Bowles Premier League system

bowles10 · January 16, 2008

Going to run this through to the end of the season to see what happens. There are 2 tables one for home team & one for away teams. The idea is that you follow the teams last result in a sequence to predict their next result. The stake is 1 pt per bet however where the outcome is the same in each table, the bet becomes a 10pt bet. Here are Saturday tables with odds from Betfair. There are 3 10pt bets.

HOME

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 1

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Chelsea

2

X

3.65

1

Blackburn

1

Middlesboro

2

1

1.8

1

Fulham

2

Arsenal

2

1.53

10

Liverpool

X

A Villa

2

X

3.9

1

Newcastle

2

Bolton

1

2

4.4

1

Portsmouth

2

Derby

1

2

9.6

1

Reading

2

Man U

1

2

1.42

1

Wigan

2

Everton

2

2.42

10

Man City

X

West ham

1

X

3.35

1

Spurs

1

Sunderland

1

1.46

10

AWAY

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 2

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Chelsea

2

1.73

1

Blackburn

1

Middlesboro

2

6

1

Fulham

2

Arsenal

2

1.53

10

Liverpool

X

A Villa

2

6.6

1

Newcastle

2

Bolton

1

2.08

1

Portsmouth

2

Derby

1

1.48

1

Reading

2

Man U

1

10

1

Wigan

2

Everton

2

2.42

10

Man City

X

West ham

1

2.12

1

Spurs

1

Sunderland

1

1.46

10

aliando · January 16, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system good luck mate!

bowles10 · January 20, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system update with 1 result to come, well pleased with the start with all 3 10pt bets winning, Everton, Spurs & Arsenal. :ok will update tables tomorrow after Liverpool game.

munki · January 20, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system Good start Bowles :clap

bowles10 · January 21, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system Results from week 1. (will put these into a smaller table next time)

HOME

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 1

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Chelsea

2

X

3.65

1

0

-1

Blackburn

1

Middlesboro

2

1

1.8

1

0

-1

Fulham

2

Arsenal

2

1.53

1

1.53

0.53

10

5.3

Liverpool

X

A Villa

2

X

3.9

1

3.9

2.9

Newcastle

2

Bolton

1

2

4.4

1

0

-1

Portsmouth

2

Derby

1

2

9.6

1

0

-1

Reading

2

Man U

1

2

1.42

1

1.42

0.42

Wigan

2

Everton

2

2.42

1

2.42

1.42

10

14.2

Man City

X

West ham

1

X

3.35

1

3.35

2.35

Spurs

1

Sunderland

1

1.46

1

1.46

0.46

10

4.6

10

14.08

4.08

30

24.1

AWAY

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 2

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Chelsea

2

1.73

1

1.73

0.73

Blackburn

1

Middlesboro

2

6

1

0

-1

Fulham

2

Arsenal

2

1.53

1

1.53

0.53

10

5.3

Liverpool

X

A Villa

2

6.6

1

0

-1

Newcastle

2

Bolton

1

2.08

1

0

-1

Portsmouth

2

Derby

1

1.48

1

1.48

0.48

Reading

2

Man U

1

10

1

0

-1

Wigan

2

Everton

2

2.42

1

2.42

1.42

10

14.2

Man City

X

West ham

1

2.12

1

0

-1

Spurs

1

Sunderland

1

1.46

1

1.46

0.46

10

4.6

10

8.62

-1.38

30

24.1

Bet

Bets to date

stake

wins

p/l

sr %

yield %

Home

10

6

4.08

60.00

40.80

Away

10

5

-1.38

50.00

-13.80

10pt bets

3

30

3

24.1

100.00

80.33

bowles10 · January 26, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system 1 prem league game today Home system bet is A Villa to win @ 1.90 Away system bet is Blackburn to win @ 4.33 There is no recommended 10pt bet

bowles10 · January 30, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system 2 out of 3 on the 10pt bets with Eveton failing to beat Spurs tonight. Good price on the West Ham game also. Will update tables later.

bowles10 · January 31, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system will get a table up later when i get the time, however Weekend games are: Man City X Arsenal 2 Birmingham 2 Derby 1 Blackburn X Everton 2 Portsmouth 1 Chelsea 2 Reading 2 Bolton X Spurs 1 Man Utd 2 Wigan 2 West Ham X Liverpool X Sunderland 1 Newcastle X Middlesboro X Fulham 2 A Villa X only 1 recommended 10pt bet this weekend is the Newcastle game.

johnfash · February 1, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system This system is interesting mate, good luck.

