Bull_B Posted December 20, 2007 Author Share Posted December 20, 2007 Re: Lay half time score Tonight's betfair in-play selection: IDDATECETCOUNTRYCOMPHOMEAWAY9320-dec-200720:45ItalyCoppa ItaliaAC MilanCatania9420-dec-200720:45InternationalUEFA CupAEKVillarreal9520-dec-200720:45InternationalUEFA CupAZ AlkmaarEverton9620-dec-200720:45InternationalUEFA CupAberdeenFC Kobenhaven9720-dec-200720:45InternationalUEFA CupAtl MadridPanathinaikos9820-dec-200720:45InternationalUEFA CupHamburgBasel9920-dec-200720:45InternationalUEFA CupRennesDinamo Zagreb10020-dec-200722:15PortugalSuperligaBenficaAmadora HT scores and quotes will be updated :dude Cheers, Matt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted December 20, 2007 Share Posted December 20, 2007 Re: Lay half time score If also looked at different staking strategies. Current staking stategy (if any:$) is to both lay and back €10, resulting in high liabilities for the lay bets. If you change this to a liability of €10 for each bet (i.e. backing €10 and laying €10/(odds-1)) or to 10% of you current bank, this will have a tremendous influence on the yield (% and absolute). Nice to fiddle around with the data and look for the best strategy.:D I found that if the strike rate is high enough then laying for fixed profits is better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 20, 2007 Author Share Posted December 20, 2007 Re: Lay half time score I found that if the strike rate is high enough then laying for fixed profits is better. OK, Thanks!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 20, 2007 Author Share Posted December 20, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT scores and quotes. ID DATE CET COUNTRY COMP HOME AWAY HHT AHT B/L HTQUOTE 93 20/Dec/2007 20:45 Italy Coppa Italia AC Milan Catania 0 2 L 5.10 94 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup AEK Villarreal 0 1 L 4.30 95 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup AZ Alkmaar Everton 1 2 L 5.10 96 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Aberdeen FC Kobenhaven 0 0 B 3.90 97 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Atl Madrid Panathinaikos 0 1 L 5.80 98 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Hamburg Basel 0 0 B 5.10 99 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Rennes Dinamo Zagreb 0 0 B 4.20 Time stamp on post is proof of HT posting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 20, 2007 Author Share Posted December 20, 2007 Re: Lay half time score Benfica - Amadora 0-0 BF Back quote 4.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 21, 2007 Author Share Posted December 21, 2007 Re: Lay half time score (+7%) Here are yesterday results. Unfortunately the 0-0 matches didn't work out:@ ID DATE CET COUNTRY COMP HOME AWAY HHT AHT B/L HTQUOTE HFT AFT PAYOUT STAKE 93 20/Dec/2007 20:45 Italy Coppa Italia AC Milan Catania 0 2 L 5.10 1 2 1 €10.00 94 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup AEK Villarreal 0 1 L 4.30 1 2 1 €10.00 95 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup AZ Alkmaar Everton 1 2 L 5.10 2 3 1 €10.00 96 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Aberdeen FC Kobenhaven 0 0 B 3.90 4 0 0 €10.00 97 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Atl Madrid Panathinaikos 0 1 L 5.80 2 1 1 €10.00 98 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Hamburg Basel 0 0 B 5.10 1 1 0 €10.00 99 20/Dec/2007 20:45 International UEFA Cup Rennes Dinamo Zagreb 0 0 B 4.20 1 1 0 €10.00 100 20/Dec/2007 22:15 Portugal Superliga Benfica Amadora 0 0 B 4.10 3 0 0 €10.00 NO 0-0 SELECTION BACK 0-0 @ HT NEW Bets Placed 68 21 Bets Returned 58 16 Units Staked €2,679.50 €611.00 Units Returned €2,867.50 €760.50 Profit €188.00 €149.50 Yield (%) 7.016 24.468 Strike Rate (%) 85.294 76.190 Average Odds 4.94 4.67 Average Stake €39.40 €29.10 Tonights matches: ID DATE CET COUNTRY COMP HOME AWAY 101 21/Dec/2007 19:00 Turkey Süper Lig Manisaspor Besiktas 102 21/Dec/2007 20:30 Netherlands Eredivisie Willem II De Graafschap 103 21/Dec/2007 21:30 Portugal Superliga Nacional Porto Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted December 21, 2007 Share Posted December 21, 2007 Re: Lay half time score (+7%) NO 0-0 SELECTIONBets Placed 68Bets Returned58Units Staked€2,679.50Units Returned€2,867.50Profit€188.00Yield (%)7.016Strike Rate (%)85.294Average Odds4.94Average Stake€39.40 That's looking pretty good mate. :clap Keep it up. