Salisbury 16/08/07

[mowgli77]

Daily Selections :ok

[mowgli77]

Re: Salisbury 16/08/07 Dunelight and Caldra, 4.15 Salisbury Dunelight ran a fine race last time out in a Group 2 over 7f when it kicked on and looked the likely winner but got swamped late on by Tariq and Asset. That is solid form as Tariq is a class horse over 7f, having won its last 3 races over that trip at listed level, group 3 and group 2. Dunelight is better suited over 1m and runs over that trip today. Was very unlucky at Ascot when it got repeatedly bumped and lost all momentum but won a listed race at Goodwood before that beating Army of Angels. Has only run once on good to soft but that was over 9f and it was last. Also ran over 9f when beaten by Manduro but only faded final furlong, once again highlighting the need for a 1m trip. Likely to lead or track leaders and might not be caught if allowed to kick on early and has the stamina over 1m to stay the trip. Caldra has some great form including a win and place at group 3 level and a win at listed level. Unbeaten when running over 1m (twice) and has won on soft, good to soft and good ground so very versatile performer and would not be inconvenienced by more rain. Certainly has the class to take this, has an ideal trip and has conditions to suit. The only doubt regarding it has to be fitness because it has not run for 313 days but it is a course and distance winner and should not have an expected SP of around 20-1 when it is up against a lot of other horses stepping up from handicaps or others that have promised a lot and delivered little such as Olympian Oddyssey. Both look like value each way bets and it will be interesting to see what prices they open up at. They are 4th and 3rd in the topspeed ratings too.