Soccer Trends

[Pitmaster]

Trends Betting is famous for US Sports. Now i'm gonna test it for Soccer. This very sophisticated method using a lot of stats and data. I do not have so much data to analyse. I focus on only one factor which will be the Result if team was favourite/underdog. I need current season stats for the analyse. The rules: 1) Back team whcich has > 55% wins if the team was favourite and the opponent has more than 55% of losses being underdog 2) Play against favourite which has < 45 % wins if the team was favourite and the opponent has < 45 % losses being underdog 3) Play agains the team which has > 55% losses if the team was underdog and the opponent has more than 55% wins being favourite Teams have to play role at least 4 times as underdog/favourite. Minimum 4 games. The rules are not strict. Examples of stats:

Result if team was favourite

Pos.	Team	Favourite	Win	Draw	Lose	% wins
1.	Botafogo	5	5	0	0	100 %
2.	Sao Paulo	7	3	2	2	43 %
3.	Figueirense	4	3	0	1	75 %
4.	Goias	5	3	1	1	60 %
5.	Parana Clube	6	2	2	2	33 %
6.	Vasco da Gama	4	3	1	0	75 %
7.	Palmeiras	5	2	1	2	40 %
8.	Fluminense	5	3	2	0	60 %
9.	Cruzeiro	4	1	0	3	25 %
10.	Atletico Paranaense	5	1	2	2	20 %
11.	Gremio	4	3	0	1	75 %
12.	Corinthians	5	2	2	1	40 %
13.	Atletico Mineiro	3	2	1	0	67 %
14.	Sport Recife	4	2	2	0	50 %
15.	Juventude	5	1	2	2	20 %
16.	Santos	4	0	2	2	0 %
17.	Internacional	5	2	1	2	40 %
18.	Nautico Recife	2	0	1	1	0 %
19.	Flamengo	2	0	1	1	0 %
20.	America Natal	2	0	0	2	0 %

Favourite is team with lower odds.

Result if team was underdog

Pos.	Team	Underdog	Win	Draw	Lose	% loses
1.	Botafogo	3	1	2	0	0 %
2.	Sao Paulo	2	2	0	0	0 %
3.	Figueirense	6	2	2	2	33 %
4.	Goias	4	2	0	2	50 %
5.	Parana Clube	4	2	2	0	0 %
6.	Vasco da Gama	5	1	1	3	60 %
7.	Palmeiras	4	2	1	1	25 %
8.	Fluminense	4	0	2	2	50 %
9.	Cruzeiro	4	2	1	1	25 %
10.	Atletico Paranaense	5	2	2	1	20 %
11.	Gremio	5	1	1	3	60 %
12.	Corinthians	2	1	1	0	0 %
13.	Atletico Mineiro	4	1	2	1	25 %
14.	Sport Recife	4	0	0	4	100 %
15.	Juventude	4	1	0	3	75 %
16.	Santos	4	2	0	2	50 %
17.	Internacional	4	0	1	3	75 %
18.	Nautico Recife	8	1	3	4	50 %
19.	Flamengo	3	1	1	1	33 %
20.	America Natal	7	1	1	5	71 %

Picks for 18-07-2007 : Brazil League Figueirense < has 75% wins if the team was favourite> - Sport <has 100% losses if the team was underdog Bet365 1.62 Goias (70% Wins - Fav) - Gremio (60% Losses - UnderDog) Betsson 2.2 Atletico Mineiro ( 67% W-F) - America ( 71% L-U) Wettpunkt 1.6

[Matthew]

Re: Soccer Trends Athletico Mineiro have only played 3 games as favourite (winning 2). Should this be a pick?