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 21, 2007 Author Share Posted December 21, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT Score MANISASPOR - BESIKTAS 1-1 BF Lay Quote: 4.0 -------------------------------------------------- See time stamp on post for proof of HT posting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 21, 2007 Author Share Posted December 21, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT Score WILLEM II - DE GRAAFSCHAP 1-2 BF Lay Quote: 5.2 -------------------------------------------------- See time stamp on post for proof of HT posting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 21, 2007 Author Share Posted December 21, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT Score NACIONAL - FC PORTO 0-0 BF Lay BACK Quote: 4.4 -------------------------------------------------- See time stamp on post for proof of HT posting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score Yesterday's results and today's order of play: ID DATE CET COUNTRY COMP HOME AWAY HHT AHT B/L HTQUOTE HFT AFT PAYOUT STAKE LIABILITY RETURN 101 21/Dec/2007 19:00 Turkey Süper Lig Manisaspor Besiktas 1 1 L 4.10 1 2 1 €10.00 €31.00 €9.50 102 21/Dec/2007 20:30 Netherlands Eredivisie Willem II De Graafschap 1 2 L 5.20 1 2 0 €10.00 €42.00 -€42.00 103 21/Dec/2007 21:30 Portugal Superliga Nacional Porto 0 0 B 4.40 1 0 0 €10.00 €10.00 -€10.00 ID DATE CET COUNTRY COMP HOME AWAY HHT AHT B/L HTQUOTE HFT AFT PAYOUT STAKE LIABILITY RETURN 104 22/Dec/2007 13:45 England Premier League Arsenal Tottenham 105 22/Dec/2007 15:45 Greece Super League PAOK Levadiakos 106 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Aston Villa Man City 107 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Bolton Birmingham 108 22/Dec/2007 16:00 Scotland Premier League Celtic Hibenian 109 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Fullham Wigan 110 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Liverpool Portsmouth 111 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Middlesbrough West Ham 112 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Reading Sunderland 113 22/Dec/2007 17:10 France Ligue 1 Nancy Lyon 114 22/Dec/2007 18:00 Turkey Süper Lig Fenerbahce Trabzonspor 115 22/Dec/2007 18:00 Italy Serie A Genoa Parma 116 22/Dec/2007 18:00 Greece Super League Xanthi Apollon Kalamarias 117 22/Dec/2007 18:15 England Championship Burton Albion Tamworth 118 22/Dec/2007 18:20 England Championship Wolves Leicester 119 22/Dec/2007 19:15 Portugal Superliga Guimaraes Belenenses 120 22/Dec/2007 19:30 Netherlands Eredivisie PSV Utrecht 121 22/Dec/2007 20:00 Spain Primera Devision Almeria Getafe 122 22/Dec/2007 20:00 Spain Primera Devision Zaragoza Valencia 123 22/Dec/2007 20:30 Italy Serie A Roma Sampdoria 124 22/Dec/2007 21:30 Portugal Superliga Sp Lisbon Pacos Ferreira 125 22/Dec/2007 22:00 Spain Primera Devision Sevilla Santander Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted December 22, 2007 Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score Yesterday's results and today's order of play: IDDATECETCOUNTRYCOMPHOMEAWAYHHTAHTB/LHTQUOTEHFTAFTPAYOUTSTAKELIABILITYRETURN10121/Dec/200719:00TurkeySüper LigManisasporBesiktas11L4.10121€10.00€31.00€9.5010221/Dec/200720:30NetherlandsEredivisieWillem IIDe Graafschap12L5.20120€10.00€42.00-€42.0010321/Dec/200721:30PortugalSuperligaNacionalPorto00B4.40100€10.00€10.00-€10.00 This was a winner, no? :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score This was a winner' date=' no? :unsure[/quote'] I noticed my Lay-Back mistake.... Sorry, mate. In