Laying Spencer Thread.

[writeups]

Well i seem to be losing money backing the guy so i am going to play the dangerous game of laying his rides for the next 7 days and see where we go from there...Pt stake will be less than the Backing as this is more liable. 1pt = £25.00 Newmarket Turf Italia E.B.F. Novice Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) Harry Bluetooth from the James fanshawe is the first we will take on with Jamie on board, this was a costly purchase as a yearling (525,000 euro's) and is half brother to New Beginning, cost 66,000 euro's as a 2yr old,and on pedigree will want further in time as the dam was a 9-10f specialist, is entered in the Gimcrack at York and the St Ledger at Doncaster, so this is a hard one to oppose,has got a good draw and fanshawe has a 15% here with his 2yr olds, this could give me a bad start, but i am willing to take this on and lay this duely as the jockey seems to be having no confidence on getting winners. 1pt Lay @ 8 Betfair = £25.00 Xplor Conditions Stakes (CLASS 2) Jamie rides the very much inform Eddie Jock who won last time out at Ascot in the Brittania Stakes over a mile on good to firm ground, has again got in his favour the ground and going, but has to compete with a 7lb rise in the Handicap, has gone up 17lb since winning the Shergar Cup at Ascot and i am not convinced that this will get up the hill here and is vunerable of its career highest mark. 1pt Lay @ 2.64 = £25.00 Folkestone 18.20 Jamie travels to the Kent track this evening and gets his first ride for Milanollo for Micheal Bell, despite having a good strike rate here of 1-2 50% cost 105,000gns as a yearling and is from a family that have had winners at 7f-10f, the form shows 1-13 on 2 year old winners this season, and despite this being the most expensive of the bunch and this is not the greatest of maidens might give the lay a sweat, but i think this will be better going over a mile in the future. 1pt Lay @ 10.5 Betfair = £25.00 18.50 Shela House is his next port of call and rides here for James Fanshawe, finished 6th on his debut over a mile going down by 20L to Held Captive from the Ed Dunlop yard.this horse for me is going to be more effective over middle distances of 1m 2f - 1m 4f, and this looks a bit to much on the sharp side this evening. 1pt Lay @ 17 = £25.00 19.20 teams up here with which looks the exchanges favourite, Colwyn Bay won last time out at Kempton on the AW, when beating Mister Completely by one and a half lengths and has to compete with a 7lb weight rise and a 6lb penalty in the handicap. has never won on tuif as both of his wins have been at Kempton on the AW, so this is being apposed 2pt Lay @ 5.1 Betfair = £50.00 Opening Pot : £2000 Outlay : £150.00 Profit / Loss : -£255.00 / +£100.00 Commission 5% : £12.75 / £5.00 Closing Bank : £1828.25 GL Wups

[stewartd14]

Re: Laying Spencer Thread. After his stupid ride upon Spice Route where he switched inside to find a gap that wasnt there I agree with this thread and should have some sucess the way he is riding at the moment. He is just not putting his horses in the race and when he does he manages to find trouble. It almost looks intentional. However, when he is back to his best I wouldnt lay him. I still believe his ride aboard Danish Blues on the PL raceday was superb but recently he should have (10) next to his name. He still would find a way to get beat !!! :lol :lol