PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 1 Northern Rodes 3 3rd [-2.00] 3.30 SP - S:+0.10 5 Hot Gold 4 3rd [-2.00] 15.50 SP - S: +5.20 5 Snare 1 1st [+3.90] 2.95 SP - P: +2.00 & S: +1.70 5 Twenty Cent Piece 7 4th [-2.00] 21.30 SP 9 Final Resolution 5 3rd [-2.00] 7.50 SP - S: +1.80 9 Munro Bank 10 1st [ +13.00] - P: +6.10 & S:+ 3.20 9 Timber Ferry 4 9th [-2.00] 4.80 SP 9 Portuguesemano'war 9 2nd [-2.00] 18.10 SP - P: +15.20 & S: +7.80 After the one selection for Race #1 finished beaten by 11.50 lengths into 3rd it looked like a bad idea to have multimple selections in the other two races. But, Race #5 found the winner and third and also fourth to just miss the exacta/trifecta but it was better than the first runner. The the wait for Race #9. Race #9 had 4 in-play, Final Resolution, Munro Bank, Timber Ferry, and Portuguesemano'war. Three of four filled the top three spot to form the Trifecta. Trifecta paid $951($2 stakes, $48 to BOX) and the Exacta paid $183 ($2 stakes, $24 to BOX). Jockey Ramon Dominguez had already ridden three winners but none was selected until his ride with Munro Bank who won by a good margin of 2.25 lengths at the price of 7.50. Today: 8 bets Win: 2 Place: 3 Show: 6 +4.90, +13.30, +15.80 Total: 55 bets Win: 12 Place: 26 Show: 32 -8.90, +43.60, +10.95 Last 10: Win: 2 Place: 5 Show: 8 +0.90, +17.30, +17.50

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 2 Alright Now 8 Jockey: 27% with Early Speed runners (60% in the money) the last 332 runs. 25% the last 60 days for trainer (88% in the money) - 8 runs 25% in Sprints (55% in the money) - last 819 runs. 2 Southern Prince 6 It wouldn't have been too much of a stretch to see SOUTHERN PRINCE in the Hollie Hughes later on this card, considering he gave 1-2 shot Stormin Normandy a real tussle in his first stat of the year; newly-claimed gelding must survive a duel with - By Dave Litfin 3 Theycallmetater 5 Early Speed running style helps chances - 50% of similar races have been won by this running style. Jockey: 20% strike rate with Early Speed running types the last 329 runs - 52% in the money. 21% for trainer the last 60 days, 50% in the money - 28 runs. Trainer: 20% strike rate with tunners on their first route run (58% in the money) the last 113 runs. 19% for Sprint-Sprint-Route (62% in the money) the last 69 runs. 23% for Sprint to Route (63% in the money) the last 131 runs. 5 Explosive Count 1A Has won or placed in five of last six starts at $10K or lower, the lone exception on a sealed muddy speed-biased track when bumped at the break and caught wide; hard to dislike a 21-time winner who still tries his best after 80 starts. - By Dave Litfin 6 She Belongs To Us 9 Sharp 4f workout (Feb09) - 0:48s. May improve with blinkers added today. Jockey has 2 wins (4 in the money) from the 9 runs the last 60 days for the trainer. 7 Bayou Timber 7 Sharp 4f workout (Feb09) - 0:48s. Highest Speed Figure at Today's Distance. High % Trainer. Won last race (C&D). Jocoey has 31% striek rate (62% in the money) in the last 60 days for trainer - 29 runs. Trainer: 23% Strike rate for 2007-2008. 25% for winner of last race (54% in the money) the last 326 runs. 21% for Allowance events (50% in the money) the last 632 runs. 19% for dirt runners (50% in the money) the last 1341 runs. 9 Max's Bid 2 Hot Jockey in last 7 days - 19 runs for 6-5-3 (WPS). High % Jockey. High % Trainer. Early Speed running style hels chances. Inside Posts are winning 18% from the last 182 runs at this trip since12.26.07 Jockey: 27% with Early Speed runners (60% in the money) the last 332 runs. 25% the last 60 days for trainer (88% in the money) - 8 runs 25% in Sprints (55% in the money) - last 819 runs. Trainer: 24% for 2007-2008 (57% in the money). 24% for Shippers (59% in the money) - last 573 runs. 37% of their 3rd run after layoff (63% in the money) - last 30 runs. 26% in Claiming races (61% in the money) - last 849 runs. 9 Hedge Fund 3 Hot Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days - 6 runs for 3-2-0 (WPS). Inside Posts are winning 18% from the last 182 runs at this trip since12.26.07 Jockey: 29% (64% in the money) the last 60 days for trainer - 14 runs. Trainer: 21% strike rate with new runners (46% in the money - last 115 runs. 9 Makeithapencaptain 7 Jockey has 50% strike rate (83% in the money) the last 60 days for trainer - 6 runs. Trainer has 23% strike rate in Sprints (43% in the money) - the last 30 runs.

