Divisional Favourites

[aliando]

Gonna test run this as have done some backtesting and there shows some potential... I'll use 5 english divisions Premier Championship League One League Two Blue Sq Premier Conference Each division will be given a starting bank of 100pts and will attempt to increase the bank by approx 1% each bet using the following stakes 1% of bank 2.5% of bank 5% of bank 7.5% of bank 10% of bank The target bank will only increase once the original target has been hit. Each bet will be on the home favourite (ie the home team with the lowest odds) from http://www.odds-comparison.co.uk/ - regardless of who the best lowest odds are with, I'll use betfair for this test - if you choose to follow then i'd advise you check the bookies you are with for potential better prices. Should there be 2 qualifying entries (equally lowest best odds) then I will not bet. I hope that makes sense - feel free to ask any questions and if needs be I'll update this post with more info. :hope

[aliando]

Re: Divisional Favourites for this bet only, i'll show you the way i'm picking my bets Eng Premier Bank - 100pts Intended Target - 101pts Difference = 1pt

Saturday 6 October 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Manchester Utd v Wigan (12:45 BST)	1.21	7.20	26.00	101%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBookings PointsBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Carded PlayerFirst Carded TeamFirst Corner TeamFirst Goal MethodFirst Goal TimeFirst Goal Time 2nd HalfFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredKick-OffLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+Player To Score 3+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam Not to ScoreTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeam With Most CornersTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score a PenaltyTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Aston Villa v West Ham (15:00 BST)	2.00	3.60	4.60	100%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Corner TeamFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredKick-OffLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam Not to ScoreTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 3+Team To Score 4+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Sunday 7 October 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Arsenal v Sunderland (12:00 BST)	1.22	6.80	23.00	102%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBookings PointsBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Carded TeamFirst Corner TeamFirst Goal MethodFirst Goal TimeFirst Goal Time 2nd HalfFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredKick-OffLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+Player To Score 3+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam Not to ScoreTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeam With Most CornersTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Reading v Derby County (14:00 BST)	1.81	3.60	5.90	100%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBookings PointsBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Carded PlayerFirst Carded TeamFirst Corner TeamFirst Goal MethodFirst Goal TimeFirst Goal Time 2nd HalfFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredKick-OffLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam Not to ScoreTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 3+Team To Score 4+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeam With Most CornersTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Blackburn v Birmingham City (15:00 BST)	1.74	3.95	6.20	99%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesTeam Goals in MatchTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 3+Team To Score 4+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Bolton Wanderers v Chelsea (15:00 BST)	5.80	3.80	1.80	100%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 3+Team To Score 4+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Liverpool v Tottenham (15:00 BST)	1.61	4.20	6.75	101%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 3+Team To Score 4+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Manchester City v Middlesbrough (15:00 BST)	1.75	3.90	5.90	100%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 3+Team To Score 4+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Newcastle Utd v Everton (15:00 BST)	2.28	3.45	3.80	100%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time Asian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last Goalscorer1st Half Handicap1st Half Totals Over/Under2nd Half PenaltyAway Team To ScoreBoth Teams To ScoreClean SheetCornersCorners 1st HalfDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time Lead & Fail to WinHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHat-Trick ScoredLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreMatch and Total GoalsMatch SpecialsNext Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderPenalty AwardedPlayer To Score 2+QuadpickRed CardScore in Both HalvesSubstitutions UsedTeam Goals in MatchTeam To Score 2+Team To Score 3+Team To Score 4+Team To Score 5+Team To Score a PenaltyTeams To ScoreTo Miss a PenaltyTo Score a Hat-trickTo Score and WinTo Win to NilTotal Goal MinutesTotal GoalsTotal Goals 1st HalfTotal Goals 2nd HalfWin 2nd HalfWin Both HalvesWin Either Half
Fulham v Portsmouth (16:10 BST)	2.64	3.55	2.88	101%

as you can see, man utd marginally have the lowest best odds, so this is the chosen bet. Bet - Man utd Odds - 1.20 Stake - 5% of bank (5pts) to win 1pt