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Sedgefield 27/11/07


mowgli77

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Sedgefield 12.30 John Forbes is the likely favourite but I'm not sure I would want to back it at around 5-2 in a race that a fair few could have a chance. The ground is supposed to be good tomorrow, this fav had 6 runs on good on the flat, all unplaced, it has had 6 runs over the jumps on good, all unplaced. It was outpaced in both it's last 2 races and is not one to be lumping on at this price. Presumptuous was a decent hurdler, winning up to class 3 level and is a course and distance winner. It was expected to make a good chaser but jumped badly on its chase debut 13 days ago and was pulled up. Interesting then that it is turned out quickly again at a course it likes and the expected SP of 14-1 is worthy of ew support. It has won on good, good-firm and soft ground so any rain won't be a problem. Another Charmer is also an interesting runner, making its debut having won a point to point last May and could be anything. Well related and interesting to see it entered for a novice hurdle on 29/11/07. Expected Sp of 12-1 and another that will be interesting each way, especially if there is any support for it. I'd rather take these two against the favourite. Presumptuous and Another Charmer, both 2pts each way Lay John Forbes (up to 3-1)

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Re: Sedgefield 27/11/07 2:45 Overbranch Has a 4-5-7 form here but comes in after showing her best performance 30 days ago. Her win LTO was the first of her career. Again has Fergus King for the jockey and that is going to do alot of good. King has won 3 of the last 6 rides with all of them for trainer J M Jefferson. The form of the trainer and jockey is entering today at 1-5-9-3-2-3-1-PU-2-8-1-1 since November 13th. The last win by King was at the weight of 11-12, the same for Overbranch today. 9.60/3.15 @ Betfair

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