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 2 Alright Now 8 6th [-2.00] 8.10 SP 2 Southern Prince 6 2nd [-2.00] 1.85 SP | +0.70 & +0.60 for P&S 3 Theycallmetater 5 4th [-2.00] - 6.60 SP 5 Explosive Count 1A 1st [+1.20] 1.60 SP | +0.40 & +0.10 for P&S 6 She Belongs To Us 9 7th [-2.00] 10.80 SP 7 Bayou Timber 7 6th [-2.00] 4.40 SP 9 Max's Bid 2 1st [+5.40] 3.70 SP |+2.10 & +1.30 for the P&S 9 Hedge Fund 3 7th [-2.00] 8.60 SP 9 Makeithapencaptain 7 8th [-2.00] 16.60 SP Today: 9 bets Win: 4 Place: 4 Show: 4 -7.40 -8.80 -10.00 Total: 64 bets Win: 14 Place: 30 Show: 36 -16.30 34.80 0.95 Last 10: Win: 2 Place: 4 Show: 4 -9.40 6.40 -2.20

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 3 Leo 2 Sharp 4f workout (Feb10) - 0:48s. Eligible to improve in 2nd start since layoff. Inside posts has 18% strike rate in the last 186 runs from this distance since 12.26.07. 4 Forte E Potenti 1 Inside posts has 18% strike rate in the last 186 runs from this distance since 12.26.07. 5 Bavarian Baron 5 High % and hot Jockey in last 7 days - 21 runs for 10-3-0 (WPS). Highest Speed Figure at Today's Distance (tie). 6 Cool N Collective 6 They don't come any more durable than COOL N COLLECTIVE, an 11-year-old who was reclaimed (again) at the first opportunity by Bruce Levine from his final start of 2007; must discourage early pace pressure from MCCALMONT and then hold off DRIZZLY. -By Dave Litfin - Also Dave Litfin's BEST BET: Cool N Collective (6th race) 6 Phil's Blue Way 8 Trainer has 50% in the money for the last 18 route runners - only 13% for the win. 8 True Intentions 1 High % and hot Jockey in last 7 days - 21 runs for 10-3-0 (WPS). Hot Trainer and Jockey combo in last 14 days - 15 runs for 6-1-1 (WPS). Heavily Bet in debut. 21% Trainer: 1st start with trainer. Won her debut race (Del Mar in May '07). 8 Armonk 4 Sharp 4f workout (Feb10) - 0:47.30s. Best Dirt Speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed. High % Trainer. Early Speed running style helps chances. Won last race (C&D). Inside posts has 18% strike rate in the last 186 runs from this distance since 12.26.07. 9 Chauffeur Force 5 Had some early trouble in debut; lightly raced from good barn, may improve quickly. -By Dave Litfin

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 3 Leo 2 5th [-2.00] 2.90 SP 4 Forte E Potenti 1 4th [-2.00] 5.80 SP 5 Bavarian Baron 5 4th [-2.00] 3.50 SP 6 Cool N Collective 6 2nd [-2.00] 1.90 SP 6 Phil's Blue Way 8 1st [+21.00] 11.50 SP 8 True Intentions 1 3rd [+4.60] 3.30 SP * 8 Armonk 4 2nd[-2.00] 5.40 SP 9 Chauffeur Force 5 4th [-2.00] 4.80 SP Two selections for Race 6 finished 1 & 2 to complete the exacta ($50.50 to $2 bet) - they were clear by 5 lengths from third place. * Race 8 also had two selections and they finished 2nd and 3rd but with the 3rd horse being coupled with the winner another exacta was collected - $29.60 to $2 bet. Only two winners today but Phil's Blue Way returned with the price of 10.50 to 1 giving most of profits today - defeated the 9 to 10 favorite by 1.50 lengths. Today 8 bets Win: 2 Place: 4 Show: 4 13.60 2.30 -3.20 Total 72 bets Win: 16 Place: 34 Show: 40 -2.70 37.10 -2.25 Last 10 Win: 2 Place: 4 Show: 4 9.60 -1.70 -7.20

