thunderfoot Posted August 30, 2007 Share Posted August 30, 2007 Have spent a week or so downloading English Horse Racing Odds at the 'off' to get the equivalent Betfair odds to typical SP odds. Obviously some anomalies i.e. 2.20 SP, but you can see a pattern forming. Hope it's of use!! SP Odds BF BACK Odds BF LAY Odds %'age Uplift - BACK %'age Uplift - LAY Occ'ns 201 913.33 958.33 454% 477% 6 151 966.00 1000.00 640% 662% 5 126 776.67 873.33 616% 693% 3 101 505.25 633.50 500% 627% 40 81 321.00 421.00 396% 520% 10 67 305.92 404.21 457% 603% 38 51 170.40 209.10 334% 410% 50 41 82.97 93.82 202% 229% 38 34 65.68 73.16 193% 215% 87 29 49.57 54.46 171% 188% 28 26 45.57 49.93 175% 192% 75 23 37.27 40.27 162% 175% 15 21 34.33 37.17 163% 177% 90 19 33.80 37.00 178% 195% 5 17 24.81 26.43 146% 155% 81 15 21.25 22.32 142% 149% 93 13 17.54 18.32 135% 141% 83 12 15.29 15.95 127% 133% 33 11 14.42 15.11 131% 137% 56 10 12.91 13.48 129% 135% 44 9.5 11.66 12.13 123% 128% 8 9 11.08 11.58 123% 129% 85 8.5 9.86 10.26 116% 121% 27 8 9.41 9.73 118% 122% 51 7.5 8.79 9.02 117% 120% 19 7 8.01 8.24 114% 118% 43 6.5 7.33 7.56 113% 116% 34 6 6.91 7.13 115% 119% 30 5.5 6.12 6.29 111% 114% 31 5 5.59 5.72 112% 114% 45 4.5 5.08 5.20 113% 116% 27 4.33 4.89 5.01 113% 116% 14 4 4.51 4.61 113% 115% 22 3.75 3.88 3.95 103% 105% 19 3.5 4.01 4.09 115% 117% 12 3.25 3.52 3.58 108% 110% 13 3 3.26 3.32 109% 111% 17 2.87 3.12 3.16 109% 110% 6 2.75 2.95 2.99 107% 109% 8 2.62 2.79 2.81 106% 107% 8 2.5 2.68 2.70 107% 108% 3 2.37 2.37 2.39 100% 101% 3 2.25 2.43 2.45 108% 109% 4 2.2 2.98 3.00 135% 136% 1 2.1 2.29 2.31 109% 110% 3 2 2.17 2.19 108% 110% 4 1.9 1.95 1.97 103% 104% 4 1.83 1.90 1.91 104% 104% 2 1.72 1.73 1.74 101% 101% 1 1.66 1.74 1.75 105% 106% 3 1.61 1.65 1.66 102% 103% 1 1.57 1.78 1.80 113% 115% 1 1.53 1.69 1.71 110% 112% 1 1.4 1.44 1.45 103% 104% 1 1.36 1.41 1.42 104% 104% 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted August 30, 2007 Share Posted August 30, 2007 Re: SP & Betfairs Odds Equivalents Tricky subject, everyone has a different process of deciding when to place a bet, so the actual price depends on the person, live testing is the trick. Still, table looks like a great starting point. In my personal experience when i place bets on horse racing close to the off i manage on average a price that is 10% above SP. (before commission) Seems to fit your table well enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderfoot Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: SP & Betfairs Odds Equivalents Tricky subject Guessed it might be. Only posted the table so that those that extract historic information from the various sites available, which invariably only have a typical Bookmakers SP odds quoted and/or a guesstimation of the Betfair BACK odds, have something a little bit 'scientific' ;). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dices Posted August 31, 2007 Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: SP & Betfairs Odds Equivalents Thanks mate, it would be very helpful. Are you planing to add - record more data, maybe another's weeks data? Dices Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderfoot Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: SP & Betfairs Odds Equivalents Are you planing to add - record more data, maybe another's weeks data? Dices No!! I kept going until the odds remained within 2% of the previous days accumulations (if you see what I mean!!) i.e. if I collected a full days of data today, and the odds did not change by more than 2% when added to the previous 'x' days accumulations, then I decided that no matter how many more days of data I collected the odds were not going to significantly change any more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.