the original system I skip the 0-0 @HT matches so it has no influence on the yield of that system. I start backing the 0-0 @HT matches since last week. In that combined system (lay HT score combined with back 0-0 @HT) the nacional-porto match (goal in 57') is a losing bet:@. I'm currently using the betfair historical data (using HT matched quotes) to test the sysytem from the start of this football season. Hopefully it will hold:hope Cheers, Matt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT score ARSENAL - TOTTENHAM 0-0 BF Back Quote: 5.2 -------------------------------------------------- See time stamp on post for proof of HT posting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted December 22, 2007 Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score I noticed my Lay-Back mistake.... Sorry, mate. In the original system I skip the 0-0 @HT matches so it has no influence on the yield of that system. I start backing the 0-0 @HT matches since last week. In that combined system (lay HT score combined with back 0-0 @HT) the nacional-porto match (goal in 57') is a losing bet:@. I'm currently using the betfair historical data (using HT matched quotes) to test the sysytem from the start of this football season. Hopefully it will hold:hope Cheers, Matt Ah yes, my mistake. :$ Best of luck today. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT score PAOK - LEVADIAKOS 0-0 BF Back Quote: 4.5 -------------------------------------------------- See time stamp on post for proof of HT posting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 106 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Aston Villa Man City 1 1 L 4.60 107 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Bolton Birmingham 0 0 B 4.30 108 22/Dec/2007 16:00 Scotland Premier League Celtic Hibenian 0 1 L 8.40 109 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Fullham Wigan 0 0 B 4.30 110 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Liverpool Portsmouth 2 0 L 3.95 111 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Middlesbrough West Ham 1 1 L 4.40 112 22/Dec/2007 16:00 England Premier League Reading Sunderland 0 0 B 5.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT Nancy - Lyon 0-0 BF Back Quote 3.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score HT scores 114 22/Dec/2007 18:00 Turkey Süper Lig Fenerbahce Trabzonspor 3 2 L 6.20 115 22/Dec/2007 18:00 Italy Serie A Genoa Parma 1 0 L 3.75 116 22/Dec/2007 18:00 Greece Super League Xanthi Apollon Kalamarias 3 0 L 3.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score Can't find live scoring of the Burton - Tamworth match. Cancelled from the selection. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 118 22/Dec/2007 18:20 England Championship Wolves Leicester 0 1 L 4.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 119 22/Dec/2007 19:15 Portugal Superliga Guimaraes Belenenses 1 0 L 3.85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 120 22/Dec/2007 19:30 Netherlands Eredivisie PSV Utrecht 1 0 L 7.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 121 22/Dec/2007 20:00 Spain Primera Division Almeria Getafe 0 1 L 3.95 122 22/Dec/2007 20:00 Spain Primera Division Zaragoza Valencia 2 0 L 4.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 123 22/Dec/2007 20:30 Italy Serie A Roma Sampdoria 1 0 L 5.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 124 22/Dec/2007 21:30 Portugal Superliga Sp Lisbon Pacos Ferreira 1 1 L 5.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 125 22/Dec/2007 22:00 Spain Primera Division Sevilla Santander 1 0 L 4.