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 1 Majestic Melody 5 Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race. Only one win from 18 career runs but jockey has a 29% strike rate for the trainer the last 60 days - 14 runs. 2 Ivory Star 6 Won last race at C&D (Jan17) and still eligible to improve in 2nd start since layoff. Jockey has 3 wins (6 in the money) from last 10 for the trainer. 3 R Clear Victory 2 Hot Trainer and Jockey combo in last 14 days - 10 runs for 2-2-1 (WPS). High % Trainer. Ran 2nd in similar race last time. Early Speed running style helps chances. 5 Ojibway 5 Had no apparent excuse in dull performance last out, but was claimed by meet's leading percentage barn; handles off going. -By Dave Litfin 5 Red Crusader 8 Trainer has a 25% stirke rate this year - 15/60. 19% from 54 sprinters since 11.28.07 (52% in the money). 6 Betty Barnes 11 Was off last and raced greenly in debut; blinkers may help. -By Dave Litfin 7 Lee Stewart 7 High % Trainer. Won last race at C&D (Jan19). 8 Laysh Laysh Laysh 4 Best Dirt Speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed. Won last race at C&D (Jan26). 8 Eccredit 5 Sharp 4f workout (Feb10) - 0:48s. High % Trainer. Ran 3rd in last race. 8 Red Reef 2 May improve with blinkers added today and while returning to a sprint. Inside posts in 6f here have an 18% strike rate since 12.26.07 - 190 races. 9 Good Law 2 Ran this group's best figure first time over the track, takes a drop in class and has the top wet-track rating. -By Dave Litfin

[galileorock]

[PL_Crewman]

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 1 Double Or Nothing 3 found 1 1/16 miles out of range last out, but several sprints prior to that were faster than Thursday's starter allowance rivals have run; one more chance. -By Dave Litfin 1 Your Choice 2B Only 15% strike rate for trainer and jockey combo the last 60 days - 14 runs - but 43% was in the money. 4 Rhino Tuff 7 Traine and Jockey combo the past 14 days have 4 wins, 2 seconds, and 2 thirds from 15 runs. Jockey in last 7 days ahve 27 rusn for 11-5-1 (WPS). 4 Study Abroad 5 30% first-out trainer, with a couple of recent gate works at five furlongs over the inner track. -By Dave Litfin 5 Come On Chas 1 Jockye has 3 wins and 4 thirds from last 12 runs. Trainer has 33% strike rate with first time blinker - 6 runs. Trainer and jockey combo has 24% strike rate the past 60 days - 38 runs. 7 My Fair El 2 has been very consistent on "conventional" dirt, Beyering between 72-78 in all Lasix starts - a level that puts her right with the top pick; second best all three tries this level on fast tracks. -By Dave Litfin 7 Fashion Queen 9 31% trainer this year - 66% in the money. 8 Jet Setting 7 ran well for second in both return starts, the first on a speed-biased track vs. Dance Gal Dance, who is 3 for 3 after winning an overnight stake Feb. 6, and the next vs. I Promise, who was nosed in the Schuylerville last summer at Saratoga. -By Dave Litfin 31% trainer this year - 66% in the money. 9 Premier Sarkis 2 Only 15% strike rate for trainer and jockey combo the last 60 days - 14 runs - but 43% was in the money.

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 1 Double Or Nothing 3 1st [+1.10] 1.55 SP - won by 7.25 lengths 1 Your Choice 2B 7th [-2.00] 23.50 SP 4 Rhino Tuff 7 7th [-2.00] 3.95 SP 4 Study Abroad 5 5th [-2.00] 7.40 SP 5 Come On Chas 1 6th [-2.00] 8.40 SP 7 My Fair El 2 3rd [-2.00] 2.25 SP 7 Fashion Queen 9 2nd [-2.00] 4.95 SP 8 Jet Setting 7 1st [+2.00] 2.00 SP 9 Premier Sarkis 2 5th [-2.00] Today 9 bets Win: 2 Place: 3 Show: 4 -10.90 -7.40 -8.00 Total 92 bets Win: 20 Place: 43 Show: 50 -27.60 29.40 -15.95 Last 10 Win: 3 Place: 4 Show: 5 -8.60 -6.40 -7.50 No racing until Saturday.