SecondSight · February 2, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system Hi Bowles10 I agree betting with a Bookie at 3.35 is value for Tyne/Tees Derby. The game has higher than average chance of a draw because:

It is a derby and more pride is at stake (long term draw average for derbys is 30%)
Both teams are not scoring many goals of late
The weather and pitches this time of the year is leading to higher than average unders. under games have more chance of being a draw.

bowles10 · February 3, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system

only 1 recommended 10pt bet this weekend is the Newcastle game.

:cow

Hi Bowles10 I agree betting with a Bookie at 3.35 is value for Tyne/Tees Derby. The game has higher than average chance of a draw because:
It is a derby and more pride is at stake (long term draw average for derbys is 30%)
Both teams are not scoring many goals of late
The weather and pitches this time of the year is leading to higher than average unders. under games have more chance of being a draw.

Cheers SS, & yes it came in. :ok

WHUPUNTER · February 4, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system What strikes me about this bet is that you have had 7 10pt bets and 6 have won, I will watch this system closely as I believe it is a money maker with those results.

tommy_de1st · February 5, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system Quite interesting G/L with your system i`m gonna watch the progress

bowles10 · February 22, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system Back after a week off for the FA cup, 2 recommended bets this week in bold

HOME

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 1

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Arsenal

2

X

4.1

1

Fulham

1

West ham

1

2.8

1

10

Liverpool

1

Middlesboro

X

1

1.43

1

Newcastle

X

Man Utd

X

4.4

1

10

Portsmouth

X

Sunderland

1

X

3.85

1

Reading

2

A Villa

1

2

2.38

1

Wigan

1

Derby

X

1

1.65

1

AWAY

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 2

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Arsenal

2

1.58

1

Fulham

1

West ham

1

2.8

1

Liverpool

1

Middlesboro

X

4.8

1

Newcastle

X

Man Utd

X

4.4

1

Portsmouth

X

Sunderland

1

1.67

1

Reading

2

A Villa

1

3.35

1

Wigan

1

Derby

X

4.0

1

bowles10 · February 22, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system sorry, other teams are in bold also! For clarity, its Fulham 1 & Newcastle X.

bowles10 · March 1, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system Last weeks results, both recommended bets failed

Bet	Bets to date	Stake	Wins	P/L	SR %	Yield %
Home	47	47	20	+1.50	42.55	+3.19
Away	47	47	15	-20.78	31.91	-44.21
10pt bets	13	130	7	+5.06	53.84	+3.89

The home results made a profit & the aways a loss

HOME

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 1

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Arsenal

2

X

4.1

1

4.1

3.1

Fulham

1

West ham

1

2.8

1

0

-1

10

Liverpool

1

Middlesboro

X

1

1.43

1

1.43

0.43

Newcastle

X

Man Utd

X

4.4

1

0

-1

10

Portsmouth

X

Sunderland

1

X

3.85

1

0

-1

Reading

2

A Villa

1

2

2.38

1

2.38

1.38

Wigan

1

Derby

X

1

1.65

1

1.65

0.65

AWAY

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 2

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Birmingham

X

Arsenal

2

1.58

1

0

-1

Fulham

1

West ham

1

2.8

1

0

-1

Liverpool

1

Middlesboro

X

4.8

1

0

-1

Newcastle

X

Man Utd

X

4.4

1

0

-1

Portsmouth

X

Sunderland

1

1.67

1

1.67

0.67

Reading

2

A Villa

1

3.35

1

0

-1

Wigan

1

Derby

X

4.0

1

Todays selections to follow ...

bowles10 · March 8, 2008

Re: Bowles Premier League system Villa would have improved the "away" section of the results last week had they held on, however the "away" bets with 16 from 57 is showing a heavy loss now so maybe interesting as a lay stake rather than back. The "Home" results are holding firm profit wise but only 24 from 57 correct results. Todays recomended bets in Bold.

Bet	Bets to date	Stake	Wins	P/L	SR %	Yield %
Home	57	57	24	-0.48
Away	57	57	16	-29.41
10pt bets	16	160	8	-11.24

HOME

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 1

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Blackburn

1

Fulham

1

1.58

1

10

Liverpool

1

Newcastle

1

1.40

1

10

Reading

2

ManCity

2

3.30

1

10

Sunderland

1

Everton

2

1

3.55

1

Spurs

X

West Ham

1

X

3.6

1

Wigan

1

Arsenal

X

1

7

1

AWAY

Home team

Last Home

Away team

Last Away

Bet 2

Odds

Stake

Return

P/L

Stake

P/L Recommended bets

Blackburn

1

Fulham

1

1.58

1

Liverpool

1

Newcastle

1

1.40

1

Reading

2

ManCity

2

3.30

1

Sunderland

1

Everton

2

2.30

1

Spurs

X

West Ham

1

1.97

1

Wigan

1

Arsenal

X

4.2

1

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