Laying Correct Scores

[Hodgey]

Ok I'm gonna paper trail another system here. It involves the Correct Score markets and laying one of the more fancied scores on a match. The basis behind the lay will be the price comparison between Betbrain and Betfair (subject to the best price coming from a reputable bookie I have heard of). Reasoning? Well not much concrete stuff really! :lol Basically, it's a very liquid market and there's loads of outcomes. But the main crux is something along the lines of if a bookmaker has a price of X, then if I can get within 5-10% of that price to lay then I'm possibly laying at the fair odds price after allowing for bookmakers overround (which is huge on CS markets). However I'm also aware that the majority of the overround is probably allocated to the higher odds scores that are less likely to come up. Again, this is pure speculation on my part and not backed up by any scientific proof. :unsure I will stick to the larger leagues, probably just the English Premiership to start with, as this is the most liquid and will be covered by the most bookies. Each lay will have a liability of 50pts - to keep the maths simple. Commission will be at Betfair's standard 5%. I will start on Saturday, but here's an example of what it will look like from tonight's Scottish match. Hearts v Hibs Score to Lay 1-0 Best Bookie Price 8.00 Stan James Betfair lay price 8.20 Price Diff 2.5% So lay 1-0 at odds of 8.20 (1.139) to win 6.94 (gross) with liability of 50pts. Clear as mud?! :loon Thoughts and constructive criticisms welcomed. And any holes in my reasoning too? :ok

[F.]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Very good luck pal... :hope Please keep us posted on the results of the matches you choose and on the progression of your bank... Cheers !! F.