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Venue Race# Selection # 2 Destry 5 Debut. Sharp 4f workout (Feb15) - 0:37s (breezing). Dam has 3 winners from 4 starters. 4 Puttinonthebling 6 High % Trainer - 10 wins from 31 wins year at this course - 10-9-2 (WPS). 6 Tahoe Warrior 5 Won at C&D last time out - Feb 6th. 6f form has is 3-2-1 since last August. Jockey has 21% strike rate (47% in the money) on all sprints since 11.28.07 - 107 runs. 8 Aliysa 3 Won last time by 1.50 lengths - backed to 0.45 to 1 in 65K event. Today is a 75K event - she finished 2nd by a neck on her last 75K run. Jockey has 10 wins and 5 seconds from last 29. Trainer has 3 wins from last 4.

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Venue Race# Selection # 2 Destry 5 8th [-2.00] 9.20 SP 4 Puttinonthebling 6 6th [-2.00] 3.45 SP 6 Tahoe Warrior 5 9th [-2.00] 13.50 SP 8 Aliysa 3 5th [-2.00] 4.55 SP Today 4 bets Win: 0 Place: 0 Show: 0 -8.00 -8.00 -8.00 Total 96 bets Win: 20 Place: 43 Show: 50 -35.60 21.40 -23.95 Last 10 Win: 1 Place: 2 Show: 3 -16.00 -11.90 -12.10

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Venue Race# Selection # 1 Speedball Howie 4 Trainer and jockey combo from the past 60 days have 3 wins (5 in the money) from 8 runs. Trainer has 7 wins from the last 30 sprinters here - total of 13 finished in the money. 1 Wild Geese 8 Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today's starters (tie). Trainer and jockey combo from the past 60 days have 7 wins (17 in the money) from 30 runs. Jockey has 6 wins, 5 seconds, and 4 third from 22 runs the past 7 days. 2 Citizen Jaks 5 Well bet in debut. Trainer has a 26% strike rate with runners on their 2nd career race the past 3 years - 205 runs. Trainer and jockey combo from the past 60 days have 9 wins (18 in the money) from 32 runs. 3 No Halo On Me 7 looked the best in his first start off the claim, after being outfinished by FIRST COMMANDMENT two weeks earlier; the latter worked sharply last week, and is entitled to keep improving in second start at the distance. -By Dave Litfin 5 Final Story 1 28% strike rate for the trainer with route runners here since 11.28.07 - 36 runs | 17% with sprinters. 23% strike for the trainer here this year - 65 runs (48% in the money). 8 Little Belle 4 Highest Speed Figure at Today's Distance. Trainer and jockey combo from the past 60 days have 3 wins (6 in the money) from 9 runs. Won last time - 49K Maiden Special Weight at this course (1m70y). 8 Love Co 1A 20% strike rate from the trainer with those who won their last race the - 524 runs the past 3 years. 27% strike rate for jockey with runners having an "Early" running style - the last 342 runs. Love Co won by 12.75 lengths last time - 65K stakes race at this course (1m70y).

[PL_Crewman]

Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Venue Race# Selection # 1 Speedball Howie 4 4th [-2.00] 6.50 SP 1 Wild Geese 8 1st [ +3.20] 2.60 SP 2 Citizen Jaks 5 6th [-2.00] 8.10 SP 3 No Halo On Me 7 4th [-2.00] 5.40 SP 5 Final Story 1 Scratched 8 Little Belle 4 1st [+7.30] 4.65 SP 8 Love Co 1A 4th [-2.00] 1.55 SP Today 6 bets Win: 2 Place: 2 Show: 2 2.50 -2.70 -3.40 Total 102 bets Win: 22 Place: 45 Show: 52 -33.10 18.70 -27.35 Last 10 Win: 2 Place:2 Show: 2 -5.50 -10.70 -11.40