 8-6, I believe are increased. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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