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 23, 2007 Author Share Posted December 23, 2007 Re: Lay half time score Yesterdays results. It wasn't a good night:$, but were in it for the long run:hope. 10422/Dec/200713:45EnglandPremier LeagueArsenalTottenham00B5.20210€10.00€10.00-€10.0010522/Dec/200715:45GreeceSuper LeaguePAOKLevadiakos00B4.50100€10.00€10.00-€10.0010622/Dec/200716:00EnglandPremier LeagueAston VillaMan City11L4.60110€10.00€36.00-€36.0010722/Dec/200716:00EnglandPremier LeagueBoltonBirmingham00B4.30300€10.00€10.00-€10.0010822/Dec/200716:00ScotlandPremier LeagueCelticHibenian01L8.40111€10.00€74.00€9.5010922/Dec/200716:00EnglandPremier LeagueFullhamWigan00B4.30110€10.00€10.00-€10.0011022/Dec/200716:00EnglandPremier LeagueLiverpoolPortsmouth20L3.95411€10.00€29.50€9.5011122/Dec/200716:00EnglandPremier LeagueMiddlesbroughWest Ham11L4.40121€10.00€34.00€9.5011222/Dec/200716:00EnglandPremier LeagueReadingSunderland00B5.00210€10.00€10.00-€10.0011322/Dec/200717:10FranceLigue 1NancyLyon00B3.25110€10.00€10.00-€10.0011422/Dec/200718:00TurkeySüper LigFenerbahceTrabzonspor32L6.20320€10.00€52.00-€52.0011522/Dec/200718:00ItalySerie AGenoaParma10L3.75100€10.00€27.50-€27.5011622/Dec/200718:00GreeceSuper LeagueXanthiApollon Kalamarias30L3.10611€10.00€21.00€9.5011822/Dec/200718:20EnglandChampionshipWolvesLeicester01L4.00111€10.00€30.00€9.5011922/Dec/200719:15PortugalSuperligaGuimaraesBelenenses10L3.85100€10.00€28.50-€28.5012022/Dec/200719:30NetherlandsEredivisiePSVUtrecht10L7.00411€10.00€60.00€9.5012122/Dec/200720:00SpainPrimera DivisionAlmeriaGetafe01L3.95021€10.00€29.50€9.5012222/Dec/200720:00SpainPrimera DivisionZaragozaValencia20L4.30221€10.00€33.00€9.5012322/Dec/200720:30ItalySerie ARomaSampdoria10L5.40201€10.00€44.00€9.5012422/Dec/200721:30PortugalSuperligaSp LisbonPacos Ferreira11L5.20211€10.00€42.00€9.5012522/Dec/200722:00SpainPrimera DivisionSevillaSantander10L4.70411€10.00€37.00€9.50NO 0-0 SELECTIONBACK 0-0 @ HT NEWBets Placed 8545Bets Returned7028Units Staked€3,330.50€1,332.00Units Returned€3,446.50€1,339.50Profit€116.00€7.50Yield (%)3.4830.563Strike Rate (%)82.35362.222Average Odds4.924.69Average Stake€39.18€29.60 Today's matches:hope 12623/Dec/200712:00SpainSecunda DivisionCelta VigoGranada 7412723/Dec/200712:30NetherlandsEredivisieNEC NijmegenFeyenoord12823/Dec/200713:00EnglandPremier LeagueMan UtdEverton12923/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie AFiorentinaCagliari13023/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie AInterAC Milan13123/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie AJuventusSiena13223/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie ALivornoAtalanta13323/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie ANapoliTorino13423/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie APalermoLazio 13523/Dec/200715:00EnglandPremier LeagueNewcastleDerby13623/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie ARegginaCatania13723/Dec/200715:00ItalySerie AUdineseEmpoli13823/Dec/200715:45GreeceSuper LeagueErgotelisAEK13923/Dec/200716:00ScotlandPremier LeagueAberdeenRangers14023/Dec/200717:00SpainPrimera DivisionAtl MadridEspanyol14123/Dec/200717:00SpainPrimera DivisionLevanteDeportivo14223/Dec/200717:00SpainPrimera DivisionOsasunaMallorca14323/Dec/200717:00SpainPrimera DivisionValladolidBetis14423/Dec/200717:00SpainPrimera DivisionVilarrealRec de Huelva14523/Dec/200717:10EnglandPremier LeagueBlackburnChelsea14623/Dec/200718:00GreeceSuper LeagueLarissaOlympiacos14723/Dec/200718:00TurkeySüper LigOftasporGalatasaray14823/Dec/200718:00GreeceSuper LeaguePanathinaikosOFI14923/Dec/200719:00SpainPrimera DivisionBarcelonaReal Madrid15023/Dec/200721:00SpainPrimera DivisionAth BilbaoMurcia15123/Dec/200721:00FranceLigue 1St EtienneParis St-G15223/Dec/200721:15PortugalSuperligaBragaBoavista Cheers, Matt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 23, 2007 Author Share Posted December 23, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 125 23/Dec/2007 12:00 Spain Secunda Division Celta Vigo Granada 74 1 0 L 3.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bull_B Posted December 23, 2007 Author Share Posted December 23, 2007 Re: Lay half time score 126 23/Dec/2007 12:30 Netherlands Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen Feyenoord 0 0 B 5.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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